Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[Typhoon Tip]

Put the spring hopes aside folks. It ain't coming so when the tide turns after this weekend...just hope we can cash in.

 

 

 

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSIONNWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD949 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013VALID 12Z FRI MAR 01 2013 - 12Z TUE MAR 05 2013THE EUROPEAN CENTRE PRODUCT SUITE HAS PROVEN STABLE ENOUGH OVERTHE PAST SEVERAL DAYS TO RELY PRIMARILY UPON ITS DETERMINISTICMODEL, WITH MODEST INCORPORATION OF THE ENSEMBLE MEAN. IN THE CASEOF THE CURRENT FORECAST, THERE IS LITTLE WITH WHICH TO QUIBBLETHROUGH DAY 5 AMONG ALL THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS, WITH THENATION DOMINATED BY A BROAD, POSITIVE-TILT LONGWAVE. BY DAY 6, THEGUIDANCE INDICATES THAT ENERGY WILL BE POOLING OVER THE HIGHPLAINS--THE REFLECTION OF A PATTERN CHANGE BEGINNING WITH THEFLATTENING OF THE WESTERN RIDGE. BY DAY 7, A NEW CLOSED LOW ISANTICIPATED OFF THE WEST COAST, WITH A WINTRY WAVE PUSHING ACROSSTHE MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THE BLOCKY PATTERNTHERETOFORE WILL INSURE DEEP-LAYER COLD AIR IN SITU, WITH ANINFLUX OF GULF MOISTURE FUELING WHAT WILL PERHAPS BE ONE OF THELAST GASPS OF WINTER FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE EAST.CISCO

[Damage In Tolland]

I'll answer before he asks...2-4" for Tolland on the front end on the Euro. Prob 10"+ for N ORH county and GC.

How much for Central Maine?

[Ginx snewx]

If I'm thinking the same storm, I did pretty well in that.

Meanwhile, it's torching here which probably spells doom for this one in 2013.

34.6/29

I would like to be 35/29 right now living at 1000 ft with this system coming up wsw would be a lock

[PWMan]

How much for Central Maine?

How much for southernmost Cumberland county, 2.5 miles from the coast?

[Brian5671]

I would like to be 35/29 right now living at 1000 ft with this system coming up wsw would be a lock

if there was arctic air in place, it would be a lock....

[ORH_wxman]

I would like to be 35/29 right now living at 1000 ft with this system coming up wsw would be a lock

 

 

It wouldn't be a classic GC pasting without a whole bunch of paranoia from MPM. It feels like an April snowstorm or late March when you look at the airmass. ORH is 38/23 at 1pm. That screams 31-32F paste when the precip finally comes in overnight.

[mattlacroix4]

I've been getting the feeling the last few weeks I'm not wanted around here

I enjoy your posts, you give some energy and excitement. Most are just kidding with you, they enjoy them too.

[mattlacroix4]

If I said half the things on my mind when my ultra weening comes out during excitement, I would be one of the more laughed at. it's hard to hold it in, I love weather and especially big snow storms. I still feel the same as I did when I was 10 watching the Weather Channel.

[Baroclinic Zone]

I would like to be 35/29 right now living at 1000 ft with this system coming up wsw would be a lock

46/23 here.  It gon rain!

[Damage In Tolland]

I enjoy your posts, you give some energy and excitement. Most are just kidding with you, they enjoy them too.

Thanks man. There's a guy up in your area who doesn't care for me and a few others scattered around. I'm just here for the love of wx. I like to have fun and joke around. If that rubs a few folks the wrong way ,, meh what can you do? You just fight the good fight, enjoy life, never accept answers you don't like and stay the course.

Glad you're getting another crush job up there. Wish we could all be there with you .

[Ginx snewx]

If I said half the things on my mind when my ultra weening comes out during excitement, I would be one of the more laughed at. it's hard to hold it in, I love weather and especially big snow storms. I still feel the same as I did when I was 10 watching the Weather Channel.

go for it, I do, screw the elitists.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Moderate scattering of power outages incoming for W & N NE.

[dryslot]

Thanks man. There's a guy up in your area who doesn't care for me and a few others scattered around. I'm just here for the love of wx. I like to have fun and joke around. If that rubs a few folks the wrong way ,, meh what can you do? You just fight the good fight, enjoy life, never accept answers you don't like and stay the course.

Glad you're getting another crush job up there. Wish we could all be there with you .

You can dish it but get all butt hurt when you get it back

[Ginx snewx]

46/23 here. It gon rain!

1-3 then rain

[dryslot]

Moderate scattering of power outages incoming for W & N NE.

 

Yeah, I mentioned that earlier today, That may play an even bigger roll

[DomNH]

It wouldn't be a classic GC pasting without a whole bunch of paranoia from MPM. It feels like an April snowstorm or late March when you look at the airmass. ORH is 38/23 at 1pm. That screams 31-32F paste when the precip finally comes in overnight.

Gun to head, what are you thinking around here? Seems like a latitude vs. altitude thing with altitude probably being more important this time?

[Baroclinic Zone]

1-3 of rain

 fyp 

[Damage In Tolland]

You can dish it but get all butt hurt when you get it back

lol not at all. I can be bent over like the rest of em. What does TS mean?

[Ginx snewx]

fyp

probably but European says some snow

[mattlacroix4]

Thanks man. There's a guy up in your area who doesn't care for me and a few others scattered around. I'm just here for the love of wx. I like to have fun and joke around. If that rubs a few folks the wrong way ,, meh what can you do? You just fight the good fight, enjoy life, never accept answers you don't like and stay the course.

Glad you're getting another crush job up there. Wish we could all be there with you .

Thanks, you had some awesome storms this year so far. Unfortunately this time of year tends to be a bit better in my area.

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

Hopefully I see some flooding.

[Baroclinic Zone]

probably but European says some snow

If it happens, great, but I expect nothing on the front end.  Maybe some -snsh as the ULL rotates through.  My sites are on next week.

[mattlacroix4]

Yeah, I mentioned that earlier today, That may play an even bigger roll

I am having my wife get a few things to prepare. I have some trees that can hang pretty low. I think because this and the last storm have such high water content, and seeing how the pattern going forecast is cold, we may have a bit of a delayed spring.

[mattlacroix4]

Soo..info on Euro QPF..pretty please

[ORH_wxman]

Gun to head, what are you thinking around here? Seems like a latitude vs. altitude thing with altitude probably being more important this time?

 

Lack of elevation will hurt there. I'd prob go 3" of paste there. But it will be close. If you had 400-500 feet of elevation it would make a lot of difference I think.

[dryslot]

Soo..info on Euro QPF..pretty please

 

Not much different then 0z .75-1.00"

[mattlacroix4]

Not much different then 0z .75-1.00"

Thanks

[N. OF PIKE]

there was talk of ageo flow on yesterday's box disco.........is there any way to drain some cooler dp's into 128-495 so we can flip for an omega thump tommorrow 10-12z or so

[CoastalWx]

there was talk of ageo flow on yesterday's box disco.........is there any way to drain some cooler dp's into 128-495 so we can flip for an omega thump tommorrow 10-12z or so

 

Eh, they'll be some NE winds..probably more 070 or so, but eventually due east winds will penetrate. I don't see this as a NNE drainage of dews in the low 20s near 128, but areas out by 495 near Littleton will probably wetbulb down to 31.8 or something like that for a few hours at least.

[N. OF PIKE]

 seems like orh has the lowest dpoint of anywhere within 50 miles by like 5 degrees.......just doing a quick check on w underground

 

ashburnham 39/31   hubbardson 37/31   greenfield nh 36.6 28.8