CT Rain Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Euro and Nam are nice hits. with mostly frozen. Trends overnight have been favorable..as the block seems to be coming in a bit stronger as we get closer. Sleet on the Euro though for most of it? 850s >0c up to Mass border for brunt of storm with changeover to snow at the end. I'm not sure why you're getting so defensive... this just isn't a really great setup right now as modeled for CT. We've scored a lot this winter time to let the people just across the border in on the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Actually I did this morning when I got up. The 6z GFS looks like mainly sleet/rain for CT as does the 00z GGEM and the 00z Ukie also looks warm. Even the Euro has the 0c 850 isotherm to the Mass border for most of the event. And it looks like it's on the colder/amped side of guidance. As things look right now I wouldn't expect warning criteria snows in CT unless this thing trends more dynamic and colder. Yeah fun while it lasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yeah fun while it lasted. After a large swath of 30"+ here can't complain. The snow pack fetish people will get a net positive out of it but I'm not going to be tuning up my snow blower for this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yeah fun while it lasted. BOS still in the running? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 BOS still in the running? I haven't looked hard yet. Sounded possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I haven't looked hard yet. Sounded possible. This could still morph into a Scooter win. Based on the seasonal trend, I'd bank on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yeah fun while it lasted.Have you changed your forecast then? Last nite you said you thought we'd see fairly significant accums in N Ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This could still morph into a Scooter win. Based on the seasonal trend, I'd bank on it. Eh, doubt it. This has interior jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Have you changed your forecast then? Last nite you said you thought we'd see fairly significant accums in N Ct It is fun trolling. Haven't looked closely to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 LOL at DT Wxrisk.com ABOUT THE WEEKEND STORM for the eastern PA NJ NYC LONG ISLAND and all of NEW ENGLAND...several Inches could fall over southern CT BEFORE the Mix or changeover and most of INTERIOR SE NY will stay all snow or mixed then go back to snow... northern CT all of mass up to Worcester stays all snow as does all of eastern NY NH VT and Maine. 12-24" are POSSIBLE in these areas... and western and central Mass intom southern NH 24"+ is also Possible. He is your disciple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 It is fun trolling. Haven't looked closely to be honest. Oh lol..I thouhgt you were serious this morning. Will said Euro was a couple inches of snow down there then mix..then a more snow after it changes back to snow.. Again trends are very encouraging so far. Hope they continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Here's the take this morning from our local station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 It is fun trolling. Haven't looked closely to be honest. LOL. I'd wait till 12z tomorrow before claiming victory on where the rain/snow line is. But it's okay to say what the models currently show. If this comes in stronger today and stays south of the SC then it's game on for most away from the south coast. BOS is always tricky in these setups though. Could easily taint and just get a few inches while Brookline gets 6+. Tough forecast w marginal airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 06z NAM looks like it is mostly WAA snows before dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 06z GFS looks meh for SNE. More a CNE deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 The GFS is really on its own I think. Just seems way too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 euro looks like a late game punishing for E MA. i'll take. nice shift south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 06z GFS looks meh for SNE. More a CNE deal. Off hour shenanigans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 The NAM is pretty good for here too. I really would like to see the srn vort cause a diaper blowout to the low se of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 The GFS is really on its own I think. Just seems way too warm. I would agree on that. I just want to see this system come in a bit more amplified negating the ML warmth. The track of the 700/850 lows leave a lot to be desired right now for the southern 1/2 of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 WHDH still sticking with that map.from yesterday 8-12" in ORH area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 euro looks like a late game punishing for E MA. i'll take. nice shift south and east.Yeah was a nice shift SE on Euro last nite and colder. That's what I was asking about last night. As the block seems to be trending a bit stronger as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Nam really is paste job from about Hfd North and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yeah was a nice shift SE on Euro last nite and colder. That's what I was asking about last night. As the block seems to be trending a bit stronger as we get closer I honestly think the block doesn't matter much, it's little nuances with the s/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Nam really is paste job from about Hfd North and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 The NAM is pretty good for here too. I really would like to see the srn vort cause a diaper blowout to the low se of ACK. Another 30 months give or take 6 and Bryce is out of diapers. But lets blow one out at 18000 feet lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Here's the take this morning from our local station. Judging by that map, you'd think that the ct river valley is WEST of 91 north of Greenfield. Wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Is Kevin's house in that little donut hole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Another 30 months give or take 6 and Bryce is out of diapers. But lets blow one out at 18000 feet lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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