dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Just look at what happened with NH! I'm glad I'll have something to keep my first midnight entertaining tomorrow night. Pretty nice looking consensus at this range. Looks like it could be a nice stretch of late winter up here over the next few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Should we break out separate threads for northern CT weather? LOL. Hard linking the JMA more out of curiousity than anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Is there any chance it DOESNT deviate by ~30 miles give or take over the next 3-4 days? Not saying its going north or south, but some deviation, given the time frame, seems more than likely. Well there is always a chance, but it would not take much to deviate 30-40 miles for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Where is he located? Does anyone know Wild guess, but you probably mention Tolland 45x more than USCAPEWXMOFO mentions Cape Cod, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Well there is always a chance, but it would not take much to deviate 30-40 miles for sure. 30-40 miles S would be welcomed in these parts. even 50 miles. euro verbatim offers up backside snows but i never put much stock in that...especially once a low reaches your latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 30-40 miles S would be welcomed in these parts. even 50 miles. euro verbatim offers up backside snows but i never put much stock in that...especially once a low reaches your latitude. I agree. 950 temps hug 0C from Kevin to me so personally...I would rather have it be colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro weenie snow algorithms probably would make Kev happy.Detes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Detes? Had like 12-15 give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If the euro gained less latitude by like 30 miles and took that track, it would be a lot better. If we can't get the ridging to break down, maybe we can get the trailing s/w to be a little more progressive. A lot of moving parts to say the least. Not boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Wild guess, but you probably mention Tolland 45x more than USCAPEWXMOFO mentions Cape Cod, MA.I never type it In my posts. It seems a lot of folks are upset about the discussion about N CT. Deal with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If we can't get the ridging to break down, maybe we can get the trailing s/w to be a little more progressive. A lot of moving parts to say the least. Not boring. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Had like 12-15 give or take. How do you feel about EMA/Boston north areas with how it looks so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I never type it In my posts. It seems a lot of folks are upset about the discussion about N CT. Deal with it i wouldn't talk about N CT at all if it weren't for your nonsensical posts all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 i wouldn't talk about N CT at all if it weren't for your nonsensical posts all the time.How come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 How do you feel about EMA/Boston north areas with how it looks so far? It's very dicey of the euro verifies. It would be better in Peabody with a little latitude and away from the water, but I personally would like it a bit more south. It would be a lot of rain before flipping to snow near dawn Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro ensembles are a pube north of the BM, but kind of a wide MSLP contour meaning some spread is in there. About where I thought it may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z Euro ensembles look a tick west of the 00z Euro ensembles. They look like they are a hair inside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 How come? because 90% of us or better don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Hopefully as we get closer we start seeing solutions a little less iffy for coastal folks. Awesome stretch we're in though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I never type it In my posts. It seems a lot of folks are upset about the discussion about N CT. Deal with it Anyway, NCEP has weighed in. SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST/SRN PLAINS/LWR MS VALLEY SURFACE LOW MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST TO THE VIRGINIA CAPES PREFERENCE: SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE 12Z GFS WITH BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN AS IT MOVES UNDER THE BASE OF THE DEEP CYCLONE APPROACHING LAKE SUPERIOR. THE 09Z SREF MEAN IS THE MOST PROGRESSIVE ALOFT, WHICH BEFITS THIS TYPE OF FLOW PATTERN. THE 12Z UKMET/12Z CANADIAN/12Z ECMWF AND ITS 00Z ENSEMBLE MEAN LAG BEHIND, PARTIALLY DUE TO THEIR SLOWER SOLUTIONS UPSTREAM WITH TROUGHING BECOMING ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE WEST. OTHER THAN THE QUICKER/MORE NORTHEAST 12Z NAM/09Z SREF MEAN SOLUTIONS, THE REMAINDER OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THEIR SURFACE LOW EVOLUTION AS IT MOVES FROM SOUTHERN ALABAMA OFFSHORE THE VIRGINIA CAPES. A SOLUTION A LITTLE FASTER THAT THE MIDDLE OF THE SPREAD WITH THIS SYSTEM, SLIGHTLY LAGGING THE 12Z GFS ALOFT BUT CLOSEST TO THE 12Z GFS AT THE SURFACE, IS PREFERRED HERE WITH BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE CONSIDERING THE GREATER THAN AVERAGE SPREAD ALOFT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Do you think more posters here reside in N CT or Cape Cod, Ma? i talk about all over SNE...but mainly E of ORH because i feel like i know the climo of that region better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Keep it on topic guys. I think I've deleted about 60 posts today and I'm usually pretty lenient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 well i'll be practicing plenty of snowstorm voodoo over the next few days...trying as best as i can to will this thing S and E or into a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro ensembels have over an inch of QPF for all of eastern half of SNE and up into CNE basically bounded by PWM/CON/ORH/PVD and east. Everyone else is still over 0.75 in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 well i'll be practicing plenty of snowstorm voodoo over the next few days...trying as best as i can to will this thing S and E or into a bomb. I'm with you, of course, but I think the consensus at this point is a bit NW of where you and I and a few others would prefer things. The folks N and W of us a good bit could use a good walloping, though, so that's all good. Not to mention that I think this still finishes nicely even for us on the coastal plain. There's wiggle room, but only so much room for things to go much further NW, I think. Granted, I don't see it slipping too much more SE either. Normally at this time frame I'd say plenty can change, but the guidance is fairly clustered when one considers the days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Should we break out separate threads for northern CT weather? LOL. Hard linking the JMA more out of curiousity than anything Uhm, Ok! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 not sure if i buy it delivering much but the euro has decent looking mid-level features by sunday afternoon into sunday night - suggesting there could be lingering snows from BOS down to the Cape pretty late into Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro ensembles are a pube north of the BM, but kind of a wide MSLP contour meaning some spread is in there. About where I thought it may be. Please edit this... Ed Carroll is not pleased Is it still stacked nicely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro ensembels have over an inch of QPF for all of eastern half of SNE and up into CNE basically bounded by PWM/CON/ORH/PVD and east. Everyone else is still over 0.75 in SNE. Scooter mentioned just inside the BM - where do they head from there? strength? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 because 90% of us or better don't live there. Im guessing that there at least as many northern Ct posters here as there are Vt, Nh, and Me posters, yet I see no shortage of posts from those environs.. There are active posters in each locale, but Id guess more from northern Ct... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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