Mr Torchey Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 SREFs look good again..maybe a tick cooler. juiced up over ct ri and eastern mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Fascinating and exotic snowfall rates with lightning and thunder over eastern MO - we can't even assess this as meaningful here, because it is actually a southern stream quasi-outside slider ripping down the California coast that catches up and slips underneath that ultimately impacts us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Harvey Leonard @HarveyWCVB General idea is most accumulating snow Sat. nt. will be inland & along & north of Ma Pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Not sure how accurate, reliable, or even plausable the Cobb method is, but between the 12Z NAM predicting 40.1 inches for me and the 12Z GFS predicting 0.0 (Blutarsky) inches, I guess I go with a forecast of 0-40? LOL! http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfs&site=kbed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This is a question for the more experience guys in the room, but after what the last two weekend storms have turned into. Can we use that as a possibly model for this one? That the more dynamical situation will win out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 juiced up over ct ri and eastern mass Drier and drier each run over SNY and ENY. That will eventually bite everyone in the ass unless there is a late strengthening of the SLP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Drier and drier each run over SNY and ENY. That will eventually bite everyone in the ass unless there is a late strengthening of the SLP. Its all rain here so I have no dog in this fight, hopefully it does just as you suggest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Congrats again ENE. This is your winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Congrats again ENE. This is your winter. I should have stuck with my original thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 SREFS to me are all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Euro ensembles are decent looking...they look a bit more robust at 66h vs the OP run...then fairly similar to the OP after that. They are definitely hitting on that weenie CCB potential for E MA on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I think I'd make out fairly well on the SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I know many weather men are going for good snowstorm for sne area . The storm is coming all models are colder today but i guess some people dont see that well that there problem . Just like the blizzard two agoo people said not storm or to far east . . im going for 6- 12 inches for northern ct area and 3- 7 inches near the coast . They dont change every time models change . There is blocking nao- too . to many people not going with the nam when it did good for storm two weeks ago too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Alright - new rule: No one is allowed to mention the SREF unless they identify which time stamp/run interval they are referring... Violators will be voodoo cursed and you don't want that - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I think I'd make out fairly well on the SREFs. I think you make out fairly well on everything we have seen today honestly. congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Alright - new rule: No one is allowed to mention the SREF unless they identify which time stamp/run interval they are referring... Violators will be voodoo cursed and you don't want that - The 15z runs. Check out EWALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I think you make out fairly well on everything we have seen today honestly. congrats I'm iffy on the boundary layer for a chunk of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 15z snow probs...had to post it because of the 8" bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 15z snow probs...had to post it because of the 8" bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Over/under on 18z NAM QPF for BOS. Setting it at 2.2"..have a feeling it's slightly less ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 The 15z runs. Check out EWALL. thnkz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Over/under on 18z NAM QPF for BOS. Setting it at 2.2"..have a feeling it's slightly less ridiculous. Under 1.8", That being said, I like the bump S on the SREFs. 0c lines gets up to about SFZ, TAN, GHG before collapsing S. Juicy too. 1.5"-1.75" over SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Re: 18z, thru 27h, liking the trend of a weaker low over Michigan, as far as snow/rain issues go... 12z looked almost like a potent Miller A without complicating Great Lakes primary low issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Just saw the 33 hour NAM and is stronger (discerned) in the 500mb S/W coming down the frontal range of the Rockies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Srefs are a crush from HFD north east. Sounds like euro ens were also juicier and colder even s of pike? Wrong or right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 huh, thinking this 18z run is going to maybe go back to more of a deeper solution - it's got a significantly stronger v-max rounding the base of the trough compared to the same intervals as the 12z ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Srefs are a crush from HFD north east. Sounds like euro ens were also juicier and colder even s of pike? Wrong or right? The temp profile on the ensembles was similar to the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 wow at the potent energy at h5 over New Mexico at 36h 18z Nam... that is significantly more energy than the 6z/12z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 LOL at the difference on the NAM thru 36h with the s/w rounding the trough. Night and day from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Congrats again ENE. This is your winter. I don't mind missing snow if the ski areas are getting dumped on. I guess i could book a trip to P-town or Truro and ski the dunes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.