Huffwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Good news i think. The euro control which had been consistenly south of the OP European is now more north of it and although it dosent hit us...it does show a historic storm for SE Virginia. Its sooooooo close. Heavy precip as far north as Fredricksburg That's a long event on that model-- i'm not sure it would all be snow, even back my way. Light stuff in early March, as we know would not stick. However, those heavy bands 50-100 miles to my east and South east are tastey at this point. I like for ROA-LYH shot for a minor event, if not more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 as long as the computers show a decent storm to our south, I think we're fine until 48 hrs out when we want the models to have it hitting us 6-7 days ago the Euro showed NE getting crushed with days and days of snow....today, nada and yesterday storm was mostly rain (relative to Euro 6-7 days ago) where did the storm go? north (of course) we may not get the bomb, which we all know we need to overcome bl issues, but the storm will likely come north of today's consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Good news i think. The euro control which had been consistenly south of the OP European is now more north of it and although it dosent hit us...it does show a historic storm for SE Virginia. Its sooooooo close. Heavy precip as far north as Fredricksburg Plenty of time, this thread will keep growing until this is past, this is the last chance for DC metro area. I will be happy if somewhere in MA region get a big hit. Maybe snow chase to Mount Rogers this time, that is so much better than those who went to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 as long as the computers show a decent storm to our south, I think we're fine until 48 hrs out when we want the models to have it hitting us 6-7 days ago the Euro showed NE getting crushed with days and days of snow....today, nada and yesterday storm was mostly rain (relative to Euro 6-7 days ago) where did the storm go? north (of course) we may not get the bomb, which we all know we need to overcome bl issues, but it will likely come north of today's consensus the blizzard of 96 48 hours before even had the jackpot in Richmond and mostly a miss for us right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Good news i think. The euro control which had been consistenly south of the OP European is now more north of it and although it dosent hit us...it does show a historic storm for SE Virginia. Its sooooooo close. Heavy precip as far north as Fredricksburg fwiw, hm expects the storm to trend north and that the GFS will come on board at some point. I know, I know, you guys don't like him but he's out there now, six days or so before the event. Will be interesting to follow this one. A good one to end the year, maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Plenty of time, this thread will keep growing until this is past, this is the last chance for DC metro area. I will be happy if somewhere in MA region get a big hit. Maybe snow chase to Mount Rogers this time, that is so much better than those who went to Boston. nice property! Would you take 185:)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 fwiw, hm expects the storm to trend north and that the GFS will come on board at some point. I know, I know, you guys don't like him but he's out there now, six days or so before the event. Will be interesting to follow this one. A good one to end the year, maybe. which HM...the real one or the accuweather fraud? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 fwiw, hm expects the storm to trend north and that the GFS will come on board at some point. I know, I know, you guys don't like him but he's out there now, six days or so before the event. Will be interesting to follow this one. A good one to end the year, maybe. He also thinks it will be rain for DC, which probably means we will get a raging snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 fwiw, hm expects the storm to trend north and that the GFS will come on board at some point. I know, I know, you guys don't like him but he's out there now, six days or so before the event. Will be interesting to follow this one. A good one to end the year, maybe. Are you talking about the good HM or the dumbass HM? I suspect it's the latter, but figured I'd ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 which HM...the real one or the accuweather fraud? The accu hype one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 which HM...the real one or the accuweather fraud? obvious answer. There is only one HM. The other one should be called OhHenry! The good HM posted some thoughts yesterday in the philly forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 fwiw, hm expects the storm to trend north and that the GFS will come on board at some point. I know, I know, you guys don't like him but he's out there now, six days or so before the event. Will be interesting to follow this one. A good one to end the year, maybe. which HM...the real one or the accuweather fraud? He's got to mean "Big Daddy"...HM would just come post himself here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 the blizzard of 96 48 hours before even had the jackpot in Richmond and mostly a miss for us right? no, it wasn;t mostly a miss for us look, if that's what you got out of my comment, you need to put things back into perspective my point is, 6 days out it being south of us is fine, and definitely consistent with most of our decent snow storms of the past but once within 48 hrs, you want some "credible" models showing a hit in some fashion or another, although the bulls eye isn't necessary at 48 hrs, especially this year EDIT: I would add that the -NAO has been over forecasted relentlessly by the models this year so I doubt it pushes the vort that far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 look, if that's what you got out of my comment, you need to put things back into perspective dude, ji talks about the euro control as if it's useful. hecsward bound! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 obvious answer. There is only one HM. The other one should be called OhHenry! The good HM posted some thoughts yesterday in the philly forum. Yes and he didn't sound to optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Yes and he didn't sound to optimistic. yep, short version was that the models will tease with a phase but a helpful phase was unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 euro ens mean actually looks kinda like the op but less impressive. they seem to match better than they have so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 A shrink would probably give us a group discount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 dude, ji talks about the euro control as if it's useful. hecsward bound! Euro control is the new DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Euro control is the new DGEX euro ens mean also likes that area of sw va for a few inches. tho i do tend to think it's either more than a few inches or nothing outside elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 That's a long event on that model-- i'm not sure it would all be snow, even back my way. Light stuff in early March, as we know would not stick. However, those heavy bands 50-100 miles to my east and South east are tastey at this point. I like for ROA-LYH shot for a minor event, if not more. Huff, do you have access to the Euro Ensembles? What did they show for our area? I like where you and I sit on this one right now. I think we could pull out 4+" on this one. Never really bought the extreme totals but who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 yep, short version was that the models will tease with a phase but a helpful phase was unlikely. If I spend 30 hours tracking this from Europe and we get squat, I will be going all Matt on this board come Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 nice property! Would you take 185:)? No.. We are hoping our counter offer is accepted tonight and we get the place sold. Thanks, we love the property just two big mortgages is killing our fun money and vacations. I can make a bunch of trips to Canaan Valley next year for the time and money I have spent on this place even though I have enjoyed it for 8 years it wil be fun having a free income in the house. Are you Jay Hatem weather on FB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Huff, do you have access to the Euro Ensembles? What did they show for our area? I like where you and I sit on this one right now. I think we could pull out 4+" on this one. Never really bought the extreme totals but who knows... Buying anything at this range is risky. Just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 which HM...the real one or the accuweather fraud? obvious answer. There is only one HM. The other one should be called OhHenry! The good HM posted some thoughts yesterday in the philly forum. I used small caps. My only point is he committed to what he thinks is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I used small caps. My only point is he committed to what he thinks is going to happen. there is no doubt he should be committed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 If I spend 30 hours tracking this from Europe and we get squat, I will be going all Matt on this board come Wednesday. should've saved your money and gone to Glen Burnie it's a whole different world there, let alone country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 euro ens mean actually looks kinda like the op but less impressive. they seem to match better than they have so far. Dt says your wrong..it shows .35 into DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 dude, ji talks about the euro control as if it's useful. hecsward bound! i havent really seen the euro control and the euro OP be that much differet within a week. Its the 240-360 that is out of control Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 should've saved your money and gone to Glen Burnie it's a whole different world there, let alone country Glen Burnie is much nicer than Europe. I'm coming to chez Mitch next time, plus I like English better than Swissa Deutsch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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