weathergy Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I didn't post that in a serious manner. I was just wondering if anyone's heard of it. Now I know why I haven't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 So who wants to be the first to post the NOGAPS or JMA? Alek? Maybe they're the models to hump along with the NAM (obvious sarcasm). Haha. Let's get the FIM, Brazilian and Kenyan up too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 22, 2013 Author Share Posted February 22, 2013 For those who think suppression is not a concern, the GEM Ensembles are perhaps an example of why you never know; they take it from Memphis to C Kentucky. The GEM doesn't seem to be in line with the consensus very frequently recently, so it may not be a good model to use, but I'm not giving up on my concern of a complete whiff to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 18z GFS BUFKIT has a foot of water laden snow for YYZ. But absolutely zero room for error. A few tenths of a degree warmer and it's get out the umbrella. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 For those who think suppression is not a concern, the GEM Ensembles are perhaps an example of why you never know; they take it from Memphis to C Kentucky. The GEM doesn't seem to be in line with the consensus very frequently recently, so it may not be a good model to use, but I'm not giving up on my concern of a complete whiff to the south. I would rather have that than a "warm storm" that would more likely usher in more "spring like" weather... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Alek is the new Brad Maynard Not my fault the offense keeps going 3 and out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Make a new contest thread so we can redeem our selves. Thinking about bump trolling with that thread every time someone starts a storm thread more than 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 18z GFS BUFKIT has a foot of water laden snow for YYZ. But absolutely zero room for error. A few tenths of a degree warmer and it's get out the umbrella. GEM was similar. This is truly a thread the needle event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 22, 2013 Author Share Posted February 22, 2013 18z GFS Ensembles also becoming suppressed. I'm betting the Euro comes SE tonight, perhaps significantly so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I found the MSPNT model. Is it any good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Taft calling rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Local mets here said their keeping a eye on it Sent from my iPhone 5 using Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I just got home from work and haven't had a chance to check any temp profiles, but just checked out my point-n-click. Monday Night: Rain or freezing rain likely after 10pm, becoming all freezing rain after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Never thought I'd say this, but I'd rather have sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 18z GFS Ensembles also becoming suppressed. I'm betting the Euro comes SE tonight, perhaps significantly so. dude you switch every other one. Just because the 18z GFS ensembles went south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 dude you switch every other one. Just because the 18z GFS ensembles went south? Who was the person who said ensembles aren't worth looking at? Or something along those lines. Anyway the overall setup looks decent for much of this area, but it's a little hard to get too excited I gotta say. Something interesting to track at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 If this isn't a thread the needle situation for the GTA folks and some others here in the Great Lakes I don't know what is. Always fun to see the GFS come in with 162 straight hours where the 6hr period had measurable precip though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I found the MSPNT model. Is it any good? Doesn't look good for DTW. Throw this run out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 I found the MSPNT model. Is it any good? Deep low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 wisconsinwx having a poor performance in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 wisconsinwx having a poor performance in this thread It's like the movie Groundhog Day, except in message board form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 22, 2013 Author Share Posted February 22, 2013 It's like the movie Groundhog Day, except in message board form. Funny, that's what this winter has felt like, what with all the potential storms, a few of which have panned out to their credit. Two years after the Groundhog Day Blizzard as well. I've been generally consistent in expecting suppression and a small hit locally at best. DVN and LOT have a good chance, though. I will wait until it is sampled to punt, though, and Alek should too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 22, 2013 Share Posted February 22, 2013 Funny, that's what this winter has felt like, what with all the potential storms, a few of which have panned out to their credit. Two years after the Groundhog Day Blizzard as well. I've been generally consistent in expecting suppression and a small hit locally at best. DVN and LOT have a good chance, though. I will wait until it is sampled to punt, though, and Alek should too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 punting way too early is my style...might not be the right call, but i'm consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Funny, that's what this winter has felt like, what with all the potential storms, a few of which have panned out to their credit. Two years after the Groundhog Day Blizzard as well. I've been generally consistent in expecting suppression and a small hit locally at best. DVN and LOT have a good chance, though. I will wait until it is sampled to punt, though, and Alek should too. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 punting way too early is my style...might not be the right call, but i'm consistent. My style is too make insanely weenieish calls. Going on the record, 8.8" ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Thinking about bump trolling with that thread every time someone starts a storm thread more than 7 days out. +1 I found the MSPNT model. Is it any good? May wanna check with Harry Perry first. Doesn't look good for DTW. Throw this run out. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 +1 May wanna check with Harry Perry first. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 I know it is the NAM, but the latest run gives us that live a little further south a sliver of hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 I'm not going to worry about it. Spring will be here soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2013 Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 I know it is the NAM, but the latest run gives us that live a little further south a sliver of hope! Let's see if the stubborn Gfs comes any further south.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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