SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Why oh why couldn't it be Friday night right now, that would be absolutely aweeeesssooommee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Its rare to see the GFS spit out those kind of 6 hour precip rates outside of its convective feedback. That's some monster UVV action. It's got huge 700vvs under huge 500 VVs. Usually those are displaced from each other. That's almost a vertical displacement of air lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 But yes folks, Saturday night is still a ways out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It's got huge 700vvs under huge 500 VVs. Usually those are displaced from each other. That's almost a vertical displacement of air lol. Yeah that's why I made that "Ripping a hole in the atmosphere" comment....the loss of heights was sickening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 weird evolution on the day 6/7 thing. Looks like it's trying to induce miller b type coastal cyclogenesis but the trough is so far west it develops a weaker low but good lift in the apps and interior northeast with marginal temperature profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Yeah that's why I made that "Ripping a hole in the atmosphere" comment....the loss of heights was sickening. And I don't see how that would verify without CG - jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 weird evolution on the day 6/7 thing. Looks like it's trying to induce miller b type coastal cyclogenesis but the trough is so far west it develops a weaker low but good lift in the apps and interior northeast with marginal temperature profiles. It looks kind of meh. Even the euro had a look that was tough for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Wow, still snowing moderately over eastern areas at 117 hours! You know, it's not beyond the realm of possibility ... when accounting for a progressive native bias that this could sneak in a durational aspect to it - seriously. If the blend of the 18z/00z run played, you could almost tact an hour of impact on each interval. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Will, isn't that one of your "SW flow" deals in the extended ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 question is does euro agree? thats all that matters at this point.. euro took a jump south and east at 12z.. I'm on board if euro agrees.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 When we don't have to dream - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It looks kind of meh. Even the euro had a look that was tough for snow. the euro was a bit warmer...the gfs has like -2c 850s here for the event. I wasn't really talking about SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 one interesting thing i've been seeing in both models is the storm kicking out to the east and making a right turn once it gets to our latitude (instead of going to the gulf of maine) which could make this a longer event especially for eastern areas.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 one interesting thing i've been seeing in both models is the storm kicking out to the east and making a right turn once it gets to our latitude (instead of going to the gulf of maine) which could make this a longer event especially for eastern areas.. Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Can we make it 3 straight weekends with a bomb? visible.jpg Bring it on! How have the other globals been looking? (Ukie, GGEM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 question is does euro agree? thats all that matters at this point.. euro took a jump south and east at 12z.. I'm on board if euro agrees.. If history is a guide the euro will begrudgingly move NW from here on out. Ggem is on board but like the gfs has tended to overdo things at this range. Ggem/gfs are very similar for 4 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 For reference, below is a table listing Boston's snowiest months. With 32.0" snow, February 2013 already ranks 17th all-time and 7th snowiest February): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Ukie looks pretty good too...can't see 108h, but based on 96 and 120, it would probably be like the GGEM. Maybe a hair better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 For reference, below is a table listing Boston's snowiest months. With 32.0" snow, February 2013 already ranks 17th all-time and 7th snowiest February): 6 out of top 7 in last 20 yrs. 7 out of top 8 if we get 4" Sunday in boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 6 out of top 7 in last 20 yrs. 7 out of top 8 if we get 4" Sunday in boston Hopefully, Boston can get at least 4". The surface and up to about 950/975 mb is a little too warm for my level of comfort at this stage. I don't doubt that the storm's dynamics will flip the precipitation to heavy wet snow, but the timing of the change and ratios (probably on the low side of climatology) may be issues if one is looking for the amount needed to set a new monthly mark. I hope that subsequent guidance will be colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Nogaps shows a Chain HECS for you guys. Perfect wavelength so you get a low over AKC every 36hrs. Too bad it's the nogaps. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NOGAPS_0z/nogapsloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 No EURO takers again?? Ha?? What blog Is this? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro is on board. Not quite as crazy as GFS, but still a crush job. Ironically it looks very similar to the 18z GFS with the 0C line that Kevin dismissed earlier. Big QPF...everyone does go to snow at some point in SNE who was rain initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro is on board. Not quite as crazy as GFS, but still a crush job. Ironically it looks very similar to the 18z GFS with the 0C line that Kevin dismissed earlier. Big QPF...everyone does go to snow at some point in SNE who was rain initially. Look good up here too Will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro is on board. Not quite as crazy as GFS, but still a crush job. Ironically it looks very similar to the 18z GFS with the 0C line that Kevin dismissed earlier. Big QPF...everyone does go to snow at some point in SNE who was rain initially. 0C line appears to approach the CT/MA border for a time between 96 and 102 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 For the archives... seems to have worked the previous 2 weeks: Hole in the atmosphere, 0z 2/20/13 GFS... I'm picturing a chute from 18000 to 5000 feet: The now nightly comma head image, 0z 2/20/13 Euro 3 hour snowfall 108-111hr, overall shifted north from last night's Euro run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 damn look at the day 9/10 pattern on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro is on board. Not quite as crazy as GFS, but still a crush job. Ironically it looks very similar to the 18z GFS with the 0C line that Kevin dismissed earlier. Big QPF...everyone does go to snow at some point in SNE who was rain initially. Well since that was a crushjob even here..I guess I'll take it. it certainly wasn';t rain as Ginx pointed ouit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Look good up here too Will?1" line runs from about LCI-LEB. 2" gets to BOS. EC ens look good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 hmmmmmm.......Wed. 00z runs. Nope--not excited yet. But, nice eye candy. 24.3/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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