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Feb 24th threat part deux


Typhoon Tip

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Euro is meh.

 

Euro consistency is mostly gone this winter in most events.  Jumps around just as much as the other models.  This is 2 straight runs towards the "wrong" direction.   we saw this last weekend with that blizzard that missed, the shunting east each run at some point will need to stop for this to be a big dog at game time.

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Weak like the GEM, or like the GFS?

 

GEM...it pops late so E MA still gets in on the snow eventually, but not the faster thump I was hoping to see. Its amazing how one little wobble in the Greak Lakes ULL really affects the ultimate outcome. Euro at least has mostly been making minor wobbles the last 3 runs while other guidance seems to be jumping around more.

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