Feb 27th threat - to be discussed in time, but it should tend to more Miller B

[dryslot]

that is very comforting.  snowpack building fast.  maybe we get more thurs/fri/sat.

 

I think we are in a good spot for this one

[eduggs]

BLUE HILL in rare territory 1) 65.4 in 1969

2) 51.3 in 2003

3) 45.2 in 1967

4) 40.4 in 1920

5) 39.3 in 2013 (thru Feb. 25)(7 A.M.)

6) 37.0 in 1893

7) 36.0 in 1899

8) 35.3 in 2013

9) 34.7 in 1926,1934

Could sneak into 3rd place! 

The closest climate site to me, ALB, averages about as much snow as Blue Hill and Portland Maine, and just a little less than Worcester.  We're currently getting doubled up by Blue Hill and tripled up by PWM and ORH.  I'm just hoping to break double digits for the month.  Downsloping looks to be a bl problem here but the ridges to the west of the HV (Logan) could really cash in with this setup.

[bobbutts]

For us the forecast should probably say.  "Snow developing early Wednesday, possibly mixing with or changing to rain.  Significant accumulations possible."

yep, leave the door open for rain, but also highlight the significant snowfall potential.

[PWMan]

I think we are in a good spot for this one

Yeah, I think it's folks like me right on/near the coast who will have issues. I'm picturing 5-6 wet inches + rain.

[dryslot]

Yeah, I think it's folks like me right on/near the coast who will have issues. I'm picturing 5-6 wet inches + rain.

 

I agree with you, The ones right along the coast but you still see snow, It will be a blue snow bomb here like this last one

[mahk_webstah]

taking the over from Sunday's storm?

[Zeus]

Hey guys

[dryslot]

taking the over from Sunday's storm?

 

That's a tough call i think, But i would lean over

[weatherMA]

That's a tough call i think, But i would lean over

I hope it's over here

[moneypitmike]

I think we are in a good spot for this one

 

I think a lot of us wish we were in your spot.  Congrats on the back-to-backs.

[dryslot]

I hope it's over here

 

Wouldn't you have some down sloping issues...............

[Baroclinic Zone]

I think the GGEM would make a few people happy.  I don't think the 850 line gets above BDL-BOS

[MarkO]

I foresee a situation where I get a few inches on the front end here in Lowell, yet a changeover prettymuch washes anything new away, flakes on the backside, whereas 20 miles to my northwest (Amherst, NH) accumulates snow all day.

 

I feel confident the cabin stays all snow.

[dryslot]

I think a lot of us wish we were in your spot.  Congrats on the back-to-backs.

 

Thanks Mike, Could be a big snow week up here

[dryslot]

I think the GGEM would make a few people happy.  I don't think the 850 line gets above BDL-BOS

 

It looked a lot better for the ones on the fence, It seems most of the time as we get closer to some of these events the models finally start to trend colder

[MBRI]

Headed to Stratton Wednesday and NWS has sleet to all rain after 11:00 AM. Cant see that happening with all the latest models.

[Baroclinic Zone]

It looked a lot better for the ones on the fence, It seems most of the time as we get closer to some of these events the models finally start to trend colder

You'll be just fine up there.

[Modfan]

I think the GGEM would make a few people happy.  I don't think the 850 line gets above BDL-BOS

Continuing the trend south I assume

[NorEastermass128]

I think the GGEM would make a few people happy.  I don't think the 850 line gets above BDL-BOS

 

Any semblance to Jan. 2006 (24th?)

 

I remember it was a latitudal snow bomb for most.  5-10" blue bomb. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Continuing the trend south I assume

 

Was colder than the GFS.

[MainePhotog]

It looked a lot better for the ones on the fence, It seems most of the time as we get closer to some of these events the models finally start to trend colder

 

For those on the coast, is that immediate coast? Do you think 15 miles inland will be fine? Thanks, Jeff!

[ORH_wxman]

You'll be just fine up there.

 

 

Right on the heels of him b**ching all week how this past storm was gonna be too suppressed.

 

 

Reverse psychology FTW this winter. Kevin's pessimism on the blizzard started the trend.

[dryslot]

You'll be just fine up there.

 

Yeah, I was thinking more for some of you down there and the coastal areas not here..............

[Baroclinic Zone]

Any semblance to Jan. 2006 (24th?)

 

I remember it was a latitudal snow bomb for most.  5-10" blue bomb. 

Not my forte.  Will may know.

[dryslot]

Right on the heels of him b**ching all week how this past storm was gonna be too suppressed.

 

 

Reverse psychology FTW this winter. Kevin's pessimism on the blizzard started the trend.

 

 

lol, I was not referring to my area, Some of you downstream is who this was directed at, And yeah, I bitched, Until we started to see a trough on this one developing as the surface low looked like it would never get here and did not early on, This one had just a good a chance to go out under us if the block was not in a favorable spot

[Quincy]

Here's the mean analog snowfall. It doesn't look that far off from the model consensus:

[H2Otown_WX]

Thanks Mike, Could be a big snow week up here

You're doing much better now. Dry no longer begets dry.

[mahk_webstah]

Wouldn't you have some down sloping issues...............

Uneccessary roughness and taunting, 15 yards.

[Typhoon Tip]

This could be a nasty, nasty event for a lot of the interior... perhaps a 2nd season-defining system if things work out right, but not for any blizzard, but high impact multi-threat. 

 

00Z

This could be a 2-4" of snow, then .75" accretion in icing, followed by 12 to 18 hours of steady light to moderate snow resulting in 6-10" - that's what the 00z GGEM looked like...

 

The NOGAPS kept it snow N of the Pike for 36 straight hours!  

 

The Euro was less impact but similar distribution of p-types...   

 

NAM is June in a -NAO so can't conceptually be trusted, although the 12z desperately tried to cool it seemed. 

 

GFS ...blah blah blah

 

Just in general, this is an odd one.  It's a bundle of deep layer dynamics that gets caught up in the nadir of the NAO, and thus gets "trapped" so to speak, where the system's spatial-temporal evolution becomes more depended on the NAO time-span.   This makes for a very long, long system - 

 

12z suite should be interesting... 

[Baroclinic Zone]

If anyhting, the GGEM looks similar to the Ukie.