andyhb Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 168 hr crushes you guys with 60-75 kts at H85 and a 993 hPa sfc low off of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Nice EURO run. Snow areawide and it would break the streak in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 6:45 AM, andyhb said: 168 hr crushes you guys with 60-75 kts at H85 and a 993 hPa sfc low off of Hatteras. how many inches could this be? sorry to ask, ,pastor wants to know ballpark figure. thanks. Big meeting at church, been canceled once for sandy..live in columbia area, church southwest of baltimore betwn halto and columbia md. The event is being done by our kitchen help. a lot of prep has to be done. Appreciate any advise you an give.Much obliged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 7:30 AM, mdsnowlover said: 168 hr crushes you guys with 60-75 kts at H85 and a 993 hPa sfc low off of Hatteras. how many inches could this be? sorry to ask, ,pastor wants to know ballpark figure. thanks. Big meeting at church, been canceled once for sandy..live in columbia area, church southwest of baltimore betwn halto and columbia md. The event is being done by our kitchen help. a lot of prep has to be done. Appreciate any advise you an give.Much obliged. Since you're a church guy, I'm gonna be nice. It's way too far out to be discussing details, especially given that this winter has featured plenty of fizzles. With the winter we've had, even 84 hours out isn't a safe time to firm up a storm. You should come back on Saturday and I'm sure we'll have a better handle on if a storm is even going to happen. I wouldn't even mention a storm to your pastor at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 9:52 AM, stormtracker said: Since you're a church guy, I'm gonna be nice. It's way too far out to be discussing details, especially given that this winter has featured plenty of fizzles. With the winter we've had, even 84 hours out isn't a safe time to firm up a storm. You should come back on Saturday and I'm sure we'll have a better handle on if a storm is even going to happen. I wouldn't even mention a storm to your pastor at this time. thanks he already saw it on a site called weatherboy, which I have never heard of. I,l just keep reading , Thanks for the courtesy, though He emailed me and asked me how much, that is why I asked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 6z GFS has the storm, just way too far south still and off the coast. No turn north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 10:44 AM, NE Balti Zen said: 6z GFS has the storm, just way too far south still and off the coast. No turn north. I think most will agree it's not a bad thing that the gfs is a wide swing south at this point. The euro made a mention in the LWX discussion. THE NEXT LOW LOOKS TO TRACK ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK AND IMPACT THE MID-ATLANTIC IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WAY TOO EARLY TO TAKE AN OPERATIONAL RUN VERBATIM /AKA THE 00Z ECMWF/...SO WILL SIMPLY HAVE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR LATE SEASON SNOW AS THE DAYS PROGRESS. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Pastor on a site called "weatherboy"... Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 10:48 AM, nw baltimore wx said: I think most will agree it's not a bad thing that the gfs is a wide swing south at this point. The euro made a mention in the LWX discussion. THE NEXT LOW LOOKS TO TRACK ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK AND IMPACT THE MID-ATLANTIC IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WAY TOO EARLY TO TAKE AN OPERATIONAL RUN VERBATIM /AKA THE 00Z ECMWF/...SO WILL SIMPLY HAVE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR LATE SEASON SNOW AS THE DAYS PROGRESS. && Agreed. For me, the bigger takeaway is that the storm exists on all the majors at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Euro gives BWI .37" qpf while surface temps are +3.5-+3.9C nice little spring rain IAD gets .61" with surface 1.9-2.8C so they'd get some white rain/rain it needs to bomb or it does us no good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 0 inches would still be a good forecast. Not much support for a big storm, IMO. It's there in a few places, but I'd like to see some plurality before I hop on this train. This is it for me. If this one doesn't pan out, bring on some sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 looks like this is a do or die storm. Both models end winter after the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 10:44 AM, NE Balti Zen said: 6z GFS has the storm, just way too far south still and off the coast. No turn north. I checked the DGEX and NOGAPS and they miss us too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 10:30 AM, mdsnowlover said: thanks he already saw it on a site called weatherboy, which I have never heard of. I,l just keep reading , Thanks for the courtesy, though He emailed me and asked me how much, that is why I asked. I'd say he has a pretty good chance of getting 5-7 inches in the backend.......of the storm. Lot's of blowing with this event too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 12:09 PM, H2O said: I checked the DGEX and NOGAPS and they miss us too How about UKMET and JMA? Further north maybe. I just have to wonder if the GFS could pan out with that bowling ball rolling down and off the coast of SC. This winter I guess I know the answer already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 HPC leaning on Euro ENS for next week..with sensible adjustments to maybe compensate for possible overphasing noted on Euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Hard to believe that a storm will move that far southeastward. My guess is that the storm will trend more to the north as we get closer to the event. Now whether that means a good thing for the Mid Atlantic is still open to conjecture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 10:54 AM, Swiscaster said: Pastor on a site called "weatherboy"... Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 11:52 AM, Ji said: looks like this is a do or die storm. Both models end winter after the storm good....it's about that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Having a BN March in which DT gets a big snowstorm while we get light rain will just be a fitting nutpunch to end this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTSCARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.1145 AM EST WED 27 FEBRUARY 2013SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 28/1100Z TO 01/1100Z MARCH 2013 WSPOD NUMBER.....12-089I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE --NOAA 49-- A. P-99/ 125.0W/ 01/0000Z B. NOAA9 18WSC TRACK99 C. 28/1900Z D. DROPS EVERY 150NM ALONG TRACK BETWEEN 150.OW AND 125.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 01/0600Z 2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 12:09 PM, H2O said: I checked the DGEX and NOGAPS and they miss us too I didn't look at that model for a hit, I looked to see if it even had a storm. But, your sarcasm at my even doing that is noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 If there is a way for this to be suppressed or OTS, anyway to miss us or producevrain, the atmosphere will find it. Nothing has gone in our direction this year. The snow gods are not with us this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 I'd accept a foot of snow right now if it meant we got warm afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 28, 2013 Author Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 1:18 PM, zwyts said: The pattern might reload. I think march 20th through April 10th will be good. How about April 20-May 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 1:24 PM, zwyts said: That's late for us. Pretty muct too late. Last measurable snow at DCA is April 28th I believe of .5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 1:40 PM, zwyts said: That sounds right. So we have about 2 months to get a good storm. The JYO/MRB crew is good until around May 15th. Matt, sometimes I can't tell when you are serious. Are you serious with that? Has there ever been snow back here that late? I was living in swva in 1989, and we had an inch of snow on May 7. It was the first measurable snow at TriCities Airport (ne Tenn) since 1937. I wouldn't have thought snow that late would be possible at this latitude outside of the highest elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 1:18 PM, zwyts said: The pattern might reload. I think march 20th through April 10th will be good. Let's hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 1:56 PM, zwyts said: In joking. But 2nd half of March isn't too late for you. I chased snow last April 22nd. It accumulated above 1500' north of Frederick. I can't remember that event at all. Think I'm getting old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 On 2/28/2013 at 1:22 PM, TUweathermanDD said: How about April 20-May 5 Sun Angle concerns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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