ORH_wxman Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Box's snowmap looks much more reasonable and logical this morning. I must have missed last night's version...what did it show? I agree this morning's map looks pretty decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I must have missed last night's version...what did it show? I agree this morning's map looks pretty decent Less than an inch for bob Scott Jerry me Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Less than an inch for bob Scott Jerry me Phil And all the way up toward Springfield, ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 As of 4:55pm For Will. Box map from yesterday EDIT: It's on page 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Less than an inch for bob Scott Jerry me Phil My only thought on that was they did the initial map more for areas where they were more confident of the forecast and waited on the other areas until more model data had come in. I don't fault them for stuff like this. As has been said numerous times already, this is as difficult a snow forecast as you'll ever see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 The 06z HIRESNAM is a paste job for most of the area S of BOS. 1.75-2" with the 0c 850 line getting up to about PVD-TAN-GHG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I think a blockbuster is off the table given the tardy nature of the CCB getting going.....just how quickly it ramps up probably will probably determine whether this is a 4-8", or a 6-12"er... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I must have missed last night's version...what did it show? I agree this morning's map looks pretty decent Less than an inch for everyone east of Worcester. Was very longitudinal in design. Also went from less than an inch to 10-14" in like 15 miles from east to west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I believe in this type of storm models such as WRF and MM5 perform very well. The NNM (hard to believe ATT) nailed the blizzard QPF two days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Looks like the 09z SREFs have basically held serve on the 850mb 0c line. Maybe a few miles S out in Eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Looks like the 09z SREFs have basically held serve on the 850mb 0c line. Maybe a few miles S out in Eastern areas. Solid 1"+ for all of SNE. 0.5" all the way up to the Canadian border and over to the ME coast. Looks like it holds along the coast implying the CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I think a blockbuster is off the table given the tardy nature of the CCB getting going.....just how quickly it ramps up probably will probably determine whether this is a 4-8", or a 6-12"er... Nothing wrong with tippy blue snowcone stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Srefs look like a solid 6-12 inches. Just a Birch Breaking blue bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I am in Burlington, VT and the WPTZ morning met says it may mix with rain up here... Maybe in the Champ valley but very unlikely higher up and further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Srefs look like a solid 6-12 inches. Just a Birch Breaking blue bomb. True Bliz form today. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 SREFs actually looked good for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 SREFs torch TOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 SREFs actually looked good for BOS. I'd say areas just S of BOS do just fine as well. Maybe to Brockton/Norwood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 SREFs torch TOL. Yeah as does just about everything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Yeah as does just about everything else. Meteorology, not writing-on-the-wall-ology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 bmitted by admin on Fri, 02/22/2013 - 07:46 Hello to all.. ..Another weekend, another potential snowstorm for Southern New England with the potential for a heavy wet snow, strong to damaging winds and minor to moderate coastal flooding.. ..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6" or more of snow. This Winter Storm Watch may be expanded further south in future updates.. ..Strong to damaging winds may prompt Wind Advisories for portions of East and South Coastal Massachusetts and the Cape and Islands in future updates.. ..Minor to possibly Moderate Coastal Flooding is possible at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands.. ..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely starting either late Saturday Night or early Sunday Morning lasting through the day Sunday.. Another weekend will bring another coastal storm to Southern New England. In the scenario for this weekend, temperatures will be marginal especially along and south of the Mass. Pike for heavy snowfall but along and north of the Mass. Pike, temperatures should be cold enough for snow and it is likely to be a heavy wet snow across portions of the region. A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6" or more of snow. Some locations could potentially see around a foot of snow depending on the amount of precipitation and the snow to water ratios. South of the Mass. Pike, precipitation will start as snow, change to rain, and then go back to snow. Some accumulation is expected but confidence is low on 6" or more amounts in this area. Model runs have been trending a bit colder and this may necessitate Winter Storm Watches extending further south into portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. This will be monitored closely. The heavy wet snow clinging to trees and power lines may cause scattered tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. The area where this may occur is difficult to pinpoint at this time and will depend on temperature profiles. Strong to damaging winds will be possible across portions of East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands as well as the risk of minor to moderate coastal flooding particularly in those areas affected by the blizzard a few weeks ago. Wind Advisories may be required in this area in future updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 12z NAM is going to produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charleskoz Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I'm shocked, absolutely shocked, that the big snows for the interior that were on the models the last two days have now disappeared, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 The 12Z NAM looks like it will tip the strengthening trend now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 SREFs torch TOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I'm shocked, absolutely shocked, that the big snows for the interior that were on the models the last two days have now disappeared, lol. It isn't exactly the first time a forecast has changed going from 4 days out to 2 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Tolland crush job on the NAM? Kevin bumptrolling all weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 The 12Z NAM looks like it will tip the strengthening trend now Wouldn't call it a trend until it has some support from the rest of the 12z suite, mostly because the NAM has been quite juiced up for several of its last 48 hours worth of runs, and in some cases it's been alone on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Love the cold trend on all models. Mix may even stay south of HFD now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.