clueless Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Tuesday looks quite wet. NAM is pretty consistent around 1.3-1.4", GFS is 0.6-0.8", SREFs around an inch, Euro somewhere around an inch. Cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 My despondency has reached a new low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Long range ensembles are giving me reason to say it's time to pull the plug on this winter. I just don't see any opportunities to salvage snow anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Any severe weather on the horizon? Winter 2012 - 2013 - WAS NOT ROCKIN' ..... It was STINKIN' I see one last chance that it could pull a rabbit out of it's hat, but it probably would be rain or so light we should forget about it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Any severe weather on the horizon? Winter 2012 - 2013 - WAS NOT ROCKIN' ..... It was STINKIN' I see one last chance that it could pull a rabbit out of it's hat, but it probably would be rain or so light we should forget about it! That's just it - it's going to be too cold and too dry for any severe weather. March is looking nasty cold. Persistent cold. Also... March 1 average high is 51 degrees. March 15 average is 56 degrees. March 31 average is 61 degrees. So the term "cold" means something very different in March to what it means in January or February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 My despondency has reached a new low. don't fret Randy, it happens every year it's called March 1....winter really is over not that this model's prediction will be right, this link is the main factor that us snow lovers should be looking to for next year http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/nino34Mon.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Long range ensembles are giving me reason to say it's time to pull the plug on this winter. I just don't see any opportunities to salvage snow anymore. We can't salvage snow when there is an opportunity. So, no real difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 We can't salvage snow when there is an opportunity. So, no real difference. Even you're losing the fight in you. We need a mercy killing. 70's from here on out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 don't fret Randy, it happens every year it's called March 1....winter really is over not that this model's prediction will be right, this link is the main factor that us snow lovers should be looking to for next year http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/nino34Mon.gif Given our luck it will probably rise a bit and then right on schedule follow the lowest possible forecast on that chart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 We can't salvage snow when there is an opportunity. So, no real difference. lol at your avatar. very fitting for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 At this point, I wouldn't hesitate to sign up for highs in the mid-upper 60s with a light breeze from today until the end of April. Unfortunately, we're probably looking at a month of temps in the mid-40s to low 50s with clouds, drizzle and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 C'mon folks, don't give up yet -- you didn't battle real hard all winter long just to go down like this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 C'mon folks, don't give up yet -- you didn't battle real hard all winter long just to go down like this! we do it every winter why should this year be any different? it is only weather and mid 60's+ sound pretty good right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 C'mon folks, don't give up yet -- you didn't battle real hard all winter long just to go down like this! Thank you jonjon!!! After March 10, which is daylight savings. I will throw the towel in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 C'mon folks, don't give up yet -- you didn't battle real hard all winter long just to go down like this! Ha! Says you. You probably still have 40 inches to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 A colder March would be great if it helped reduce the stink bug population. Talk about a silver lining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Thank you jonjon!!! After March 10, which is daylight savings. I will throw the towel in. sunset goes to 7:10 PM at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Anyone think this as far as a signal?? https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=592566924106700&set=a.358160627547332.99358.356106867752708&type=1&relevant_count=1&ref=nf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Even you're losing the fight in you. We need a mercy killing. 70's from here on out... The rub is it is going to be cold through Mid March it looks like. And if the block/+PNA becomes stable, perhaps even longer. I'd guess March is definitely going to be a minus departure unless we get some anomalous +20's in the 2nd half.... My guess is that we have a cartopper or 2 through March 10th. Perhaps just in the burbs. It is not real promising for anything more than that even with the low skill of the models past days 5 to 7. I think the idea that some storm will magically develop is pretty low, and late developers suck for us anyway. I am looking for a complex moving from the south that has crossed over the 4-corners and perhaps generates or phases with a gulf low..Until I see that I am not very encouraged. I'd like to see something go negative, cut off or ride inland...It will probably screw me, but JYO/MRB can definitely cash in for the next 3 weeks at least.... Edit: I see the 12z GFS might have a cartopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Anyone think this as far as a signal?? https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=592566924106700&set=a.358160627547332.99358.356106867752708&type=1&relevant_count=1&ref=nf Cold and dry signal. Unless the trough axis amps up, everything is going to happen out in the atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 FINALLY. GFS @ 180 hrs shows a storm setup. Check out the wave entering the NW US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 FINALLY. GFS @ 180 hrs shows a storm setup. Check out the wave entering the NW US gfs.gif Ghost chase. Let's see how that's lookin in about 90 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Cold and dry signal. Unless the trough axis amps up, everything is going to happen out in the atlantic. Agreed - All signals look great, and just a few factors make it a wasted pattern!! Patterns do not mean it will happen! I have some hope.. but it is so small Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I think PSU mentioned these factors and maybe some others, but the trough axis kind of sucks for the next week+....low confidence, but I think our best shot of a legit storm is just before the Block/PNA break down so around the March 8th-10th period, especially if we have a proper 50-50....Of course a storm around then, if it should happen is a significant risk to mix or rain in the cities, though it is just about the end of the window where we could get an all snow event given the right factors.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 I think PSU mentioned these factors and maybe some others, but the trough axis kind of sucks for the next week+....low confidence, but I think our best shot of a legit storm is just before the Block/PNA break down so around the March 8th-10th period, especially if we have a proper 50-50....Of course a storm around then, if it should happen is a significant risk to mix or rain in the cities, though it is just about the end of the window where we could get an all snow event given the right factors.. right on cue, GFS has a storm on 3/10 with a potential monster right behind it... fantasy land, but at least we have a run which isnt dry wire to wire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Sure, why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 FINALLY. GFS @ 180 hrs shows a storm setup. Check out the wave entering the NW US gfs.gif That looks great! If you like Miller B's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Sure, why not? USA_PCPPRSTMP_850mb_324.gif nice fantasy land 2/79 pattern right behind it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 lol @ Mar 10 tho the euro has had a signal off and on around there cold rain for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.