ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 UVV explosion. Hole ripped in the atmosphere over SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 not talking about this board.. just in general been hearing the general public talking about this storm. We are all on this board to talk about this possible storm though. and it is a threat but just for us to discuss right now.. im not sure why the public is saying already major storm this weekend.. tired of being asked this question today in the gym.. Oh, I see where you are coming from. That's ... yeah, whatever circuits bringing this to the public awareness needs to be judicial, and in doing so, all the above needs to considered. Still, I think if this holds for a 3 more cycles with some of the more reliable run types - some earlier awareness is better. For one thing, 15" of 10:1 snow is more impacting than 15" at 20:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 3 2 runs in a row beginning 12z 2/19... and counting... will GFS pull the consistency the EC had for the blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Cue the Gap Band. GFS drops a bomb on me, baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 No it isn't. Good lord. ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 a lot of qpf through 108 but looks like temps don't cool til precip tapers off (FOR CT).. storm there so good trend now lets just get it colder.. not seeing any strong high to our north... looks like storm tries to stall at the bench mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 High looks fine to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I highly doubt 950 temps will be that warm to the NH border with a BM track. Doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 weenie 3" spot for Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 to bad it's still 100+ hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 February all time records in serious jeopardy. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 The low was a little south of 18z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 JGNYK03, I don't think this run is warm as you may think - you have to use your "scientifically responsible imagination" here, and realize that those synoptics, with on going -NAO, blocking high surface and aloft N, and rising PNA, combined with stormcentric dynamics, you could parachute to 1/4 mi vis in that type of deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 to bad it's still 100+ hours.. Yep, keep things in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It looks like N CT got crushed this run along with Mass and SVT/NH. BOS gets absolutely **** housed from like 108-120 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12-18+ for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Long duration pasty bomb.... yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 The low was a little south of 18z too. definitely looked "colder" from what see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If you adjust for a possible incorrect thermal diagnosis on this run it looks like maybe S coast mixes or changes to rain then goes over to snow with a quicker rain to snow scenario south of 84? The pike area gets absolutely drilled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 JGNYK03, I don't think this run is warm as you may think - you have to use your "scientifically responsible imagination" here, and realize that those synoptics, with on going -NAO, blocking high surface and aloft N, and rising PNA, combined with stormcentric dynamics, you could parachute to 1/4 mi vis in that type of deal. very true.. I just hate my spot for this set-up... SWCT.. I'd much rather be closer to the MASS border... I could see a tight North-South gradient with this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This run makes blizz'13 look like a piece of cake in BOS. wtf. Another half foot on top of what you guys got in that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Crushed even up here. Lock plz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 the initial warmth looks reasonable given the a primary low being over the northern lakes and the coastal getting going late...but once it does everything crashes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 the initial warmth looks reasonable given the a primary low being over the northern lakes and the coastal getting going late...but once it does everything crashes. and it looks like everyone gets in on plenty of precip even after things crash s...even CT and RI and SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 When we don't have to dream - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Its rare to see the GFS spit out those kind of 6 hour precip rates outside of its convective feedback. That's some monster UVV action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 The dynamic cooling in hours 105-108 is very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This reminds me of a January 2011 storm with the thermal profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 very true.. I just hate my spot for this set-up... SWCT.. I'd much rather be closer to the MASS border... I could see a tight North-South gradient with this storm... Yeah you'll likely have BL problems there for the first 1/3 to 1/2, but even you could go to giant aggregates and fall with even thunder (seriously)...getting colder, and even end with blowing snow here. Well, that's what I'm seeing. Even back in my days of being a winter head and feeling ripped off if I wasn't the snow capital of storm city, I would feel pretty good about that appeal at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Can we make it 3 straight weekends with a bomb? seriously... GFS says why the hell not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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