Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[Damage In Tolland]

seems like orh has the lowest dpoint of anywhere within 50 miles by like 5 degrees.......just doing a quick check on w underground

ashburnham 39/31 hubbardson 37/31 greenfield nh 36.6 28.8

Tarmac

[moneypitmike]

Sounds like the EC looked all right.  So much for the clarity I was thinking would appear for the 12z runs.

 

Meanwhile, was just down in G'field.  The truck thermometer read 42* in downtown, dropped to 35* back here.  35.5/27 on the DP2.

[Modfan]

Hoping 2-3 three for me, maybe NW end of town sees 4-5.  Time to make sure sump pump is working 

[N. OF PIKE]

euro weenie maps get snow to about LL around midnite or just a tick back from the coast.

 

panel 1-4am gives ginxy his snows pretty much covering whole state of ct.  even a weenie 3-4 inch spot just s of tolland on euro snow map between 1-4 am. actually euro hits N ct pretty decent between 2-7am ....with what looks like 4-5 or so inches for the rev

[moneypitmike]

euro weenie maps get snow to about LL around midnite or just a tick back from the coast.

 

panel 1-4am gives ginxy his snows pretty much covering whole state of ct.  even a weenie 3-4 inch spot just s of tolland on euro snow map between 1-4 am. actually euro hits N ct pretty decent between 2-7am ....with what looks like 4-5 or so inches for the rev

Is that where your pbp ends, Pickles????

[ORH_wxman]

euro weenie maps get snow to about LL around midnite or just a tick back from the coast.

 

panel 1-4am gives ginxy his snows pretty much covering whole state of ct.  even a weenie 3-4 inch spot just s of tolland on euro snow map between 1-4 am. actually euro hits N ct pretty decent between 2-7am ....with what looks like 4-5 or so inches for the rev

 

 

Those maps can be weenie-ish and often inaccurate, but I do agree there could potentially be 4" of snow in a few spots in NE CT if the Euro verifies. It was a cold run.

[Patrick-02540]

It's snowy at the top.

 

Kev's one of the most active posters so it's natural the discussion moves that way, I'm just surprised by how many red taggers specifically mention it.

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=91664

 

Which nipple does he live on?

[wxmanmitch]

12z Euro looks great for the Berkshires as it keeps the midlevels a bit colder than the NCEP models. There does appear to be a tongue of slightly above freezing air at 850 mb along the west side of the Taconics and Hudson Valley from downslope warming for a time tomorrow from 15z onward, which could mean things flip for a while there.

 

The low levels will rise above freezing for pretty much all of the area save for the highest spots, so even if the midlevels stay just cool enough, the lower elevations may flip to a light rain/drizzle or catspaws as the precipitation lessens the in the dryslot. East facing areas above 1K will likely precipitate all day and look to stay snow as a result of the easterly LLJ, which likely means significant totals for those areas (10"+).

 

I think warning level snows (7"+) above 1K are quite likely, so hopefully my 1,150' is enough to do the trick even with some easterly downslope. The area west of the Taconics and the Hudson Valley probably won't get much more than 2-4" or 3-5" of slop that turns to -RA.

[joey2002]

Those maps can be weenie-ish and often inaccurate, but I do agree there could potentially be 4" of snow in a few spots in NE CT if the Euro verifies. It was a cold run.

 

Seemed colder and I was surprised that it was also more robust with the front-end QPF compared to 00z. 

[CT Rain]

Seemed colder and I was surprised that it was also more robust with the front-end QPF compared to 00z. 

 

Yeah that is the big change. I was worried about that on the overnight run. 

[N. OF PIKE]

Those maps can be weenie-ish and often inaccurate, but I do agree there could potentially be 4" of snow in a few spots in NE CT if the Euro verifies. It was a cold run.

gotcha

[moneypitmike]

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=91664

 

Which nipple does he live on?

 

Tell me about it.  I think Miser might use that pic as his avatar.

[Patrick-02540]

lol not at all. I can be bent over like the rest of em. What does TS mean?

Thunder storm. Or Thomas Stearns.

[KartAnimal29]

What's should I be looking at for Central CT? Just NE of Waterbury

[SnowMan]

Even though I am under a WSW I am taking a WWA mindset.  I think I was grouped in the warning because of the area surrounding me.

 

Ultimately I now think we see 2-4 inches then rain...

[Damage In Tolland]

euro weenie maps get snow to about LL around midnite or just a tick back from the coast.

panel 1-4am gives ginxy his snows pretty much covering whole state of ct. even a weenie 3-4 inch spot just s of tolland on euro snow map between 1-4 am. actually euro hits N ct pretty decent between 2-7am ....with what looks like 4-5 or so inches for the rev

Lol we'll see but that what we had in that Feb 24 2010 storm . If we get that much north of Will sees a foot

[ORH_wxman]

I think the Euro was helped too by dynamical cooling..the qpf was better looking and I think it helps hold the 0C line in CT for longer because of that. It also has a better CAD type signature going for it. Not that this is a classic CAD storm, but there is some CAD present.

[free_man]

Even though I am under a WSW I am taking a WWA mindset.  I think I was grouped in the warning because of the area surrounding me.

 

Ultimately I now think we see 2-4 inches then rain...

Yeah,  should be pretty similar to last storm for totals.   BOX mentioned keeping the WSW for the lower els of Hillsborough for now,  but that'll probably change.

[Damage In Tolland]

I thought about this when I was running this morning but the clouds that came in yesterday never left. It was supposed to clear out last night and it never did and had remained cloudy today as those low clouds banked up in the interior. It's helped keep our highs in the middle- uppers 30's vs mid 40's like some forecasts had. That certainly has and will help cool things faster tonight when snow starts

[apm]

I enjoy your posts, you give some energy and excitement. Most are just kidding with you, they enjoy them too.

 Agreed. I think I speak for a silent majority when I say that we have come to appreciate and even rely on the Rev's unrelenting optimisim to keep our hopes up.

 

But maybe we should try that reverse psychology thing again.....

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Sounds like the EC looked all right. So much for the clarity I was thinking would appear for the 12z runs.I

Meanwhile, was just down in G'field. The truck thermometer read 42* in downtown, dropped to 35* back here. 35.5/27 on the DP2.

Yeah I'm in town now an it's 40. 37 back at my house.

[Ginx snewx]

Antecedent but it's colder feeling now then this morning, this morning smelled and felt springing, definte chill this afternoon. 1-3 for me 4-6 NCT Will 6-9 Peter 10-15 MPM same Dendrite 12-15 Mainiacs 14-16 plus

[CoastalWx]

I thought about this when I was running this morning but the clouds that came in yesterday never left. It was supposed to clear out last night and it never did and had remained cloudy today as those low clouds banked up in the interior. It's helped keep our highs in the middle- uppers 30's vs mid 40's like some forecasts had. That certainly has and will help cool things faster tonight when snow starts

[OceanStWx]

Eh, they'll be some NE winds..probably more 070 or so, but eventually due east winds will penetrate. I don't see this as a NNE drainage of dews in the low 20s near 128, but areas out by 495 near Littleton will probably wetbulb down to 31.8 or something like that for a few hours at least.

 

 

I think they'll be there too. The model guidance overnight was pretty unanimous that H9 winds will kick around to NE and prevent a massive torch for northern MA and north. Problem is the source region. Sure ME can tap some lower dewpoints courtesy of CAR, but SNE is drawing from our slightly cooler puke air mass.

[moneypitmike]

12z Euro looks great for the Berkshires as it keeps the midlevels a bit colder than the NCEP models. There does appear to be a tongue of slightly above freezing air at 850 mb along the west side of the Taconics and Hudson Valley from downslope warming for a time tomorrow from 15z onward, which could mean things flip for a while there.

 

The low levels will rise above freezing for pretty much all of the area save for the highest spots, so even if the midlevels stay just cool enough, the lower elevations may flip to a light rain/drizzle or catspaws as the precipitation lessens the in the dryslot. East facing areas above 1K will likely precipitate all day and look to stay snow as a result of the easterly LLJ, which likely means significant totals for those areas (10"+).

 

I think warning level snows (7"+) above 1K are quite likely, so hopefully my 1,150' is enough to do the trick even with some easterly downslope. The area west of the Taconics and the Hudson Valley probably won't get much more than 2-4" or 3-5" of slop that turns to -RA.

 

I wish I had the extra 100' you have!

 

I thought about this when I was running this morning but the clouds that came in yesterday never left. It was supposed to clear out last night and it never did and had remained cloudy today as those low clouds banked up in the interior. It's helped keep our highs in the middle- uppers 30's vs mid 40's like some forecasts had. That certainly has and will help cool things faster tonight when snow starts

 

I had a different thought on that......the clouds last night kept things from cooling as well as they might otherwise have.  Would have been better if they held off until the a.m. to move in.

 

I don't see a whole lot of middle 30's in SNE.  Mostly upper 30's/lower 40's.  Regardless, I think the cooling wrt to p-type is giong to occur with the onset of the precip.  A lower starting point will help the ground temps a little (pavement that is) though.

[Cold Miser]

lol not at all. I can be bent over like the rest of em. What does TS mean?

Twisted Sister?

 

Tell me about it.  I think Miser might use that pic as his avatar.

Can't.  It's too risque', even with the image being of a natural landscape.  The amwx police will come down on me like a 2" per hour paste job on MT. Tolland in the middle of Morch. 

[Modfan]

I wish I had the extra 100' you have!

 

 

I had a different thought on that......the clouds last night kept things from cooling as well as they might otherwise have.  Would have been better if they held off until the a.m. to move in.

 

I don't see a whole lot of middle 30's in SNE.  Mostly upper 30's/lower 40's.  Regardless, I think the cooling wrt to p-type is giong to occur with the onset of the precip.  A lower starting point will help the ground temps a little (pavement that is) though.

Cooler in parts of NE CT than northern Worc County

[CoastalWx]

I think they'll be there too. The model guidance overnight was pretty unanimous that H9 winds will kick around to NE and prevent a massive torch for northern MA and north. Problem is the source region. Sure ME can tap some lower dewpoints courtesy of CAR, but SNE is drawing from our slightly cooler puke air mass.

Yeah I envision draininge from Maine and NH but like you said...the source region is marginal. But every little bit helps and areas along the NW side of 495 will benefit most since Cpick was asking.

[CoastalWx]

Congrats MPM.

[OceanStWx]

Yeah I envision draininge from Maine and NH but like you said...the source region is marginal. But every little bit helps and areas along the NW side of 495 will benefit most since Cpick was asking.

 

I quite literally lit the fuse an ran from the office today. Finished up midnights by chucking some warnings, so I can see if they verify from the comfort of my living room surrounded by some cold beverages.