Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[moneypitmike]

just looked outside no flakes.. nearest station at my elevation is 32.. i need to invest in a weather station again. especially days like this..

 

Always be wary of the meteorologist who doesn't own a thermometer. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

no flakes here.. well inland 20 miles or so.. reports from shoreline are sleet no flakes

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Always be wary of the meteorologist who doesn't own a thermometer. 

lol I had one for years but its too old

[CoastalWx]

This happens with every storm. Relax Kevin, this is going as planned for you.

[Damage In Tolland]

This happens with every storm. Relax Kevin, this is going as planned for you.

Who's not relaxed? All it's telling is is the Euro was right with the colder idea..beacause all forecasts had the shore as 110% rain

[Baroclinic Zone]

925mb temps are below 0c for all. Abou -3 to 4C.

850s are about -3C at the S coast.

[MountainMet]

Always be wary of the meteorologist who doesn't own a thermometer. 

I don't own one either.

[N. OF PIKE]

just looked outside no flakes.. nearest station at my elevation is 32.. i need to invest in a weather station again. especially days like this..

i bet you flip to flakes soon

 

is there a warm toungue at 750mb.....you'll wet bulb

[ChrisM]

925mb temps are below 0c for all. Abou -3 to 4C.

850s are about -3C at the S coast.

 

going AET?

[CoastalWx]

Why were forecasts all rain? Looking at things now from 12z, it looked like places could get a 34F mix of IP and SN.

[Baroclinic Zone]

going AET?

I see nothing out of the ordinary. No tickling or surprises in store. A brief period of snow and or sleet should not be unexpected given some of the low dews.

[ORH_wxman]

00z RPM dumps about 6" here in 5 hours and then flips it to rain around 8am...good thump but quite an early flip.

[N. OF PIKE]

I don't own one either.

33.5 /28 or so in your hood

 

you think u get any accums

[CoastalWx]

Funny to see the GFS colder than the NAM and SREFs. Once again...maybe I'll be wrong..but I don't see a reason to sway too far from euro..and even GFS guidance.

[moneypitmike]

I see nothing out of the ordinary. No tickling or surprises in store. A brief period of snow and or sleet should not be unexpected given some of the low dews.

 

The only thing I'm somewhat suprised by is the fast approach of the precipitation shield.  It appears to already by on the HFD doorstep.

 

I guess I'm somewhat suprirsed that it's a painstaking cool down here.  32.8/26

[Sey-Mour Snow]

where are all the southwest CT posters... kind of interested in seeing obs... still not 1 flake here.. all sleet

[N. OF PIKE]

00z RPM dumps about 6" here in 5 hours and then flips it to rain around 8am...good thump but quite an early flip.

i would think the RPM may also be a bit slow getting precip into orh judging by radar trends in CT

[Sey-Mour Snow]

the radar way more impressive than obs 25-30 dbz got me very light sleet..

[ChrisM]

The only thing I'm somewhat suprised by is the fast approach of the precipitation shield.  It appears to already by on the HFD doorstep.

 

I guess I'm somewhat suprirsed that it's a painstaking cool down here.  32.8/26

 

you caught up.  33.7/26 here.

[N. OF PIKE]

where are all the southwest CT posters... kind of interested in seeing obs... still not 1 flake here.. all sleet

where the damn warm tounge at in ct....what level i look'd at sounding for HFD and for NYC. is at 750

[Max]

the radar way more impressive than obs 25-30 dbz got me very light sleet..

Atmosphere must still be saturating. 

[bobbutts]

given the now cast trends i think it's time for someone to put some balls on the line. granted  no one thinks much of my balls but i will do so regardless.

 

now cast observations

 

precip is rocketing up coast....it is hvy off of Delmarva and S jersey and it's also consolidating nicely over NNJ/NYC /W LI/SW CT  and moving mostly NNE .

 

mod/hvy rates are breaking out as far N as danbury ct right now

 

Areas like Chris M's house are prolly gonna get rock'd (6-10)

 

This is an elevation event in SNE

 

things i'll be watching for

 

Wether hvy precip expand more N / NNE/ or NE over next cpl  hours

 

if it expands more NE then areas like tolland could get into the mod/to hvy stuff as soon as 10pm ....well ahead of schd. if this occurs they could see a warning level snow fall. (esp AOA 800')

I'm taking the daily double on GYX's 4-6" for MBY.  Euro doesn't show much rain chance til after 1" qpf is already fallen

[ORH_wxman]

00z NAM is still warmer than most guidance, but def cooling from the 18z oven run.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

noyes says changed from sleet to plain rain in norwalk now 35 degrees.. so a few minutes of sleet for them and thats it

[Sey-Mour Snow]

WOW! NAM is way warmer than last nights run.. didn't look at much today.. kind of scary getting that AMBER alert to my phone.. did anyone else see that??

[DomNH]

My 4-6'' seems a little high here. Gonna go with 2-3'' of glop before a change. Sh*tty drive tomorrow morning, though.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

plain rain in hamden.. i assume some sleet mixed in 

[CoastalWx]

Euro implies an awesome thumping for Will. 2/24/10 all over again.

[weatherMA]

Euro implies an awesome thumping for Will. 2/24/10 all over again.

Sweet, 3.8" of 6:1 slush back at my house!

[weathafella]

ot but the lakes forum is prob the busiest i've seen it . chicago riding the fence with just west  getting parachutes and east side getting rain and some ping

I just tied to my father in law 30 miles north of Chicago...reports 7-8 inches.