Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[Quincy]

12z Euro 850mb freezing line only gets as far north as about DXR-HFD-IJD-PVD-TAN. 2m temps hover around freezing in western MA, while other areas do warm into the mid-30's during the day on Wednesday. FWIW, 1000-500mb thicknesses also a tick cooler.

[ORH_wxman]

Lol 3-6 of snow then 3-6 of sleet. At least it stays all frozen

 

 

I don't know for sure if it stays frozen there. You may have a period of 34F rain. Without soundings its difficult to tell.

[dryslot]

man this is painful. if we can get this 50 miles further south...what a difference for the entire SNE region. no offense NNE peeps. 

 

None taken, Thanks, But its fine right where it is..........

[Tropopause_Fold]

None taken, Thanks, But its fine right where it is..........

 

i feel it coming south. tick tick tick. 

[heavy_wx]

Guessing that the QPF shifted SE again on this run?

Two questions: One, how much QPF does SLK see?(I know it's out of the forums area, but it's in the BTV warning area, and the upstate forum is always quiet), and Two, do I start as snow on the EURO, even for a few minutes? Thanks in advance.

 

-skisheep

 

The Euro has .48" all snow through 06z Thursday at SLK.

[Typhoon Tip]

Yeah, he stumped the panel with that one.

 

I think Tip, MPM and myself are the only 3 people on the board that call W end of Rt 2 The Mohawk Trail.

 

 

Yeah, I used that for geographic reference only ... more for generalized latitude appeal:   Here is technically the region - but if you continue to follow Rt 2 on toward Acton and Concord Mass... Lincoln and Arlington... it's a good reference zone. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

man this is painful. if we can get this 50 miles further south...what a difference for the entire SNE region. no offense NNE peeps.

Seems like this run shifted 25-50 miles SE? Is there room for one more tickle?

[N. OF PIKE]

12z Euro 850mb freezing line only gets as far north as about DXR-HFD-IJD-PVD-TAN. 2m temps hover around freezing in western MA, while other areas do warm into the mid-30's during the day on Wednesday. FWIW, 1000-500mb thicknesses also a tick cooler.

would this imply a wet snow north of there , wonder if 8H has a warm layer

[weatherMA]

None taken, Thanks, But its fine right where it is..........

How much of a qpf cut? 00z had almost 1.25 here.

[ORH_wxman]

Light snow rots over SNe on the Euro until Friday morning...it takes forever to shut off.

[Typhoon Tip]

man this is painful. if we can get this 50 miles further south...what a difference for the entire SNE region. no offense NNE peeps. 

 

 

I kind of like these dynamic p-type deals - just me, I know..  But could be snow most of the time for places like Winchendon Mass, while PVD has 32.1 rain with icing going on in the NW hills... 

 

Yeah, but if you are out over the Cape...eh, tough there.  You stick out in the ocean on an East wind in the best of times and you got problems.  You are right though, 50 mi south might commit this to more a normal Nor'easter and that would mean for a different landscape to this event for sure - 

[dryslot]

 

i feel it coming south. tick tick tick. 

 

 

Like a bomb, Most have ticked that way, So i would not be shocked but still would be fine either way..

[dryslot]

How much of a qpf cut? 00z had almost 1.25 here.

 

Looks like 1.00" this run

[N. OF PIKE]

is this the storm hubbdave trumps will ?

[Damage In Tolland]

Light snow rots over SNe on the Euro until Friday morning...it takes forever to shut off.

Remember last week when it had that and we were joking about 100 hours of snow.. Does that mean it also keeps Thursday colder as the occlusion happens south of us?

[moneypitmike]

I'm flying out of BDL Thursday morning (returing Thurs night).  Maybe I'll need a deicing.

[Tropopause_Fold]

Seems like this run shifted 25-50 miles SE? Is there room for one more tickle?

it shifted south some yeah. there's certainly room for more. if it were a couple days further out, i'd be happier. 

 

the HP up north is strong...noses in stronger too. so close. any further SE and i'd suspect you stay 32 or colder. 

[moneypitmike]

I can only hope GC can muster some qpf out of this system.  Yesterday's sucked big time.

[mattlacroix4]

Looks like 1.00" this run

1 inch QPF after this last one, I consider that amazing. Does that take into account the spokes of energy that get caught in the cutt off in the days after?

[Damage In Tolland]

What are qpf amounts like in SNE? Does it total up thru Friday?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

It's an effective reference since the climate along the whole of RT 2 is too variable to just use RT 2  as a reference for winter events.  W of the CT River can be quite different than even Orange and Athol never mind your area which is a different forecast zone.  In fact RT 2 corridor W of the Ct River is really more like CNE as far as winter discussion.

 

With this particular system Mohawk Trail region of RT 2 seems to be a favorable place to be.

 

Yeah, I used that for geographic reference only ... more for generalized latitude appeal:   Here is technically the region - but if you continue to follow Rt 2 on toward Acton and Concord Mass... Lincoln and Arlington... it's a good reference zone. 

 

[dryslot]

1 inch QPF after this last one, I consider that amazing. Does that take into account the spokes of energy that get caught in the cutt off in the days after?

 

 

Did not have any s/w's associated with the ULL after

[ORH_wxman]

Looks like all of SNE is about 1-1.25" (nearing 1.50" in NE MA) except SE CT, RI and SE MA are in the 0.75"-1.00 range with the outer Cape more like 0.50-0.75".

[dendrite]

Nice cold run.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

What are qpf amounts like in SNE? Does it total up thru Friday?

 

Since precip is moving in more from W we should fair better than if it was just a push from the S.

 

I'm sure we'll get thumped seeing as how I'm supposed to drive to Newton Wed. morning. 

[CT Rain]

What are qpf amounts like in SNE? Does it total up thru Friday?

Omg I'm going to pay for euro access for you along with model reading lessons so we don't have to read a barrage of 20 questions each run lol

[HIPPYVALLEY]

it sure is a diff world out there chris

 

We moved here from Cambridge so the culture shock was considerable.   I do miss being on the CP for the big coastals though...

[Baroclinic Zone]

Omg I'm going to pay for euro access for you along with model reading lessons so we don't have to read a barrage of 20 questions each run lol

Or he could wait like most and get the images on E-Wall, Plymouth, or Wunderground.

[Damage In Tolland]

Omg I'm going to pay for euro access for you along with model reading lessons so we don't have to read a barrage of 20 questions each run lol

If you have access you should be disseminating this info to avoid questions.

[Damage In Tolland]

It's a wx board. We're asking questions. Deal with it