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February 21st - 23rd Winter Storm Part 2


Powerball

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Party's over...

FORECAST DISCUSSION: Strong low level northeast to east winds

are bringing in prolific amounts of dry air that are just eating away

at the snow coming north. I have dropped accumulationss significantly...

now in the 1"-3" range almost everywhere, except west of I-39, which could

see up to 4"...but even there, it could be on the low end of things.

The rest of the forecast is good, including, unfortunately, the freezing

drizzle part for tomorrow...but the dry air tonight will reduce

snow amounts.

Ref: http://weather.admin.niu.edu/forecast.txt

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from IWX

HAVE NOT MADE MANY ADJUSTMENTS TO
FORECASTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...ALTHOUGH SOME CONCERNS BEGINNING TO
TAKE SHAPE IN REALIZING THESE AMOUNTS. STRONGER UPPER VORT
MAX NOW APPEARS TO BE LIFTING THROUGH NORTHERN/WESTERN
MISSOURI. THIS SHORT WAVE SHOULD LIFT INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT BUT
WEDGE OF MUCH DRIER MID LEVEL AIR WILL ALSO RAPIDLY ADVECT
NORTHWARD WITH THIS FORCING.

 MAY SEND A LATE EVENING UPDATE TO
SLIGHTLY LOWER PREVIOUS ACCUMULATIONS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS

 

 

Southern MI, take note!

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Steady freezing drizzle has set in, heavy enough to appreciably accrete. 0.1" of extra glaze since on the car since I got home.Thickening crust of glaze on top of our snow and the trees are making that telltale "crackle" sound in the breeze. Hopefully this doesn't continue all night or it could become quite problematic.

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The man has really lost touch with reality... Dry air is winning by a long shot

 

Looks like you're on the verge of snowing now!

 

I don't know what to think of his forecast! lol

Been a long time since I've seen dry air so stubborn to move out of the way.

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because of who he is, it's hard not to give him the benefit of the doubt. 

 

I should remember this was never supposed to get going before 10pm here. I definitely give him the benefit of the doubt.

 

Should get a more technical disco in 10 min when comes back on.

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