Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[ORH_wxman]

What another bust this turned out to be though I am not suprised as this looked marginal even last weekend for this area. Hopefully we get rid of the "pack" with the 1" of rain as the snowcover is getting really beat up and dirty looking.

 

 

I don't think it ever looked good for your area.

[dryslot]

the poster in maine that moved to a higher elevation of about 700' is probably very happy about that move wrt seeing a snow bomb out of this. i think it's in raymond maine

 

jzinckgra

[Ginx snewx]

I don't think it ever looked good for your area.

I know what bust?

[Damage In Tolland]

What another bust this turned out to be though I am not suprised as this looked marginal even last weekend for this area. Hopefully we get rid of the "pack" with the 1" of rain as the snowcover is getting really beat up and dirty looking.

An inch of rain? It's a couple inches of snow

[ORH_wxman]

I think 12z tomorrow morning, Kevin's area will be a benchmark of sorts...if he is ripping in N CT at 12z, then that bodes quite well for n ORH county.

[Damage In Tolland]

I think 12z tomorrow morning, Kevin's area will be a benchmark of sorts...if he is ripping in N CT at 12z, then that bodes quite well for n ORH county.

Yeah agree.. So you'd better do everything in your power to have it rip here

[Sugarloaf1989]

An inch of rain? It's a couple inches of snow

 

 

 

Followed by rain throughout most of wednesday.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Followed by rain throughout most of wednesday.

yeah you'll get a fair amount of liquid from this. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Followed by rain throughout most of wednesday.

And you think a few hours of sleet then zr then 34 and light rain changing back to snow Thursday pm is going to melt the snow ?

[Tropopause_Fold]

And you think a few hours of sleet then zr then 34 and light rain changing back to snow Thursday pm is going to melt the snow ?

 

[Bostonseminole]

Followed by rain throughout most of wednesday.

 

I'm ready for spring, lets melt the snow then soccer season starts soon and I can start coaching earlier

[Sugarloaf1989]

 +1

 

Yes it's going to melt some snow and the forecast high here is near 40F. I only have about 4-6" of snowcover left and it's melting more every day.

[forkyfork]

And you think a few hours of sleet then zr then 34 and light rain changing back to snow Thursday pm is going to melt the snow ?

the models show you staying above freezing from now through thursday night

[Damage In Tolland]

Whats the joke?

[Lava Rock]

the poster in maine that moved to a higher elevation of about 700' is probably very happy about that move wrt seeing a snow bomb out of this. i think it's in raymond maine

Yes, that's me. Be interesting to see how the storm pans out. BTW, what's the noaa link to predictive snowfall forecast? thanks.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Whats the joke?

[klw]

I see that a new low seems to have formed in South Carolina the past few hours.  I don't remember seeing this on the models.  Is my memory wrong? Wasn't the discussion of a coastal transfer focused on it happening further north, if at all?

[Tropopause_Fold]

 +1

 

Yes it's going to melt some snow and the forecast high here is near 40F. I only have about 4-6" of snowcover left and it's melting more every day.

you may climb higher than that even. tough to say for sure but lower to middle 40s not out of the question. MAV/MET for BDL is like 48/49 for Thursday. maybe that's overdone a bit but that would still probably equate to lower 40s for you. and it'll be above 32F for a loooooong time. 

[Sugarloaf1989]

This is not a snowpack maintaining forecast:

 

This Afternoon Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Southeast wind around 8 mph.

• Tonight A chance of rain and snow before midnight, then snow likely between midnight and 3am, then snow and sleet after 3am. Patchy fog after 1am. Low around 30. Northeast wind 8 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
• Wednesday Rain and sleet, becoming all rain after 7am. Patchy fog. High near 41. East wind 13 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
• Wednesday Night Rain likely before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow. Patchy fog before 8pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 35. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
• Thursday Rain and snow showers likely, becoming all rain after 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 42. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
• Thursday Night A chance of rain showers before 8pm, then a chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=box&zmx=1&zmy=1&map_x=74&map_y=182&x=62&y=151

[Damage In Tolland]

you may climb higher than that even. tough to say for sure but lower to middle 40s not out of the question. MAV/MET for BDL is like 48/49 for Thursday. maybe that's overdone a bit but that would still probably equate to lower 40s for you. and it'll be above 32F for a loooooong time.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Whats the joke?

The wording of your post. 

[CoastalWx]

Put the spring hopes aside folks. It ain't coming so when the tide turns after this weekend...just hope we can cash in.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I guess an ideal scenario for me is ripping from the wee hours through mid morning, putting down a few inches of paste and then the flip to lighter, wetter precipitation so I can still leave for Newton at 10am. lol

Could work out that way though.

[Sugarloaf1989]

you may climb higher than that even. tough to say for sure but lower to middle 40s not out of the question. MAV/MET for BDL is like 48/49 for Thursday. maybe that's overdone a bit but that would still probably equate to lower 40s for you. and it'll be above 32F for a loooooong time. 

 

 

Fantasyland will stay below freezing with rainproof snowpack.

[Damage In Tolland]

Fantasyland will stay below freezing with rainprooof snowpack.

So lets get this straight. You are expecting over an inch of rain, temps in the 40's for 2 days and no snowcover left? Just want to make sure we are clear

[Tropopause_Fold]

read it and weep. 

[Bostonseminole]

Put the spring hopes aside folks. It ain't coming so when the tide turns after this weekend...just hope we can cash in.

 

I hope you are right, I'm happy for the folks that are cashing now, but it's getting to that point...

[ORH_wxman]

As much as Kevin sugarcoats things...snowpack in NE CT in the hills isn't going to get oblirated in this...its not warm enough. A 36F rain won't do it. Even as it gets over 40F, esp on Thursday under the ULL, that wont do it either unless its 40/40 fog which it won't be. It will be a steep lapse rate environ with probably low to mid 30s dewpoints.

 

 

Its more like a steady drip rather than a snow pack obliterator. Esp if you get a couple inches of paste to start the whole storm.

[Baroclinic Zone]

read it and weep. 

Not sure what was funny about your post.  Low 40's 40-42F is reasonable to expect in this setup.  Models giving 1-1.5" of QPF.  ~90% of it liquid for the majority S of I-90.

[Tropopause_Fold]

As much as Kevin sugarcoats things...snowpack in NE CT in the hills isn't going to get oblirated in this...its not warm enough. A 36F rain won't do it. Even as it gets over 40F, esp on Thursday under the ULL, that wont do it either unless its 40/40 fog which it won't be. It will be a steep lapse rate environ with probably low to mid 30s dewpoints.

 

 

Its more like a steady drip rather than a snow pack obliterator. Esp if you get a couple inches of paste to start the whole storm.

yeah he'll probably have an inch or two left over. his snow piles will still be there...just limp.