HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 CNE special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 ORH blows away the FEB snow record this run...not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 That is a Mailbox Mauler from DXR to HFD to NW Ri and points NW. 1-2 feet of cement. Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 3:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: How quickly you forget the MLK storm. with the HP so far N and E it's not out of the realm of possibility because areas further E would beat back the low and mid-level warming longer. almost all guidance has this look with the primary helping to yank some mid-level warming up west of NE and then cooler air trying to hang on tight further E. so you get this NW to SE oriented thermal gradient. at least, as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:03 PM, weatherMA said: ORH blows away the FEB snow record this run...not even close. We need 11.4" to break it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:03 PM, CT Blizz said: That is a Mailbox Mauler from DXR to HFD to NW Ri and points NW. 1-2 feet of cement. Yes please if people are driving around with baseball bats in their cars, then yes. or if the plows are just out and driving up on the curbs for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:03 PM, CT Blizz said: That is a Mailbox Mauler from DXR to HFD to NW Ri and points NW. 1-2 feet of cement. Yes please Are you cuddling with the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:06 PM, ORH_wxman said: We need 11.4" to break it. I think you would achieve that with no problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:06 PM, ORH_wxman said: We need 11.4" to break it. Okay so maybe not blows it away...but breaks it for sure. What's the alltime monthly record? We still have the 2/27 potential.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:06 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: if people are driving around with baseball bats in their cars, then yes. or if the plows are just out and driving up on the curbs for fun. Well, even 6" of sloppy stuff brings down mailboxes from the plows around here... they are ruthless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinWX Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 12z GFS...above 0C at 950mb from Boston-ORH southeast...above 0C from the NH border-Springfield MA southeastward at 975mb at hr 93...just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:06 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: if people are driving around with baseball bats in their cars, then yes. or if the plows are just out and driving up on the curbs for fun.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:06 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: if people are driving around with baseball bats in their cars, then yes. or if the plows are just out and driving up on the curbs for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I love when Kevin just guesses and looks at no models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 1:31 PM, Ginxy said: too early Garth but probably mostly a snow bomb, lets see how the models trend through Friday. I am excited, 7h and 8h below us, dynamic cooling, big actually super big VV's, yea I got wood. Pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:08 PM, CT Blizz said: ? i think it's more wet than white for you, me, scooter etc...there'd be snow but not 1-2 feet on that run at face value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:06 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: if people are driving around with baseball bats in their cars, then yes. or if the plows are just out and driving up on the curbs for fun. Just laughed so hard lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Don't have a good feeling for this one along coastal CT. Everything says we'll have a torched BL early on...and if this thing bombs too far N & E then we may struggle to flip before the best precip rates move out. Basically we'll be in a similar spot as NY/NNJ was for the blizzard...waiting for temps to crash and hope the CCB reaches far enough west that we still eek out some decent accums. We'll see...4 days out so a lot of details to be worked out. Inland CT isn't in the clear for an all snow event either...calls of 1-2' are a bit premature IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 with no cold high to the north, no snow for many....simple math here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I think I like N ORH county/Monads/GC in this storm right now. Combo of elevation and latitude (but not too much to miss the best dynamics). Things can still shift a little bit so obviously this is not set in stone, but I'd feel pretty good right now there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:09 PM, CoastalWx said: I love when Kevin just guesses and looks at no models.I never look at GFS. I don't use it. But since we are discussing it with an isothermal snowbomb ,strong dynamics, GFS warm bias and height fields crashing lets just say I'm not worried about rain in n ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:11 PM, Brian5671 said: with no cold high to the north, no snow for many....simple math here... That's almost as bad as saying 1-2 feet for everyone. A lot of people will get snow even if they have to deal with rain early on...unless guidance changes a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 I'd like to see the ridging ahead of this system break down a bit faster so that the ULL that the s/w rounds does not cut so far W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:08 PM, JustinWX said: 12z GFS...above 0C at 950mb from Boston-ORH southeast...above 0C from the NH border-Springfield MA southeastward at 975mb at hr 93...just saying yeah it's mild on that run. just another possibility. like scooter said earlier...30 or 40 mile shifts will make a world of difference for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:14 PM, ORH_wxman said: That's almost as bad as saying 1-2 feet for everyone. A lot of people will get snow even if they have to deal with rain early on...unless guidance changes a lot. true-but your post above outlines the most likely scenario here for most especially when you factor in climo. "I think I like N ORH county/Monads/GC in this storm right now. Combo of elevation and latitude (but not too much to miss the best dynamics)." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:11 PM, Brian5671 said: with no cold high to the north, no snow for many....simple math here... ??? There's a 1028 H anchored to the N of ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:13 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think I like N ORH county/Monads/GC in this storm right now. Combo of elevation and latitude (but not too much to miss the best dynamics). Things can still shift a little bit so obviously this is not set in stone, but I'd feel pretty good right now there. What's the monthly snowfall record at ORH? Over 50-55"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 MLK FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 There is so much time to trend one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 On 2/20/2013 at 4:16 PM, ETauntonMA said: ??? There's a 1028 H anchored to the N of ME. I would think there would be a better drain of cold air then? (I'm talking CT, RI and SE/E MA) Seems that the antecedent airmass is somewhat stale based on the model runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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