HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 MLK FTW. Yeah... could be like that one. ping ping ping for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 with no cold high to the north, no snow for many....simple math here... ??? There's a 1028 H anchored to the N of ME. it's a warm high, rain for everyone. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Okay so maybe not blows it away...but breaks it for sure. What's the alltime monthly record? We still have the 2/27 potential.... The all-time monthly record for ORH is 50.9" in January 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 There is so much time to trend one way or another. Yup. I'm just trying to add my thoughts to what I see. 12z GFS says deja-vu next weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This should get Dryslot and Dendrite away from the bridges. Told you you'll get yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 IMO the path of the 700 mb low and the point of surface redevelopment just scream Berkshire jackpot with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 ??? There's a 1028 H anchored to the N of ME. Not very cold though, Not going to see temps like we had for the blizzrad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 That later storm looks a little colder, too. Still too warm, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 MLK FTW.I don't see how this is comparable to that. CT was almost all rain and even Bos didn't get much snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I think I like N ORH county/Monads/GC in this storm right now. Combo of elevation and latitude (but not too much to miss the best dynamics). Things can still shift a little bit so obviously this is not set in stone, but I'd feel pretty good right now there. yeah i would agree overall. the caveat would be if the euro idea of the sunday CCB materializes well. i'm sure you saw, but while it doesn't quite get captured the system slows down markedly during the day so things hang on over E regions. i could envision that sort of development with a jackpot in those regions you outlined and then another somewhere around BOS....maybe if i'm lucky some decent stuff even creeping into MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This should get Dryslot and Dendrite away from the bridges. Told you you'll get yours. lol, I will wait a few more runs before i start cart wheeling.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinWX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 yeah it's mild on that run. just another possibility. like scooter said earlier...30 or 40 mile shifts will make a world of difference for a lot of us. I like the eastward shunt along the south shore...could see a cooler verification for inland areas. I think E MA is destined for some mixing issues though. I didn't like the NAM for eastern areas, and the GFS just piled it on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 The all-time monthly record for ORH is 50.9" in January 2004 Thanks. Obviously would take some work but honestly not out of the realm of possibility. And the 12z GFS for 2/27 looks decent...especially CNE north. Borderline at ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I don't see how this is comparable to that. CT was almost all rain and even Bos didn't get much snow This may have a big snow gradient from you to Will. That's what I mean. I'm obviously saying this because it bothers you, but the snow gradient I mentioned is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Well there's the tickle north that we mentioned. Shut up MPM..lol. LOL. Of cousre, we don't want it to go too far north, lest some folks get screwed. Interesting that the NAM is hinting toward warm and the GFS is a bit amped. Tons of time for things to continue to evolve. I'm not jumping on it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This may have a big snow gradient from you to Will. That's what I mean. I'm obviously saying this because it bothers you, but the snow gradient I mentioned is possible. I think Kev would still do ok, even on the GFS. His 960' would help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Kevin, you and i both need the gfs to be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 The ORH record was Jan 05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Congrats CNE day 7 on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I think Kev would still do ok, even on the GFS. His 960' would help Of course, but an eventual ORH north deal is coming sooner or later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Something is causing these QPF bombs over SE MA and CC bay. Euro and GFS have it...might be strong low level frontogenesis or something. Cool to see. Oh yeah, still 4 days out. eh, I think it's just southern stream pwat slamming over a polar dome, with a 100kt mid level wind max passing overhead that upglide providing exotic di-f/q-vectors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This should get Dryslot and Dendrite away from the bridges. Told you you'll get yours. I sure hope so--they've gotten it worse than me. Still not as bad as Rick though. Off to the Beast to see the young-un for her snowboarding lunch break. Should be back for the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 IMO the path of the 700 mb low and the point of surface redevelopment just scream Berkshire jackpot with this one. if something like the GFS verifies, i agree. the euro develops a nice closed 7h low east of my house...which would tend to put max - or secondary max - further E...like in the ORH to BOS to TAN region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Congrats CNE day 7 on the GFS. Lets lock that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Lets lock that one You get like 20" lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 This may have a big snow gradient from you to Will. That's what I mean. I'm obviously saying this because it bothers you, but the snow gradient I mentioned is possible.I know you are semi trolling me with that one. Every time I I think about that dark day/ storm it just brings back anger . All I picture are Will and Megan prancing around in the woods in a foot of snow in those pics he posted that day. He had on that blue Mighty Mac jacket that he's had since high school. I kind of like the Dec 1996 analog from the 2nd storm of that 2 nor'easter deal. This setup looks similar to that as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 You get like 20" lol. Cement, I do like that one though for up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Yeah it had about 2" from BOS to nrn RI and near 3" over PYM. But I really can't stress this enough. We still have a lot of time left to figure out details. I doubt this track is set in stone 84+ hrs out. Some people who are super excited may have to temper expectations a bit. Here's what was read of your salient advice by the collective: "Yeah it had about 2" from BOS to nrn RI and near 3" over PYM which translates to 20 to 30". *** * ****** ***'* ***** **** ******* ** **** **** * *** ** **** **** ** ***** *** ******* * ***** *** ***** ** *** ** ***** *** *** **** **** ***** *** *** **** ******* *** **** ** ***** ************ * ****" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I know nothing about weather but most of the big storms have trended southeast this season. I wouldn't bet against that trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 if something like the GFS verifies, i agree. the euro develops a nice closed 7h low east of my house...which would tend to put max - or secondary max - further E...like in the ORH to BOS to TAN region Its strange seeing redevelopment so far east of the primary a la euro. Certainly not a typical setup but doesnt mean its wrong I suppose. Guess that's what can happen when you have one vort max rotating around the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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