stormtracker Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Smoke came from my computer just now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 for me/ian etc it isnt just an issue of elevation/latitude/longitude in terms of accumulating snow, but rather how storms tend to evolve after ~March 10th....4/9/96, 4/9/00, 4/7/03, all pummeled the coastal plain of 40N...and all 3 probably gave you snow...IIRC, 4/7/03 gave you 6"+...I'm really not that concerned about time that much if we can keep the sick pattern (especially the PAC)...I do fully realize that probably means mix/rain/sun angle for me, but if you get ++SN you get ++SN and 0' elevation can get pasted during the day on April 1st if you get 1/8mi viz...which means I am going to hang in there until around April 15th and drive myself even crazier If something does finally happen where this area is looking at 10" and DC is getting shafted just take an hour road trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Is SV down? None of the 12z euro run is available yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Is SV down? None of the 12z euro run is available yet. I am up to March 1 using wundermap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Is SV down? None of the 12z euro run is available yet. Ji crashed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Ji crashed it Figures that it would happen with the single most important euro run of 2013. This hobby sux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Euro have any flurries for tonight/tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Euro have any flurries for tonight/tomorrow? From what I can see it looks gfs'ish only lighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reale WX Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 OMG its taking a turn north at hour 174! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 It is close, but not like 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 per accuwx, it's snowing around DCA/BWI at 168 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Looks kinda tasty at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 It is close, but not like 00z Close as in snow..or close as in precip is 50 miles off of Ocean City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Close as in snow..or close as in precip is 50 miles off of Ocean City around 0.5 for DCA/BWI...late developer...screwjob potential is super high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 It is close, but not like 00z Something that would be appealing a week prior? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Something that would be appealing a week prior? yes...but it is one of those model runs where 24 hours out you get 0.6 and you end up getting 0.03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 around 0.5 for DCA/BWI...late developer...screwjob potential is super high Yeah, still good...but not worthy investing in. We need the NOGAPS and GGEM on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 nice stall too far east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Hell of a storm for coast Jersey I'm hearing. Sweet zone will likely keep moving north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Hell of a storm for coast Jersey I'm hearing. Sweet zone will likely keep moving north. SNE needs to replenish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Hell of a storm for coast Jersey I'm hearing. Sweet zone will likely keep moving north. Why would it with the level of blocking showing up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 still pretty though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Euro did so well with that monster Conn/Mass storm mid-Feb and does well in blocking schemes is my recollection, that I find this potential of more interest than just about any other fantasy storm modeled this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Eh, not really. If the ball was rolling out of the sw then the gfs could be turned off for a week. NS sw's are the wurst I meant more that it is know for the coups in this range from time to time. Also it involves phasing and blocking which are two of its strong suits compared to the GFS. That said, I'd take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 around 0.5 for DCA/BWI...late developer...screwjob potential is super high It's an unusual system with the big block/confluence pushing it southward across the country. I'm actually surprised the euro now has back to back runs that amp and phase. GFS has no interaction with the ull over the glks. Unfortunately for us, knowing which is more right is impossible. Both scenarios hold plenty of water. Wouldn't be upset to see them both have a phased look at some point in the next couple of days. Having the major globals at relative odds instills zero confidence whatsoever considering where we're coming from. It's almost like we all expect a worst case scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Just glad I'm not in WV. some of those folks lost 20"+ of modeled snow in one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Just glad I'm not in WV. some of those folks lost 20"+ of modeled snow in one run. When you live there 20 inches is like a dusting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Hell of a storm for coast Jersey I'm hearing. Sweet zone will likely keep moving north. And precip will keep moving east, right with any trough that might be present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 NAVGEM, just for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Sounds like I need to be watching closer than I have been the last couple of days. Despite being a little east of where we watn it, the euro look is worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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