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Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B


Typhoon Tip

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They're in a warning for 8-12", no?

Can see on Gray's map they are outlining the lower elevations of the Merrimack river valley as a snowfall min area. Never noticed the valley so pronounced since I've been in the area. Hoping my 600ft el will help a little but we'll see.

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That's funny that places like ORH have a 6 inch threshold and the Hudson Valley down as far down at POU has a 7 inch threshold.

 

Its embarrassing up here, lol.

 

If I had my way, we'd do Advisories at like 6 inches and warnings at 9 or 10 inches.

 

Advisories for 2-4 or 3-5 inch deals always makes me chuckle... this is New England, we can handle that.  You can wake up and find 3" of flurries on your car in the morning, no need for headlines for that stuff.

 

ALB does it a lot, but I'm a big fan of the 4-8 inch Advisory. 

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Its not good when you see valley spots like Westfield already at 38/33... I mean that's already game over.  Its not like we are advecting colder air in prior to this.

 

I could definitely see a lot of spots start as light rain at like 34-36F, then dip to 32F with heavier precip for a few hours before going back to snow.

 

4km resolution meso-models have H85 temps pretty closely tied to orographics, upslope areas below 0C and downslope areas above 0C.  Its going to be that close.

 

Unless it rips real good there is potential for a lot of "this is it?" comments from W. MA to Central VT.

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Unless it rips real good there is potential for a lot of "this is it?" comments from W. MA to Central VT.

 

If we get the QPF numbers, or even approaching, that I've seen this morning, we'll have a hell of a pasting here at 1200' in central VT.

 

Central VT at 500' will be another story of course.

 

I'll wait for the Euro before I start tossing too much around though.  ;)

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