Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 NAM about to unleash at 36h over Eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I mean I bet we see the SE, weaker trend turn around a little for 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 You guys looking at the fake NAM? Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 NAM pretty far SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 NAM pretty far SE. Yup. I like the NAM, personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Wow nam is further south east and cold............looks great from I84 north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Not a good run for north of the MA/NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 What a d*ck comment lol. Wow Just remember, there might have been a time where you didn't know as much about weather as you do now. Try to remember that. I think analog96's call for 3 inch max of snow in ct may fail, nam is a nice start to 12z guidance.........hopefully the gfs rgem and euro continue the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 It's almost like the initial S/W helps scoot the low east, but now hetre comes the srn s/w trying to rip back the moisture, but the heavy precip is I-95 SE..although obviously some of that is taint. It is colder so that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 trending toward the euro. weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Crushed for many. TOL looks good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 All it does is muddy up the waters. So tell me where I was wrong so I can learn something please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Yup. I like the NAM, personally. It seems to have a shorter overall event, and continue a downturn in overall QPF in the last three runs. Granted, it's moving down from a jumping off point that was somewhat ridiculous, but at the same time it's interesting to see it slash totals a bit as we close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 ..I am sad, way too far SE. It really looked amped and juicy early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Actually might be int SE MA crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 nice run for northern ct into ri and eastern mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 So tell me where I was wrong so I can learn something please. All I'm asking is to stop guessing who gets crushed when the model is nowhere near that point in time. It's not a TOL crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 trending toward the euro. weak sauce. I'll take weak sauce with 1"+ QPF for 1000 Alec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Nam trending to Euro? What a surprise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 All I'm asking is to stop guessing who gets crushed when the model is nowhere near that point in time. It's not a TOL crusher. Looks like nearly one inch of qpf for kevin all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Do us a favor and stop interpreting models falsely. Thank you. Hey Scott, did the 9Z RPM just have a brain fart !? Suddenly its got no snow for Boston and very little even to MHT with MOST of the snow to the west of MHT. V weird compared to other model guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Actually might be int SE MA crusher.Looks like 4-8" it is.CT will probably end up beating me yet again. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 It seems to have a shorter overall event, and continue a downturn in overall QPF in the last three runs. Granted, it's moving down from a jumping off point that was somewhat ridiculous, but at the same time it's interesting to see it slash totals a bit as we close in. Considering the Euro ticked E over several runs the NAM may be confirming a trend. Good for the CP but meh' for everyone else if the qpf gets anymore meager over the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 It's close to a big hit in ern areas, you can see how once the s/w comes in...the precip tries to hang back to the west...but it scoots out a bit too far east. Still a good hit just inland. But, it's the NAM and we'll see what the other guidance does. It does look like SREFs with max QPF SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Looks like 4-8" it is. CT will probably end up beating me yet again. lol I wouldn't worry too much..you are still in a decent spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Is the 850 freezing line the rain/snow line? That seems to be the assumption by most. What if its the -3C isotherm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Is the 850 freezing line the rain/snow line? That seems to be the assumption by most. What if its the -3C isotherm? well it's never going to be exactly that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 The NAM is so inconsistent... I'm waiting for the GFS and Euro. Inside 36 hrs they should have some accuracy. But anyway next week is our best shot out here. Looks like 4-8" it is.CT will probably end up beating me yet again. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Is the 850 freezing line the rain/snow line? That seems to be the assumption by most. What if its the -3C isotherm? Is the 850 freezing line the rain/snow line? That seems to be the assumption by most. What if its the -3C isotherm? Yeah it's probably going to work out close to that., but on the coast..it may be closer to the 950 0C line thanks to boundary layer. But dynamics yet again are vital. This makes the difference between 2" and 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 this is morphing into a fairly short event. maybe eastern areas hang on to precip a bit longer but i don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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