BowMeHunter Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Ouch. Snow totals from NE IL for that one, per Storm Data. 12" - Peotone 11" - Crete, MDW 9" - LOT, Park Forest 8" - Kankakee, Manhattan, Plainfield, Winfield 7" - Wheaton 6" - Aurora, Downers Grove, Geneva, ORD LAF had 4" or so. Good thing wisconsinwx was still in diapers then as Feb of 98' only had 0.5" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Good thing wisconsinwx was still in diapers then as Feb of 98' only had 0.5" of snow. He should still be in diapers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Marquette shot themselves today and will probably lose on Monday.. Toss in this coming event mind screwing wisconsinwx should make for some epic weenie post. terrible game today. They won't be 'Cuse. Let's hope this storm pans out..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Ouch. Snow totals from NE IL for that one, per Storm Data. 12" - Peotone 11" - Crete, MDW 9" - LOT, Park Forest 8" - Kankakee, Manhattan, Plainfield, Winfield 7" - Wheaton 6" - Aurora, Downers Grove, Geneva, ORD LAF had 4" or so. Kind of remember this storm. I was probably reading for spring by that time. Seems that the older I get the more I like snow, which is usually the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 24, 2013 Author Share Posted February 24, 2013 Good thing wisconsinwx was still in diapers then as Feb of 98' only had 0.5" of snow. You're right, I just started following TWC at the time, and I didn't really follow local storms that closely to remember that one. Slightly off-topic, but I'm sorry that some people don't like my stream of consciousness posting style. I need somewhere to post my thoughts and concerns, and the schizophrenic changes are a true reflection of the spinning fun my mind is having at that time. No hard feelings btw, hopefully either way. My passion sometimes shows the wrong way. I enjoy trying to figure out these storms, and that results in a lot of consternation on my part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 You're right, I just started following TWC at the time, and I didn't really follow local storms that closely to remember that one. Slightly off-topic, but I'm sorry that some people don't like my stream of consciousness posting style. I need somewhere to post my thoughts and concerns, and the schizophrenic changes are a true reflection of the spinning fun my mind is having at that time. Get a blog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Kind of remember this storm. I was probably reading for spring by that time. Seems that the older I get the more I like snow, which is usually the other way around. smart young lad. readying for the girls of spring to come out. Maybe you could help wisconsinwx out before he waste all his fun yrs weenieing on weather models and and not the ladies or gentlemen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Hm, not bad...a bullseye of 60-70% for Chicagoland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Cherry picking here, but #1 analog using the 12z NAM at 48 hours (Great Plains sector) is March 8, 1998. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/event.php?reg=GP&fhr=F048&model=NAM212&dt=1998030806 12z GFS analogs at 60 hours and beyond aren't as fun. The 98 storm was a debacle from a forecasting perspective. Can't believe it's been 15 years. Something has kinda been bugging me about this one. The models have been warming us up just above freezing in the 9z-12z Tuesday timeframe but I'm trying to figure out why. The surface low is still down in southern Missouri, the best WAA aloft occurs before that, low layer flow remains easterly and some pretty decent qpf is being produced during that period of time. None of that really points to a warmup. The only real source of warming to me would seem to be the heat release that occurs with freezing rain. It's certainly debatable what our temps will be at onset but I'm just not sure about temps actually warming during that time. Anyhow, even if temps stay around 32, this could be a case where a lot of accretion would be lost due to heavy rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 You're right, I just started following TWC at the time, and I didn't really follow local storms that closely to remember that one. Slightly off-topic, but I'm sorry that some people don't like my stream of consciousness posting style. I need somewhere to post my thoughts and concerns, and the schizophrenic changes are a true reflection of the spinning fun my mind is having at that time. No hard feelings btw, hopefully either way. My passion sometimes shows the wrong way. I enjoy trying to figure out these storms, and that results in a lot of consternation on my part. Its all good man. In time you will mostly (nobody totally does with weather) grow out of being a schizophrenic worry wart. weenie and worry post away, who gives a rats ass what some other weather dorks think about your posting style.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Its all good man. In time you will mostly (nobody totally does with weather) grow out of being a schizophrenic worry wart. weenie and worry post away, who gives a rats ass what some other weather dorks think about your posting style.. I agree. I'm the same way. This is my get-away sometimes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 The Rock River screw storm, yeah no thanks. Best approach on the coming system is just sit and watch til sunday afternoon or evening, if things look good then... Start getting excited. Hard for me and some colleagues to buy anything right now after getting burned again. And boy did we get the riot act after the last bust. I feel sorry for you guys catching flack after a bust like that. You all have experience and education, and guidance backing your forecast, but chaos reigns. Then you catch heck from superiors. This is the reason that I never complain about NWS being conservative, because conservative usually verifies. I still have a gut feeling that evaporative cooling processes may lead to a quicker changeover and more snow than many are forecasting for Northern IN *cough*Tim*cough*all rain*cough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 I agree. I'm the same way. This is my get-away sometimes! Going back to december 2010, other than GHD I can't remember any real decent warning event to track so I can understand why he is posting the way he does. Even the best on this board now we're probably noob cakes at one time.. wiscwx is a smart kid, just a little Notre Dame green.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Does anyone want to say something about this NAM run? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 The 00z NAM says, here's your curveball. Noticeably slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 The NAM rapes Kansas 2 feet in NO OK and S Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 The 00z NAM says, here's your curveball. Noticeably slower. It's only slower compared to its garbage run from this morning. It's finally on the same planet as this morning's 12z models (awesome?). It's also warmer as a result, but still looks like precip rates overcome the warm intrusion by the time the cold sector starts to lift out of the ohio valley. Unfortunately, the peak of the storm is still out at garbage time for the NAM. Tick tock until the GFS rolls in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 All the models shifting north? You're right, I just started following TWC at the time, and I didn't really follow local storms that closely to remember that one. Slightly off-topic, but I'm sorry that some people don't like my stream of consciousness posting style. I need somewhere to post my thoughts and concerns, and the schizophrenic changes are a true reflection of the spinning fun my mind is having at that time. No hard feelings btw, hopefully either way. My passion sometimes shows the wrong way. I enjoy trying to figure out these storms, and that results in a lot of consternation on my part. Nothing wrong with a grown man wearing diapers...look at Al Roker... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 The 00z NAM says, here's your curveball. Noticeably slower. then moves very slow across IL and almost stalls in nw IN. 7" Geos bullseye this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 It's only slower compared to its garbage run from this morning. It's finally on the same planet as this morning's 12z models (awesome?). It's also warmer as a result, but still looks like precip rates overcome the warm intrusion by the time the cold sector starts to lift out of the ohio valley. Unfortunately, the peak of the storm is still out at garbage time for the NAM. Tick tock until the GFS rolls in. It looks even slower than most of the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 No Kansas but NAM shellacks YYZ pretty nicely. ageostrophic from the coastal locks in sfc cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Anybody know when KC's snowiest February was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 It looks even slower than most of the 12z runs. Sorry, you're right. I was mixed up. It looks like the NAM is very similar w/ the rest of the models with the upper air pattern through at least 60 hours, possibly a little slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Anybody know when KC's snowiest February was? turdNAM.jpg 20.7 in 1959. They might shatter that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 I'm probably wrong in my interpretation but to me it sure looked like the 12z nam and euro were dam close in the nams fantasy range up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Anybody know when KC's snowiest February was? turdNAM.jpg They might outdo Chicago's past two winters combined in one month. Incredible.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 They might outdo Chicago's past two winters combined in one month. Incredible.. Hell they might with this storm alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 All the models shifting north? Don't give up dll Nothing wrong with a grown man wearing diapers...look at Al Roker... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 20.7 in 1959. They might shatter that. 20.7 - 9.5 = 11.2. Even accounting for typical NAM snowfall inflation, 11.2" seems doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 If the NAM verifies, RIP Kansas. At least it'll put a dent in the drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.