Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[Damage In Tolland]

As much as Kevin sugarcoats things...snowpack in NE CT in the hills isn't going to get oblirated in this...its not warm enough. A 36F rain won't do it. Even as it gets over 40F, esp on Thursday under the ULL, that wont do it either unless its 40/40 fog which it won't be. It will be a steep lapse rate environ with probably low to mid 30s dewpoints.

Its more like a steady drip rather than a snow pack obliterator. Esp if you get a couple inches of paste to start the whole storm.

Sshh don't tell Phil and Coventry. They're expecting all rain and mid - upper 40's lol

[moneypitmike]

The elevation gradient in this is probably going to be similar to Feb 24, 2010.

 

If I'm thinking the same storm, I did pretty well in that.

 

Meanwhile, it's torching here which probably spells doom for this one in 2013.

 

34.6/29

[CT Rain]

Sshh don't tell Phil and Coventry. They're expecting all rain and mid - upper 40's lol

 

Thursday will be an unpleasant day for the snow pack freaks but it won't be an inferno. 

 

You probably will be in the mid 40s though.

[CT Rain]

Sshh don't tell Phil and Coventry. They're expecting all rain and mid - upper 40's lol

 

And you will get a fair amount of rain too. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Sshh don't tell Phil and Coventry. They're expecting all rain and mid - upper 40's lol

Where did Phil say upper 40s for you?  You will have a period of snow. 1-3", transitioning to maybe a brief period of sleet, than over to all rain and not the light variety.  Ice will be almost non-existent in this S of I-90.  Temps will be in the 30's at the onset of precip.

[Brian5671]

so much discussion over the weather in one town with a population of 13,000 people....

[Damage In Tolland]

Thursday will be an unpleasant day for the snow pack freaks but it won't be an inferno.

You probably will be in the mid 40s though.

I think 40-41 will do it.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Sshh don't tell Phil and Coventry. They're expecting all rain and mid - upper 40's lol

sshh...i didn't say that. 

 

i think you'll get 1.5" of snow to start...flip to a mix of snow and sleet...then quickly go to plain rain. probably see about 1/2" of liquid. temps will climb from about 31F/32F through the 30s during the rest of the day. hold steady between 34-36F Wed Night then climb to about 43 or 44F for a time Thursday morning before starting to cool down as colder air eventually moves in aloft and at the surface. i think you'll see a net loss in snow cover of several inches. i think thursday evening you'll transition back to flurries and light snow showers and maybe get a light coating. 

[Damage In Tolland]

so much discussion over the weather in one town with a population of 13,000 people....

Thanks for continuing it

[moneypitmike]

so much discussion over the weather in one town with a population of 13,000 people....

 

It is pretty funny, isn't it?  But since the peaks of Tolland are visible from 3 states, it is a good reference point.

[dryslot]

Put the spring hopes aside folks. It ain't coming so when the tide turns after this weekend...just hope we can cash in.

 

I like the fact that it gets colder as we go along, May be able to preserve this pack

[Brian5671]

It is pretty funny, isn't it?  But since the peaks of Tolland are visible from 3 states, it is a good reference point.

[Damage In Tolland]

I've been getting the feeling the last few weeks I'm not wanted around here

[dryslot]

so much discussion over the weather in one town with a population of 13,000 people....

 

Why is this a big surprise, Its like this for every storm

[ORH_wxman]

I like the fact that it gets colder as we go along, May be able to preserve this pack

 

 

Yeah the airmass Thursday might be warmer than anything we get the 10 days following it, lol.

[Tropopause_Fold]

I've been getting the feeling the last few weeks I'm not wanted around here

chin up. it's just snow. 

[Clinch Leatherwood]

It is pretty funny, isn't it?  But since the peaks of Tolland are visible from 3 states, it is a good reference point.

 

It's snowy at the top.

 

Kev's one of the most active posters so it's natural the discussion moves that way, I'm just surprised by how many red taggers specifically mention it.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Yeah the airmass Thursday might be warmer than anything we get the 10 days following it, lol.

hopefully longer than that. get the feeling there won't be any early ice out this year up north on Lake Win.

[Damage In Tolland]

Why is this a big surprise, Its like this for every storm

guess what.. It always will be. Deal with it

[N. OF PIKE]

If I'm thinking the same storm, I did pretty well in that.

Meanwhile, it's torching here which probably spells doom for this one in 2013.

34.6/29

mike u are the jpot of sne posters in this event. Best position wrt mlc track , u have orographic enhancement, a meager 1k I would give my first child for, now get the damn snowblower ready , ur getting 6+ of paste

[Zeus]

I've been getting the feeling the last few weeks I'm not wanted around here

 

Well, you're not not not wanted.

[dryslot]

Yeah the airmass Thursday might be warmer than anything we get the 10 days following it, lol.

 

Yup, We don't see the 546 thickness any where nearby for the next 10 days at least

[dryslot]

guess what.. It always will be. Deal with it

 

TS

[moneypitmike]

I've been getting the feeling the last few weeks I'm not wanted around here

 

Lighten up, Francis.....

 

It's snowy at the top.

 

Kev's one of the most active posters so it's natural the discussion moves that way, I'm just surprised by how many red taggers specifically mention it.

 

Those twin peaks there.......all I can say is "hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm".

[Damage In Tolland]

TS

??

[ORH_wxman]

I would love for that to be true. I got clobbered in that storm, some crazy rates helped my hill pick up like 11" in that before the rain washed it all away. I stayed up all night in that storm lol.

I dont think i will get as lucky in this one. Princeton will be ground zero around here as usual.

 

 

Well I don't think the amounts will match that storm...we had like 12" in 8 hours in that one. Don't think we can pull that off this time, but who knows. In that storm Pricneton had like 16". This time, it might be 9" vs 4" lower down or something...but we'll just have to see how much that easterly LLJ helps out. (or hurts)

[ORH_wxman]

Good grief, the Euro is still really cold...I thought for sure it would come in warmer after the American guidance didn't really budge. That is an absolute paste job for ORH hills.

[dryslot]

Good grief, the Euro is still really cold...I thought for sure it would come in warmer after the American guidance didn't really budge. That is an absolute paste job for ORH hills.

 

Yeah, Looks pretty good

[Baroclinic Zone]

wait for it.......

[ORH_wxman]

wait for it.......

 

 

I'll answer before he asks...2-4" for Tolland on the front end on the Euro. Prob 10"+ for N ORH county and GC.