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Feb 24th threat part deux


Typhoon Tip

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  On 2/22/2013 at 11:29 AM, CT Blizz said:

Only thing that doesn't show that is the Euro...Rgem/NAM/Even your beloved GFS

LOL so we toss, right? I could def see more snow for you, but again it's important for this to go to town stage right. Hopefully it was a burp euro run because that was ugly. GFS looked good and so did the NAM.

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  On 2/22/2013 at 11:32 AM, CoastalWx said:

LOL so we toss, right? I could def see more snow for you, but again it's important for this to go to town stage right. Hopefully it was a burp euro run because that was ugly. GFS looked good and so did the NAM.

I agree..The Euro was hideous. It was colder..but what happened to the qpf. Just looked like it was off..

 

Were ens better?

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  On 2/22/2013 at 11:33 AM, CT Blizz said:

I agree..The Euro was hideous. It was colder..but what happened to the qpf. Just looked like it was off..

Were ens better?

I can't see at the moment, will look soon. Maybe it's a weird run, we'll know at 12z. It wouldn't really sway me too much at the moment.
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  On 2/22/2013 at 11:22 AM, CT Blizz said:

Don't say you weren't warned

 

I'll take a picture of my currently snow encrusted generator.

 

  On 2/22/2013 at 11:29 AM, CT Blizz said:

Only thing that doesn't show that is the Euro...Rgem/NAM/Even your beloved GFS

 

Everything else gets tossed doesn't it?  :)

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  On 2/22/2013 at 11:45 AM, dryslot said:

I'll take

 

Toss it...

 

Wait, that's my map. In reality though, the 06z NAM slashed QPF amounts by nearly half or more and still gives southern NH and southwestern ME high end advisory/low end warning type snow. Starts getting sketchy real fast to the north, but a watch carries some of that inherent uncertainty.

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  On 2/22/2013 at 11:49 AM, OceanStWx said:

Toss it...

 

Wait, that's my map. In reality though, the 06z NAM slashed QPF amounts by nearly half or more and still gives southern NH and southwestern ME high end advisory/low end warning type snow. Starts getting sketchy real fast to the north, but a watch carries some of that inherent uncertainty.

 

 

Sharp cuttoff on this northern side, Nam certainly makes for a lot of eyebrow raising, I would be more concerned if we were inside 24 hrs or so and it had this solution, Euro was pretty solid on qpf this way, I will take it until proven otherwise, GFS was close to the Euro and the 03z SREF'S looked decent to, Still a lot of time left in the period for trends favorable or unfavorable

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  On 2/22/2013 at 12:31 PM, CoastalWx said:

Man just a bit stronger and the euro is quite the snow event, CCB blows up over CC Bay.

 

Yeah but it hasn't shown that thing over land in three or four runs. Not much time left for it to join the parade vs. lead the parade out to sea on the heavy stuff.

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  On 2/22/2013 at 12:35 PM, Zeus said:

Yeah but it hasn't shown that thing over land in three or four runs. Not much time left for it to join the parade vs. lead the parade out to sea on the heavy stuff.

 

It had it over ern areas the last few runs. It ticked colder which is better, but the boundary layer is more the issue obviously. While we bash the NAM, it does have decent support for dynamic cooling and keeps us right near 32F.

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  On 2/22/2013 at 12:31 PM, CoastalWx said:

Man just a bit stronger and the euro is quite the snow event, CCB blows up over CC Bay.

 

 

Euro ensembles looked better than the OP....OP was ok back here, but that stronger CCB that BOS wants got going about 10 miels too late.

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