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Feb 24th threat part deux


Typhoon Tip

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Has there been a time all winter when two runs of the NAM have been even remotely similar?  Horribly useless waste of computer resources right now.

 

Still though...that trough is close enough that you better keep an eye on it in later runs of the non-comedic models.

Nam threatening to verify the box snow map...lol. Bl sub freezing with increasing snow rates ovrnight.

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Blizzard 2013 - didn't it show massive QPF consistently?

 

Meh, it also had runs that gave NJ like 7 feet of snow I think inside of 48 hours.  It's terrible...that was a situation that even the NOGAPs got right. 

 

Nam threatening to verify the box snow map...lol. Bl sub freezing with increasing snow rates ovrnight.

 

This is not the storm people were expecting or hoping for but it can still be pretty interesting.

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I always like watching this during this very marginal situations, critical thickness values in motion, each representing a level of the atmosphere, you can see the warming taking place but also can see some dynamic cooling in lower levels. After the initial push north this will rotate back SE, hopefully before all the precip leaves as the GFS shows, edit sorry under the winter weather menu select critical thickness

.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/sfctest/new/archiveviewer.php?sector=16&parm=swbt#

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