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Feb 24th threat part deux


Typhoon Tip

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It looks like it misses with the CCB but I may be looking at the old run?

It looked cold up to about hour 48 with a nice front end thump but the low tracks inside the benchmark and coastal areas still have issues up to about the Mass border east and south. Its much better for snow in areas north of that line compared to 12z

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My workplace is usually pretty stingy with calling things off, but if we get the high end of Harv and others thoughts its possible. Much better shot of classes canceled Monday with how rough the parking already is.

 

yeah, schools will likely be delayed, depending on how long it goes into sunday.  kids get and extra day..

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I like that the 00z GFS has brought 700 mb deformation back closer to the coast, closer than the Euro even.

I noticed that ULL over the great lakes really helping out with frontogenesis over western NE for a short time. Those westerly winds approaching western mass while H7 develops and tries turn winds easterly over eastern areas should be fun for some. The whole thing eventually shifts east, but I did notice this on the NAM and GFS.

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watching many ct mets say this will rain because the storm will be "well" north west of the 40/70 benchmark... I don't think this is the case, as the storm is forecast to be just inside the benchmark.. no cold-air source is a bigger reason.. and what else would you say? wouldn't this set-up generally be a snow event for most with a stronger high to our north. not north and east and "weak"

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