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February 21st - 23rd Winter Storm Part 2


Powerball

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Yeah looking pretty grim.  That band heading in now is dissolving away as well.  Looks like another loser event for the QC.  Hard to get excited at all about the early week system after the abysmal failure yet again with this, but I'll save those rants for the complaint thread later lol.  :D

 

You've got a lot of composure. Same result and same winter and I'd be in full meltdown mode right now.

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I'm like you and not excited at all with the storm. Indy TV mets sure are hyping...

 

What are they saying?

 

But I'm not calling bust for this area. Quite the contrary, as I think we may overachieve a bit, relative to my expectations. But totals will not be anything special or crazy. 

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Keep in mind, the 18z GFS doesn't really fil in that dry slot until after 00z, at which time E Iowa looks good for some nice snowfall, so I think as long as returns start to improve in the next hour or two, we might be overly worrying.

 

I'm not worrying but anyone who bought the earlier NAM/RPM/RAP solutions will be let down

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I'm like you and not excited at all with the storm. Indy TV mets sure are hyping...

What are they saying?

But I'm not calling bust for this area. Quite the contrary, as I think we may overachieve a bit, relative to my expectations. But totals will not be anything special or crazy.

Chris Wright thinks 3 or more for Lafayette to Kokomo.

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You've got a lot of composure. Same result and same winter and I'd be in full meltdown mode right now.

 

Haha, a few crappy winters to be sure, but still nothing compared to what you guys had to endure the last several years. 

 

Winchester IL (north of STL) up to 7" now.  Looks like some heavy snow about to move into Janet's backyard. 

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The GFS really is doing well...it sniffed out the southern piece heading all the way into Indiana and eastern Iowa dry air issues yesterday.  

 

GFS, back a couple of days, blew chunks for Indiana. Euro, NAM (lopping off a little for its bias), RGEM, and UK QPF was much better. So it wins in some areas, but loses in others. 

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As our earlier poster alluded to, the radar returns to our SW are filling in kinda nicely where that dry slot was punching up into....that's certainly a nice trend, now to get the darn atmosphere nicely saturated so we don't waste all this moisture...

 

The 21z HRRR depicts current trends pretty well I think.  It's also picking up on that secondary band of snow taking shape over MO.  It blossoms it nicely and moves it in here by 9-10pm.  Until that gets here we may have to continue to deal with the current wave peeling away like an onion, and yielding us very little snowfall.

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