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Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B


Typhoon Tip

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Also shows Will doubling up the Rev ... not sure what the Woodster was talking about.  Probably wishology rather than meteorology.

 

 

When he starts saying that he gets the same as ORH on a front end thump setup, usually it means he is really starting to worry. But he should worry...its going to rain. Probably even up to my BY....though hopefully we can tick this back one notch colder.

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Euro ciming in a bit warmer puts me right on the line now between nearly all snow and a lot of mixing. The R/S line sits almost right on the pike for like 6-9 hours.

 

We had been trending colder for about4 runs in a row until that.

 

Will-- Isn't it driven by both latitude and altitude?    It would seem that while the modeled line might be in that area, that lower els above that line could/would still be rain?  That's been my read in any case.

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Will-- Isn't it driven by both latitude and altitude?    It would seem that while the modeled line might be in that area, that lower els above that line could/would still be rain?  That's been my read in any case.

 

 

Yes down in the lowest elevations even up into S NH its probably rain or rain/snow mix

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When he starts saying that he gets the same as ORH on a front end thump setup, usually it means he is really starting to worry. But he should worry...its going to rain. Probably even up to my BY....though hopefully we can tick this back one notch colder.

 

And then, when he stops posting, he'll be out in the garage checking on his Lesco supply and wondering if he might be able to put down a spring feeding over the weekend.

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RPM has about 6-8" here and a foot in the monads. It was warmer on the 06z run. I think a lot is going to have to due with how intense the omega is tomorrow morning in ORH hills that decides whether this is a pretty solid warning event or if it flips after 2-4".

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