N. OF PIKE Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 John what do u think the chances are for kbed to see some paste for am rush as I see u are watchin temps /dp's. A ne drain shld set up around mitnite and maybe that little cooler air can work its magic brotha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Southern Lower Michigan was routinely 36/27 T and TDs then the wall of rain came in. A few sites crashed to 33/29 and report freezing rain, while other just cold rain. It did that for a couple of hours, but now light snow has flashed over. Not sure if that could be used as any plausible indicator for us. But when the action gets in here during the wee hours of next morning we may have similar T/TD spreads... maybe a tick or two colder in the T's That's here almost to a T. 35.5/27 You may be surprised how fast it accumulatres before any taint. I would say 6"+ is safe for you at this point. Even the lower elevations up this way will pound for a little while, lots of DP's in the upper 20's around here. Once again you gotta' figure that Will up to HubbaDubba Dave is a nice place to be in MA. I'm planning on 3-4" here. I've got the latitude but not the elevation. Generator is ready just in case... My generator is encased in 2' of ice. Ready to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 And Kevin anything under 3 inches for you should be considered a fail tonight.You said I'd get 4-8 yesterday. I said 2-4. A fail for who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Isn't he kinda close to the coast? No, He is in between IZG and SFM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 My friend from UNH just texted saying he got a notification of 8-12" WSW on his phone...but they are very close to the coast and literally like below 100' elevation. If they're going to be in a warning, shouldn't GYX have 4-8" warnings for their southern coastal zones? I don't know...maybe they get 8" but I think it will be difficult. They are literally 5 miles north of where there aren't even advisories up, and the P+C says less than an inch. A little confusing I will admit. edit: Not to mention GYX map has <1" for them. Why aren't they consistent??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Mike and Hunchback. Congrats on your WSW just issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 You said I'd get 4-8 yesterday. I said 2-4. A fail for who? That was before all the models trended warmer on me. I call that stupid luck for both of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Isn't he kinda close to the coast? About 20 miles in (slightly SW of Sebago), similarly inland as Jeff, though 30 miles to his south. Limington is interior York Cty, and GYX includes that area in the 8-12" group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 These maps have warnings almost to the coast in NH...then the snowfall map has less than 1"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 18z GFS a good tick colder than 12z for mid morning tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Isn't he kinda close to the coast? Yes, about 25 miles. New GYX map is scary gradientially in my 'hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Mike and Hunchback. Congrats on your WSW just issued That's only for Southern North Haven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 18z GFS a good tick colder than 12z for mid morning tomorrow I predict the 00z NAM will come in even warmer much to all's chagrin, then ... the 06z gets dramatically colder, then the 12z run NAILS the event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I predict the 00z NAM will come in even warmer much to all's chagrin, then ... the 06z gets dramatically colder, then the 12z run NAILS the event! Or maybe it will wait until 18z tomorrow? You know, because then it has NO chance of getting it wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Nah can't be for MPM, he said nothing siggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I stand corrected--I guess it's a different warning than the snh one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Nah can't be for MPM, he said nothing siggy. I suspect the reality will be between my low expectations and your exhuberance. THe warning's for 4-8. I'll take the lower end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Warning in Holden, and nothing in Shrewsbury/ Worcester. Classic late winter marginal snowfall warning layout. I usually get 2-4" of slop out of these back home. Will could pull of 8" or a lot less. BOX map seems to think only 2" for him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Second time this week a WSA turns into not even an advy here. My house on the hill probably gets a couple inches but it's not representative of the county. And while I do get some satisfaction driving up going from catpaws to snowflakes, Umass is still under 40" and it would be nice to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 box map really giving tolland some love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Toaster bath of a map for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 NWS cut back snow total's here from 1-2" to little or no snow accumulation. It's a good thing we will get snow/freezing rain here and temps no higher than 34F, because rain does not melt snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Look who drew the map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Warning in Holden, and nothing in Shrewsbury/ Worcester. Classic late winter marginal snowfall warning layout. I usually get 2-4" of slop out of these back home. Will could pull of 8" or a lot less. BOX map seems to think only 2" for him? I'm west of 190 by a mile or two, so that map would imply like 3" for me...though the map isn't fine enough to catch the resolution of the hills on that small of a scale...its clearly hitting the 6"+ amounts on the spine of the hills there which means my spot at 900 feet would probably be closer to those amounts than the verbatim total on the map...the map is really just a guideline, and using local knowledge of the area you can kind of figure out what they are thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Look who drew the map careful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Look who drew the map A solid forecaster for the nws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Yes, about 25 miles. New GYX map is scary gradientially in my 'hood. Same for me. Kinda on the line between 2-4" and 8-10". Hopefully elevation will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I like the mini-jackpot on the Quabbin. Not sure what hill that is.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm west of 190 by a mile or two, so that map would imply like 3" for me...though the map isn't fine enough to catch the resolution of the hills on that small of a scale...its clearly hitting the 6"+ amounts on the spine of the hills there which means my spot at 900 feet would probably be closer to those amounts than the verbatim total on the map...the map is really just a guideline, and using local knowledge of the area you can kind of figure out what they are thinking. For sure, you get the idea. I think I'll tell my parents 2-5" but I don't know. I guess it could be less then an inch. Higher spots in town 3"+ is a lock a think but down lower I don't really know. I could see 1" or 7". Up here also, there are 14-18 pixels not far away but I'm under 8-10" with 6-8" close as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 box map really giving tolland some love. I think it's too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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