TimChgo9 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 NWS saying 3-5 for the CWA. I am still thinking, since heaviest will be oriented NW to SE, down where I am at, will probably see the 3" or less. I am leery of the "brief" as it is being called, change over to freezing drizzle at one point or another during the storm. I am thinking that the freezing drizzle, for the portions of the LOT CWA that are farther SE, will be of a longer duration than is being forecast. My call for MBY is going to be 2" with a crust. I have no doubt ORD will see the 3" and farther NW they will see the 5" if not more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Kind of a big deal That's awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 KU is happenin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 NWS saying 3-5 for the CWA. I am still thinking, since heaviest will be oriented NW to SE, down where I am at, will probably see the 3" or less. I am leery of the "brief" as it is being called, change over to freezing drizzle at one point or another during the storm. I am thinking that the freezing drizzle, for the portions of the LOT CWA that are farther SE, will be of a longer duration than is being forecast. My call for MBY is going to be 2" with a crust. I have no doubt ORD will see the 3" and farther NW they will see the 5" if not more. Any changeover will come well after any decent returns have pushed through. you are far enough SW that the band might still have some legs...i'd worry much more further NE. 3.7" for YBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Tons of lightning in MO down through OK Plus a mixed bag of observations down there this morning. KTUL 211429Z 07012KT 1 1/4SM TS +FZRA BR SCT005 BKN028 OVC046 00/00 A2979 KJLN 211421Z 03008KT 1 1/2SM TSPL BR OVC015 M01/M02 A298 KH21 211435Z AUTO 07013G24KT 4SM TSUP SCT012 BKN045 OVC075 M03/M05 A2994 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE THRU W P0005 KRCM 211435Z AUTO 05008G15KT 1/4SM +VCTSSN VV002 M05/M07 A3008 RMK AO2 P0002 LTG DSNT SE AND S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Cams throughout KS and MO are ridiculous right now...widespread rip city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 0846 AM SNOW KANSAS CITY 39.10N 94.58W 02/21/2013 M 5.0 INCH JACKSON MO NWS EMPLOYEE TWO INCHES OF SNOW IN PAST 30 MINUTES, FIVE INCHES TOTAL SINCE EVENT BEGAN IN BROOKSIDE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I'm not sure what to expect here as models are all over the place.. NAM says 0.75", GFS 0.60", GEM/UK 0.40", Euro 0.33". My final call for CR is 5 inches, given the drier Int'l models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 0846 AM SNOW KANSAS CITY 39.10N 94.58W02/21/2013 M 5.0 INCH JACKSON MO NWS EMPLOYEE TWO INCHES OF SNOW IN PAST 30 MINUTES, FIVE INCHES TOTAL SINCE EVENT BEGAN IN BROOKSIDE. wow that's serious snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yep, some of the heaviest rates you'll see outside coastal/lake/mountain areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 wow that's serious snow. Looks like a solid 3 more hours of intense snow before it tapers to -SN or even period of dry slotting. could hit 10-12" by noon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 NWS shows 5 to 7 here and I don't see it... My call is 3 inches for my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 NWS shows 5 to 7 here and I don't see it... My call is 3 inches for my backyard. nah, 5 sounds about right...better duration and ratios ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Looks like a solid 3 more hours of intense snow before it tapers to -SN or even period of dry slotting. could hit 10-12" by noon! And that isn't fluffy snow either. hvy, wet, and paralyzing to receive that much snow in that short of time.... especially in that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Dot of 0.75" just to the SSE of LAF. Oh NAM. 2:21 12z NAM 30 total QPF.gif Wow! That looks like it is right over my house! Ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 And that isn't fluffy snow either. hvy, wet, and paralyzing to receive that much snow in that short of time.... especially in that region. Couple Highways shut down around K.C all ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 0900 AM HEAVY SNOW NORTH KANSAS CITY 39.14N 94.56W 02/21/2013 E4.0 INCH CLAY MO PUBLIC 4 INCHES OF SNOW WITHIN 90 MINUTES NEAR VIVION/N OAK TRAFFICWAY. FACEBOOK REPORT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Man, just a shield of yellow and gold returns on radar pounding KC. Per the few reports I've read, doesn't appear to be contaminated with PL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 The NAM keeps looking better and better for central lower Michigan from Muskegon over to Alma and Saginaw. Perhaps 6 inches by Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Will the light lake effect flurries in Chicago help to overcome some of the dry air before main snow arrives tonight? Might help to keep the snow totals higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Will the light lake effect flurries in Chicago help to overcome some of the dry air before main snow arrives tonight? Might help to keep the snow totals higher. nah...different dry layers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 GRR talking about "plain drizzle" with little to no snow for our area...Excuse me while I jump for joy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 GRR talking about "plain drizzle" with little to no snow for our area... Excuse me while I jump for joy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 12z GFS is weird...LAF outperforms NW IL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Noticed the NAm showing some lake enhancement along the WI shoreline but with low inversion heights and ESE flow cant really see it amounting to much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 GRR talking about "plain drizzle" with little to no snow for our area... Excuse me while I jump for joy... Haha...I hope this is yet another time they are wrong this winter...especially considering what the 12Z NAM is showing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Noticed the NAm showing some lake enhancement along the WI shoreline but with low inversion heights and ESE flow cant really see it amounting to much. Nudge the yellow just a bit further north into my area just to keep the going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 KMCI 211553Z 07019G25KT 1/8SM R19R/1600V2000FT +SN FZFG VV004 M07/M09 A2993 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP148 SNINCR 3/5 P0016 T10671089 3" the past hour and 5" the past 2hrs at the airport. Looks like some good ratios as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Via Twitter over 9" since 7am CST in K.C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 If things break right...you might be correct. Higher end amounts aren't completely off the table but at this point I don't think there's enough evidence to go with them. 1) it's very unclear that we will be able to hold off mixing and 2) even if it's predominantly snow during the heavier precip, ratios would probably be terrible (maybe even less than 10:1?). So I think these factors preclude going with 4" or more that some runs have been advertising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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