Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Well considerin git gives nearly 2" of qpf for a chunk of SNE, it probably won't go up that much..maybe a little more wild on the tail end for eastern areas. How much qpf does it give N CT as mix and how much as snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z Euro not as dynamic as 12z op GFS, but it's still a very nice solution for GC and Berkshires. CC or ACK tracks are usually sweet for PSF and surrounding environs. BM tracks don't usually do the job west of the Berkshire crest and north of I-90. A more dynamic storm with the 12z Euro track could yield a tremendous hit for this neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Sweet run Ok, I'm in now........... CNE is ripe for the coming 7-8 days. Fun times for you!!! I could even eek out some on the second system if things play out okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro is very borderline with temps. Even to ORH. Lots of precip though. I wouldn't worry too much about model sfc temps at this point. They are usually too warm in marginal setups..particularly dynamic storms like this. It will often show like 34-35F near BOS when in reality its more like 31 and back here it loves to show the 32F line over my head quite frequently but it ends up closer to 27F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z Euro not as dynamic as 12z op GFS, but it's still a very nice solution for GC and Berkshires. CC or ACK tracks are usually sweet for PSF and surrounding environs. BM tracks don't usually do the job west of the Berkshire crest and north of I-90. A more dynamic storm with the 12z Euro track could yield a tremendous hit for this neck of the woods. That's teasing talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 CNE is ripe for the coming 7-8 days. Fun times for you!!! I could even eek out some on the second system if things play out okay. Still trying to decide if I am SNE or CNE... Ultimately I think I am right on the line...no man's land... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Why is everyone saying "Not much change in anything" when 12 hours ago everyone's talking about a 1-2 foot snowstorm for SNE / Boston and now it's a 1-2 foot snowstorm for the Berkshires and ORH North?? Ya no changes at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Why is everyone saying "Not much change in anything" when 12 hours ago everyone's talking about a 1-2 foot snowstorm for SNE / Boston and now it's a 1-2 foot snowstorm for the Berkshires and ORH North?? Ya no changes at all. Its about a 20 mile bump north...BOS still does very well, just not as crazy as a couple GFS runs yesterday. Interior has always been favored in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 LOL at CNE people. AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 high stakes track for the 95 corridor etc with the eventual curl east. climo definitely says wagons NW on a track from ACY to CHH...but the slow-down and curl east raises concern because anything SE of that results in a much different outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I wouldn't worry too much about model sfc temps at this point. They are usually too warm in marginal setups..particularly dynamic storms like this. It will often show like 34-35F near BOS when in reality its more like 31 and back here it loves to show the 32F line over my head quite frequently but it ends up closer to 27F. O I am not worried with those details right now. I just like that there is a storm on the models. I was only saying it because I found a new toy with accupro that I didn't know existed. Looking at the soundings though we at about -5 C from 900 to 800. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Seems like everyone is very unsure and confused . Marginal storm, late winter. Cold low levels, deep snow pack bombing storm. I'm thinking that doesn't = much rain inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Mets...did n ct break a foot on any 12z model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 verbatim the euro is actually not bad at BOS. haven't seen temps just off the deck yet but the text data implies an absolute pasting in BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 O I am not worried with those details right now. I just like that there is a storm on the models. I was only saying it because I found a new toy with accupro that I didn't know existed. Looking at the soundings though we at about -5 C from 900 to 800. That should be plenty cold in this setup. I think it looks fine for interior NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 That should be plenty cold in this setup. I think it looks fine for interior NE MA. Yup. Got any analogues in your head for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 lol...the euro destroys ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I have just looked at this page of information and I can already tell that Kevin is nervous and that I should probably expect snow to sleet to rain for my backyard. Greetings from 6,288 btw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I have just looked at this page of information and I can already tell that Kevin is nervous and that I should probably expect snow to sleet to rain for my backyard. Greetings from 6,288 btw! as he should be. euro is like 2 feet up the road in ORH but god knows what IHBY with the funky low and mid-levels. hope you're having a good time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Meh for southern CT up to HFD. AMOUT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 curious to hear scooter's thoughts for his area. BOS is a wildcard zone on a track like the 12z euro. could see that playing out in one of 2 ways...either dynamics are enough to make it a 33F dropping to 30F crushing or we see a CF push back toward 128 for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Noone has any idea what to interpret for areas south of Orh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This storm seems to favor areas northwest from a PVD to BOS line, areas to the SE of that line favors rain to snow, especially with the curl east track could be quite the backend snowstorm for eastern areas, unless storm ends up SEward by 100 miles, like the Blizzard of 2013 and last weekend's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Am I reading the GGEM right and there is a forecasted 6 hr precip of 10cm for Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Am I reading the GGEM right and there is a forecasted 6 hr precip of 10cm for Sunday? That's mm. .4" I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Yup. Got any analogues in your head for this one? Tough one...almost like Dec '96 but colder look on the CP of MA. Like a cross between Dec '96 and Dec '05. I'll have to think about it some more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 100 hr snowstorm on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 curious to hear scooter's thoughts for his area. BOS is a wildcard zone on a track like the 12z euro. could see that playing out in one of 2 ways...either dynamics are enough to make it a 33F dropping to 30F crushing or we see a CF push back toward 128 for a time. I'm finally off baby duty and can look more now at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Noone has any idea what to interpret for areas south of Orh Its snow to rain or rain/sleet back to snow for N CT and a good chunk of RI with probably still a good 8-10" (maybe even a little more in spots) after it changes back over with maybe a couple inches on the front end before any taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Its snow to rain or rain/sleet back to snow for N CT and a good chunk of RI with probably still a good 8-10" (maybe even a little more in spots) after it changes back over with maybe a couple inches on the front end before any taint. he just keeps motoring around in his boat...trolling and trolling the waters...just waiting for someone to take his bait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.