Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[forkyfork]

Temps cool all day tomorrows as ULL moves in

[Sugarloaf1989]

You are losing snow. You will lose more snow.

 

I see grass in spots here already and the snow is heavily waterlogged. Temp is 39F and rising.

 

In town at 700' is already at 40F:

 

http://weather.weatherbug.com/GA/Ideal-weather.html?zcode=z6286&zip=06238

[Mr Torchey]

bl tomorrow is absolutely torched, hopefully you guys up north and east can cool dynamically tomorrow night and the gfs has a clue

[Cold Miser]

its an iceberg. Not much. Like Will explained to you yesterday slow drip. Sort of like your weenie

You must be in some special zone over there, 30 miles west/north of me because I am watching the snow dissapear as we speak.

[Baroclinic Zone]

I'll take the 12z NAM out my way for Friday.  LOL, almost 0.6".  Some on the front end would be rain but dynamics flip me to snow.

[CT Rain]

You must be in some special zone over there, 30 miles west/north of me because I am watching the snow dissapear as we speak.

 

Yeah tonight and tomorrow will be ugly for the pack fetish crowd.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Not one flake of snow fell here with just moderate rainfall overnight, ocasionally heavy. Currently light rain, the temperature is 38F and rising slowly. 0.47" of rain here so far today.

good call by you.

[Damage In Tolland]

Some nice good old fashioned sneaky yet obvious trolling going on here. Good stuff

[Brian5671]

Yeah tonight and tomorrow will be ugly for the pack fetish crowd.

soon there won't be a pack to be worried about...24 hours from now it's going to look ugly out there

[Tropopause_Fold]

I'll take the 12z NAM out my way for Friday.  LOL, almost 0.6".  Some on the front end would be rain but dynamics flip me to snow.

nah it needs to cool more. the low levels are just way too mild. 

[Bostonseminole]

LOL, pouring rain with a temp of 40. Lots of drips, more like a river. Deal with it.

disater for the snow pack.. lots of grass showing..

[CoastalWx]

Yeah tonight and tomorrow will be ugly for the pack fetish crowd.

 

It's getting to be that time of year....people lose snow. It's unhealthy to insist it isn't going anywhere. After this weekend..at least it looks better by March standards anyways.

[CoastalWx]

There was definitely pockets of dry air between 850 and 500 on the models which is probably part of the reason this looks a little fractured.

[CoastalWx]

There were definitely pockets of dry air between 850 and 500 on the models which is probably part of the reason this looks a little fractured.

 

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

nah it needs to cool more. the low levels are just way too mild. 

I don't know, soundings look like they cool enough, verbatim.

http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_KTAN.txt

[Tropopause_Fold]

pretty happy to see the euro have a fail. go NCEP. 

[Damage In Tolland]

nah it needs to cool more. the low levels are just way too mild.

What do you think about Interior folks for later tomorrow into Fri morning? Cool enough right?

[Tropopause_Fold]

I don't know, soundings look like they cool enough, verbatim.

http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_KTAN.txt

i just think most of the precip has already fallen by that point. not saying it'll work out that way.

[Tropopause_Fold]

What do you think about Interior folks for later tomorrow into Fri morning? Cool enough right?

marginal. but most precip might be east. 

[Sugarloaf1989]

What do you think about Interior folks for later tomorrow into Fri morning? Cool enough right?

 

 

The NWS mentions 1-2" of snow for the interior, 1" coastal plain.

[Damage In Tolland]

The NWS mentions 1-2" of snow for the interior, 1" coastal plain.

Yup I saw that earlier. Seems similar to what we had Sunday night but with more qpf. We'll see

[MarkO]

http://www.pdfamily.com/weather/mesomap.htm

 

With those temps and an inch of qpf, I don't see how I won't lose half my snowpack at least here in Lowell.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I think the rain will really do a number on what has fallen since Sunday (10" already compacted, melted, washed away to about 4"). Maybe the Blizard stuff survives, but whateva...

[Damage In Tolland]

I think the rain will really do a number on what has fallen since Sunday (10" already compacted, melted, washed away to about 4"). Maybe the Blizard stuff survives, but whateva...

The ocean sucks. It's puked itself up to Albany

[Tropopause_Fold]

The ocean sucks. It's puked itself up to Albany

lol...if it weren't for the ocean, the weather wouldn't do jack around SNE.

[Baroclinic Zone]

i just think most of the precip has already fallen by that point. not saying it'll work out that way.

 

I don't disagree on the majority of the precip coming as rain, but verbatim, the NAM has me flipping to snow.

 

  30 02/28 18Z   51     39     193       6    0.00  0.00    532    533   -1.7 -28.8 1000  70       031BKN245    0.0   15.0  33 02/28 21Z   48     41     140       4    0.02  0.02    532    531   -1.7 -28.2  999 100 -TSRA 023OVC249    0.0    9.6  36 03/01 00Z   39     38      45       7    0.06  0.01    531    531   -1.6 -27.6  999 100 -RA   011OVC249    0.0    8.2  39 03/01 03Z   36     34      31       9    0.20  0.00    531    531   -1.9 -28.4  999 100 RA    005OVC249    0.0    4.4  42 03/01 06Z   32     32       2       9    0.19  0.00    531    529   -2.8 -28.5  998 100 -SN   000OVC247    2.0    0.4  45 03/01 09Z   31     30     346      10    0.10  0.00    530    529   -3.6 -28.9  998 100 -SN   000OVC242    1.1    0.5  48 03/01 12Z   32     30     346      10    0.02  0.00    530    530   -3.2 -28.9 1000 100       007OVC236    0.0   15.1

[Cold Miser]

Some nice good old fashioned sneaky yet obvious trolling going on here. Good stuff

Nothing sneaky and trollish about it.  The fact is, the snow is dissapearing faster than your hair did back in the day, and like I said last week it is my non-scientific-gut-feeling (NSGF) that you and I saw our last warning event with the blizzard.  Reality sucks.  Morch may have a cool start, but big snow chances for Ct are slowing coming to an end. 

[Tropopause_Fold]

kevin just needs to go outside, close his eyes...look up to the sky, put his arms in the air, let the warm ocean air surround him and just smell the salty breezes. 

[CoastalWx]

kevin just needs to go outside, close his eyes...look up to the sky, put his arms in the air, let the warm ocean air surround him and just smell the salty breezes. 

 

Like that scene from Shawshank Redemption where Andy reaches up to the sky in the rain after climbing through the poop pipe.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Like that scene from Shawshank Redemption where Andy reaches up to the sky in the rain after climbing through the poop pipe.

exactly. just embrace the freedom of not having to worry about his snow pack anymore. brown grass FTW!