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Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Nice explanation. I think the summits will have good 2 day totals by Thursday. But guidance has been shifting the deep lift a little south over the past few runs.

Yeah I'm not going gangbusters for my mountain forecast but this Mansfield will do 4-8/5-10 type deal prior to any upper level snow showers which can be just as prolific in the orographic region in the days following the surface low.

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Bostonseminole

Bostonseminole

Posted
Posted

Weather alert: Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME

336 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

complex winter storm headed toward new england...

a winter storm will track out of the plains and toward the great

lakes on tuesday. low pressure will move through the ohio valley

by wednesday... with rain and snow spreading into northern new

england ahead of it. as low pressure redevelops near cape cod on

wednesday night and thursday...more snow is expected over maine

and new hampshire. there will be periods where snow may change to

rain and back to snow...greatly impacting snowfall totals. this

will be a prolonged winter storm...with snow beginning as early

as late tuesday night and ending by friday morning. the heaviest

snow will likely occur on wednesday into wednesday night...with

the potential for more significant accumulations on thursday.

MEZ012>014-018>022-NHZ003>010-260500-

/O.NEW.KGYX.WS.A.0005.130227T1100Z-130228T2100Z/

SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-

INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-

NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-

SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...

FARMINGTON...WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD...

SANFORD...BERWICK...NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...

LEWISTON-AUBURN...LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA...WATERVILLE...

WINTERPORT...UNITY...LITTLETON...NORTH CONWAY...LEBANON...

HANOVER...PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT...

CHARLESTOWN...CONCORD...HOOKSETT...LACONIA...MEREDITH...

ROCHESTER...DOVER

336 PM EST MON FEB 25 2013

Winter storm watch in effect from wednesday morning through

thursday afternoon...

the National Weather Service in gray has issued a winter storm

watch, which is in effect from wednesday morning through

thursday afternoon.

* locations, central new hampshire and inland areas of western

maine.

* hazard types, heavy snow which may change back and forth to

rain and snow.

* timing, early wednesday morning through thursday afternoon.

* accumulations, snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches is possible

over the 36 hour period.

* impacts, heavy wet snow will make driving difficult on

untreated roadways. a change over to rain may make snow covered

roads even more slippery. heavy snow accumulations on trees may

snap weak limbs and lead to sporadic power outages.

* winds, northeast 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

* temperatures, upper 20S to mid 30S.

precautionary/preparedness actions...

a winter storm watch means there is a potential for significant

snow, sleet, or ice accumulations that may impact travel.

continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

 

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PWMan

PWMan

Posted
Posted

GYX hoisting WSW for interior sections.

I don't have a watch/warning fetish, but I'm somewhat surprised that they excluded the coast since the point forecasts for PWM-land show categorical snow with rain mixing in later in the period. Seems like a solid chance of a high-impact event even if there's mixing or a changeover. I'll look forward to reading the new AFD when it's posted to see what their thinking is.

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted

Here's my issue and its not entirely the coast marine one. I noticed yesterday that MWN was 25 on the summit. This is marginal air that you have to go north to guarantee decent snow or get elevated along and north of the pike. We need a new air mass pike south.

exactly.  Folks below the Pike hoping to get much out of this stale airmass are likely in for alot of dissapointment....

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
Posted

lol

 

Pete Bouchard ‏@pbouchardon7

If there's anything I've learned from the past storm...we're in spring mode now. Get ready for MAINLY rain in the next storm (Wed).

lol.

 

i know what he's saying. but that rule can't be applied every storm. 

 

that said, rain probably dominates outside of the hilly interior...and of course best odds, N of the pike blah blah. :lol:

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weathafella

weathafella

Posted
Posted

lol.

 

i know what he's saying. but that rule can't be applied every storm. 

 

that said, rain probably dominates outside of the hilly interior...and of course best odds, N of the pike blah blah. :lol:

Yeah he's really lost it to blame it on spring mode. We've all seen deep cold this time of year but not now.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

lol.

i know what he's saying. but that rule can't be applied every storm.

that said, rain probably dominates outside of the hilly interior...and of course best odds, N of the pike blah blah. :lol:

LOL so an east wind means we are in spring mode? Yeah we never have issues in the dead of winter with east winds. What a meatball.

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