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Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B


Typhoon Tip

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I finally caught him with this last event. Should start to pull away now in the next week or two. You might be too far behind though...however, you will make another dent in his lead with this next event.

So you think you'll get that much more than me in this one? You think you'll get another 7 Inches more like yesterday?
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Man that sucks.  Pretty frustrating Feb out there on the Cape.

huh? no not at all. lol.

 

i was just referencing this particular event. i'm certainly not woe is me about this though.

 

and anyway, i had a blizzard with 80 mph winds, followed up  a week later by another storm with heavy snow and 60 mph winds. hasn't been frustrating in the least. i always want more, but no. 

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18z RGEM is really impressive.

 

Some of these solutions are trying to squeeze everything south so that we end up with a roaring easterly LLJ whyile the mid-levels never allow us to dryslot....if that happens, the snowfall forecasts on the east slopes of N ORH hills/Monads/Berkshires will have to be upped considerably.

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I don't get you. I really don't. If you think youre getting rain Enjoy your rain in n vt I guess

 

What one thinks may happen, doesn't mean one would enjoy it.  Its forecasting.

 

All I'm saying is it wouldn't surprise me if the valleys up here are mixing with rain on Thursday afternoon with light precipitation rates. 

 

BTV has mention of it as well.

INITIAL PRECIPITATION TYPE COMES IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR SNOWSHOWERS...BUT MODEST 925/850MB COLD ADVECTION FOR FRIDAY NIGHTINTO SATURDAY WILL CHANGE PRECIPITATION TYPE TO LIGHT SNOWSHOWERS. 
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huh? no not at all. lol.

 

i was just referencing this particular event. i'm certainly not woe is me about this though.

 

and anyway, i had a blizzard with 80 mph winds, followed up  a week later by another storm with heavy snow and 60 mph winds. hasn't been frustrating in the least. i always want more, but no. 

Obviously I was poking fun at your anticipatory frustration.   :P  Especially that you would annouce it to the board after the month you've had.

But I know we always want more.  Missing a storm is always fruatrating, no matter how many times you've been nailed.

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Obviously I was poking fun at your anticipatory frustration.   :P  Especially that you would annouce it to the board after the month you've had.

But I know we always want more.  Missing a storm is always fruatrating, no matter how many times you've been nailed.

oh ok. i thought you were serious. definitely missed the sarcasm :lol:

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18z RGEM is really impressive.

 

Some of these solutions are trying to squeeze everything south so that we end up with a roaring easterly LLJ whyile the mid-levels never allow us to dryslot....if that happens, the snowfall forecasts on the east slopes of N ORH hills/Monads/Berkshires will have to be upped considerably.

The track and surface evolution look really nice.  But the temp and ptype algorithms look comparably warm.  I would chalk that up to low res and the marginal/elevational dependence of the storm. 

 

Echoing PF, Thursday looks really warm in the valleys.

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What one thinks may happen, doesn't mean one would enjoy it. Its forecasting.

All I'm saying is it wouldn't surprise me if the valleys up here are mixing with rain on Thursday afternoon with light precipitation rates.

BTV has mention of it as well.

INITIAL PRECIPITATION TYPE COMES IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS...BUT MODEST 925/850MB COLD ADVECTION FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY WILL CHANGE PRECIPITATION TYPE TO LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS.
this thread is about Wednesday Thursday day
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