Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Rip city in Wichita. METAR KICT 201653Z 09012KT 1/4SM R01L/2400V3000FT +SN FZFG VV009 M04/M04 A3019 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/2 SLP236 SNINCR 2/3 P0010 T10391044 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 You're going to bust two times too high on about half of your calls, but suit yourself. I like the optimism (though it never seems to do much for our region). Classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 lol Make your own calls then genius. I will make mine for the region tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 on the plus side, only one more month and we can stop with this madness and start arguing over whether 60+ dews will make it north of I80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I will make mine for the region tonight. Awesome. The forum is waiting with anticipation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 No changes. I think the snow capital LAF, will get a whopping 2" from this! Closer to IND not going to see much at all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Rip city in Wichita. METAR KICT 201653Z 09012KT 1/4SM R01L/2400V3000FT +SN FZFG VV009 M04/M04 A3019 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/2 SLP236 SNINCR 2/3 P0010 T10391044 Live tower cam video from KSN in Wichita: http://www.ksn.com/content/weather/liveradar.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 on the plus side, only one more month and we can stop with this madness and start arguing over whether 60+ dews will make it north of I80 I've heard that is Tim's favorite time of the year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z NAM throws the kitchen sink at STL. Should be fun down there. 33 02/21 21Z 28 26 91 17 0.34 0.00 547 560 1.0 -15.8 1016 100 PL 36 02/22 00Z 30 29 107 19 0.24 0.01 547 558 0.2 -17.1 1013 100 FZRN39 02/22 03Z 32 31 116 11 0.20 0.00 543 554 -1.5 -18.7 1013 100 -SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Some selected calls atm: MKE: 2.4" ORD: 2.8" DVN: 5.0" MSN: 3.2" These calls are in general taking into account current model QPF projections and taking out 0.05-0.1" of it due to initial dry air (less than 0.05"QPF in the case of DVN as it will be closer to the low and better forcing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 wisconsinwx just price is right'd my call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman99 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z NAM throws the kitchen sink at STL. Should be fun down there. 33 02/21 21Z 28 26 91 17 0.34 0.00 547 560 1.0 -15.8 1016 100 PL 36 02/22 00Z 30 29 107 19 0.24 0.01 547 558 0.2 -17.1 1013 100 FZRN39 02/22 03Z 32 31 116 11 0.20 0.00 543 554 -1.5 -18.7 1013 100 -SN I'll let you know how it works out down here, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I'll let you know how it works out down here, lol Please do. You, and the other STL peeps, may have the most fun with this storm out of anyone in this sub-forum. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Still thinking 2.0" for Battle Creek... will probably bust high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman99 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If anyone gets QPF from the Euro, could they post it for St. Louis..and precip type if possible..text output would be great. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If anyone gets QPF from the Euro, could they post it for St. Louis..and precip type if possible..text output would be great. Thanks I don't have the text data, but it looks a little wetter for STL. QPF has increased for MO...now bringing the 0.75" line through, roughly, 2/3's of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 MKX issued a special weather statement saying we could receive 4-7" of snow during the event, probably will get a winter weather advisory if trends hold. ...ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THURSDAY NIGHT...A BAND OF MODERATE SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ANDSOUTHEAST WISCONSIN THURSDAY EVENING...AND LINGER THROUGH THENIGHT. THIS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING FROMTEXAS TO MISSOURI THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AND INTO THE UPPERGREAT LAKES REGION LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL FALL OVER A PERIOD OF 6 TO 8 HOURSOVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT...AND DROP 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW INSOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ASTHE LOW APPROACHES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH EAST WINDSGUSTING TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING ANDDRIFTING SNOW.LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE THEN EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY ONFRIDAY...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z RGEM p-type maps are fun. We ride the line here in the LAF, but verbatim, it's mainly snow...while the getting is good. A couple of thumps in there to boot. It is so borderline on the models. If the warm layer is underdone at all then we are talking about mainly sleet/freezing rain. Gonna stay optimistic for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It is so borderline on the models. If the warm layer is underdone at all then we are talking about mainly sleet/freezing rain. Gonna stay optimistic for now. Euro keeps hinting at the small "uptick" in 6 hour QPF for/near us. Maybe that'll do the trick...if it actually occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 QPF cuts again for ORD... GFS: 0.25" ECMWF: 0.32" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 GFS/NAM like the area around the I-70 corridor from about STL eastward for ice with the GFS on the southern end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 QPF cuts again for ORD... GFS: 0.25" ECMWF: 0.32" 2.9 looking $$$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 MKX issued a special weather statement saying we could receive 4-7" of snow during the event, probably will get a winter weather advisory if trends hold. ...ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THURSDAY NIGHT...A BAND OF MODERATE SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ANDSOUTHEAST WISCONSIN THURSDAY EVENING...AND LINGER THROUGH THENIGHT. THIS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING FROMTEXAS TO MISSOURI THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AND INTO THE UPPERGREAT LAKES REGION LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL FALL OVER A PERIOD OF 6 TO 8 HOURSOVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT...AND DROP 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW INSOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ASTHE LOW APPROACHES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH EAST WINDSGUSTING TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING ANDDRIFTING SNOW.LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE THEN EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY ONFRIDAY...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. A full blown weenie must've wrote that; perhaps down by Dodgeville or Platteville, which may even be out of the CWA, but beyond that, the 3-5" range for Madison looks ok, but not 3-5" then 1-2" additional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 NWS meteorologists>>>>>>>teenagers on a weather forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 QPF cuts again for ORD... GFS: 0.25" ECMWF: 0.32" Barely. -0.02" from last night. --- Nice looking sim radar image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 CNN is trolling "North of where the biggest snow will fall, Chicago could receive what would be its largest single snowfall of the year -- 4 inches, Miller said. The city usually gets up to 4 feet of snow a year. So far this year, only about a foot has fallen, he said." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 CNN is trolling "North of where the biggest snow will fall, Chicago could receive what would be its largest single snowfall of the year -- 4 inches, Miller said. The city usually gets up to 4 feet of snow a year. So far this year, only about a foot has fallen, he said." 4 feet of snow a year? That wouldn't be Brant Miller quoted there, would it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 CNN is trolling "North of where the biggest snow will fall, Chicago could receive what would be its largest single snowfall of the year -- 4 inches, Miller said. The city usually gets up to 4 feet of snow a year. So far this year, only about a foot has fallen, he said." Climo + a foot for dramatic effect about the lack of snow in Chicago this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 4 feet of snow a year? That wouldn't be Brant Miller quoted there, would it? They must only be using the previous 5 years as an average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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