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Feb 24th threat part deux


Typhoon Tip

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Only thing that doesn't show that is the Euro...Rgem/NAM/Even your beloved GFS

LOL so we toss, right? I could def see more snow for you, but again it's important for this to go to town stage right. Hopefully it was a burp euro run because that was ugly. GFS looked good and so did the NAM.

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LOL so we toss, right? I could def see more snow for you, but again it's important for this to go to town stage right. Hopefully it was a burp euro run because that was ugly. GFS looked good and so did the NAM.

I agree..The Euro was hideous. It was colder..but what happened to the qpf. Just looked like it was off..

 

Were ens better?

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I'll take

 

Toss it...

 

Wait, that's my map. In reality though, the 06z NAM slashed QPF amounts by nearly half or more and still gives southern NH and southwestern ME high end advisory/low end warning type snow. Starts getting sketchy real fast to the north, but a watch carries some of that inherent uncertainty.

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Toss it...

 

Wait, that's my map. In reality though, the 06z NAM slashed QPF amounts by nearly half or more and still gives southern NH and southwestern ME high end advisory/low end warning type snow. Starts getting sketchy real fast to the north, but a watch carries some of that inherent uncertainty.

 

 

Sharp cuttoff on this northern side, Nam certainly makes for a lot of eyebrow raising, I would be more concerned if we were inside 24 hrs or so and it had this solution, Euro was pretty solid on qpf this way, I will take it until proven otherwise, GFS was close to the Euro and the 03z SREF'S looked decent to, Still a lot of time left in the period for trends favorable or unfavorable

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Man just a bit stronger and the euro is quite the snow event, CCB blows up over CC Bay.

 

Yeah but it hasn't shown that thing over land in three or four runs. Not much time left for it to join the parade vs. lead the parade out to sea on the heavy stuff.

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Yeah but it hasn't shown that thing over land in three or four runs. Not much time left for it to join the parade vs. lead the parade out to sea on the heavy stuff.

 

It had it over ern areas the last few runs. It ticked colder which is better, but the boundary layer is more the issue obviously. While we bash the NAM, it does have decent support for dynamic cooling and keeps us right near 32F.

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