ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Scooter mentioned just inside the BM - where do they head from there? strength? Its kind of goes due E almost...maybe slightly ENE. Gets down to 992 over Georges Bank it looks like at 102 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Its kind of goes due E almost...maybe slightly ENE. Gets down to 992 over Georges Bank it looks like at 102 hours. This would def promote a flash over to heavy wet snow on the CP rather than the storm going NNE into the gulf of Maine and up into the Maritimes. Prolonging the favorable mid and upper level conditions for heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This would def promote a flash over to heavy wet snow on the CP rather than the storm going NNE into the gulf of Maine and up into the Maritimes. Prolonging the favorable mid and upper level conditions for heavy precip.Better track for Tolland, CT USA as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Its snow to rain or rain/sleet back to snow for N CT and a good chunk of RI with probably still a good 8-10" (maybe even a little more in spots) after it changes back over with maybe a couple inches on the front end before any taint. Dec 05 despite what Kev says most of us tainted that day. euro snowfall has me over a foot still. Great system . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 You're in central in my opinion. SNE doesn't start for me till one gets south of the white pines as dominant and into the oak /hickoryhardwoods. Just mho. You are in CNE for sure. You are in freakin New Hampshire! You score with the Euro. And so do I....well at least my house scores. Please don't start the quarterly "let's define northern/central/southern NE" debate. Everyone's got a general sense, and more importantly, the maps are showing the points of debate about p-type, amounts. Seeing the entirety of the area in the .75" or greater on the EC should give all comfort that the strong potential is there for at least a moderate warning event for most. Those most likely to get skunked somewhat have been cleaning up so far this year. Those most likely to score have spent the year on the outside looking in. 24.6/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Better track for Tolland, CT USA as well Still taints you at 90h...its very similar to the OP run. But everyone flashes back to heavy snow quickly after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This would def promote a flash over to heavy wet snow on the CP rather than the storm going NNE into the gulf of Maine and up into the Maritimes. Prolonging the favorable mid and upper level conditions for heavy precip. yeah i'd like to see a more east jog. i don't even care if it gets up to ACK as really the end result will be the same because of the antecedent airmass and deep E flow to start. that will be nearly impossible to overcome for this area regardless of track really. but something moving E away from ACK or midway between ACK and the BM will bring a nice end game and really changes the outcome along the south shore and up into BOS. if it makes the move like the op euro, despite it showing a really nice 7h signature by 00z mon, i just wouldn't expect too much as usually the best dynamics are falling apart and/or too far north so you just get this fading precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Dec 05 despite what Kev says most of us tainted that day. euro snowfall has me over a foot still. Great system .Maybe you did but Tolland, CT USA did not . All snow. 11 inches. Will can verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I never type it In my posts. It seems a lot of folks are upset about the discussion about N CT. Deal with it No its more your IMBYism at all times and arguing with mets who disagree with you, it dominates the thread and frankly is old. The snow line could be Petes house or it could be Phils backyard, today it is probably right over your head, deal with that and move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Maybe you did but Tolland, CT USA did not . All snow. 11 inches. Will can verify I had 14 inches and sleeted for a time, most if not all of CT had a sleet mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I had 14 inches and sleeted for a time, most if not all of CT had a sleet mix.No they didn't and good for you and stop whining and complaining. That gets old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 18z NAM arriving slightly less potent through 42 hours. If you look at the 42 hour, and compare it to the 48 from 12z, the closed low over western IA is repositioned about 10 pubes SSW of the earlier fix. If you go back through 18z yesterday ...every run is in fact step-wise clicking that feature S... As is, it sets precariously by as the southern stream zips east underneath it... Anyway, it would be something if that phased in there even partially - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Based on the system taking more of an easterly than northerly trajectory should bring smiles to everyone as wouldn't that keep the dry slot off shore? That should be a win for everyone methinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Based on the system taking more of an easterly than northerly trajectory should bring smiles to everyone as wouldn't that keep the dry slot off shore? That should be a win for everyone methinks. It will all depend on how far south or north it decides to make its east escape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStick Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Is there a good idea on the timing? especially up here in NH. may cancel a big family get together if Sat. is not clear . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It will all depend on how far south or north it decides to make its east escape Sure--I didn't realize any of them got it far enough north for that to really be an issue. But, the idea just dawned on me so I hadn't really looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 NAM looks beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Still taints you at 90h...its very similar to the OP run. But everyone flashes back to heavy snow quickly after. Will this storm have potential to begin earlier than advertised by models? ala a sw flow event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 NAM looks beautiful. Yes indeedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Sure--I didn't realize any of them got it far enough north for that to really be an issue. But, the idea just dawned on me so I hadn't really looked. Yeah, Getting to 40/70 then moving east is not good up here, Getting to 41/70 were good or close to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Is there a good idea on the timing? especially up here in NH. may cancel a big family get together if Sat. is not clear . It looks as though the main action arrives after 3-5pm for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Can't see the surface winds, but by the looks of the NAM (at 84, so take it with a grain of salt), there is a strong SE flow aloft into SNE. Likely a strong CF in there btw 128 and 495. Likely raining in BOS and maybe here, while Ray is ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Can't see the surface winds, but by the looks of the NAM (at 84, so take it with a grain of salt), there is a strong SE flow aloft into SNE. Likely a strong CF in there btw 128 and 495. Likely raining in BOS and maybe here, while Ray is ripping. Sfc winds are more ENE...it gives BOS a paste job at like 33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 nam looks like it wants to torch this area but just N of here looks golden. Just golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z Euro snow map. No taint FTW AWT http://twitter.com/SNEWeather/status/304314286589755392/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z Euro snow map. No taint FTW AWT http://twitter.com/SNEWeather/status/304314286589755392/photo/1 LOL,beyond weenie-ish. You taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 NAM would crush if it ticked a bit south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z Euro snow map. No taint FTW AWT http://twitter.com/SNEWeather/status/304314286589755392/photo/1 There is taint on the Euro for you...you still get plenty of snow though. Not sure why you insist on disagreeing with simple arithmatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 NAM would crush if it ticked a bit south. I think it would anyway...might bring taint to the pike but just look at the height falls S of LI on that...monster dynamic collapse of the temps to the SE incoming on that thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I think it would anyway...might bring taint to the pike but just look at the height falls S of LI on that...monster dynamic collapse of the temps to the SE incoming on that thing. Yeah for you it would. You can see the height falls and the little ESE tug of that MSLP center too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.