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Spring


Mr Torchey

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Long-Lived Winter of 2012-13 Nearing its End...

 

After a record-setting February-March in terms of snowfall in parts of New England, a February KU blizzard, a near KU snowstorm in early March, and a historic Palm Sunday snowstorm across Missouri and parts of Illinois, the winter season is now coming to a close.

 

In large part, the revival of winter and then its long-duration in parts of North America was the result of a blocking regime that has now lasted 52 days. That exceptional blocking regime brought the AO below -5.000 for the first time on record after mid-March. Moreover, through today, the AO has averaged -3.173 for March and a figure below -3.000 is extremely likely when the month ends in two more days. That will surpass the current March record of -2.858 from 1958.

 

Since 1950, there have been only two years during which the March AO averaged -2.500 (1958 and 1962) or lower and only 5 on which it averaged -2.000 or lower (1957, 1958, 1962, 1970, and 1984). The general consensus of the pattern evolution from those years is that April witnessed a break in the cold pattern, with most of those years favoring warmer readings for the second half of the month in large parts where cool anomalies had begun the month.

 

AprilTransition2013_zps9f8e65b1.jpg

 

All said, that pattern evolution supports the idea coming out in the teleconnection analogs of a dramatic pattern change that will likely see the second half of April wind up warmer than normal in much of the area currently enjoying generally colder than normal readings. It appears that the second week of April could witness the start of that transition.

 

Before then, winter may launch a last-ditch bid to carve its legacy into the memories of those who experienced some of its highlights. The possibility for at least some accumulation of snow exists in such cities as Chicago, Cleveland, Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal, Worcester, and perhaps even Boston. A small chance exists for at least some snowflakes in parts of Pennsylvania eastward to New York City, though that's not assured. An increasingly rare April freeze is also a possibility in New York City. The last time there was a freeze in April there occurred in 2007.

 

In sum, Spring 2013 appears likely to begin to take hold in the extended range.

It was one of the great ones folks. As we near the end..let's all take a moment and reflect on what a special and historic winter it was ..Deep snows from Nov 7 onwards...blizzards, mulitple feet snowstorms, long lasting pack, and a March that didn't Morch.

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Today should be a beaut. Not a cloud in the sky and already feels warm at 32F. My sister is visiting for Easter and said she just had breakfast out on the porch with the dog.

I'm telling you we all must be out of whack up here this time of year because people just flock outside if the sun is out. This entire county will be outside by 2pm even at only 40-45F.

We have the doors propped open at Mountain Ops...letting the warmth of the 30s and sun inside. Folks already setting up grills and chairs in the parking lot, we've got brews and burgers ready. Going to be a sweet Saturday...hard at work.

I've got spring fever.

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^^And I'm about to get out of the car and go into work in downtown Manhattan. What's wrong with this picture? Sigh...

 

 

Going to be a rough day of "work" up this way in this beautiful spring weather... doors propped open at 9:30am, we've got the grill ready to go, picnic table dug out, deep snowpack in place, ski-in/ski-out office, bluebird skies and a white-capped ridgeline overhead.  We'll get some chairs set-up outside and be all good to go.

 

 

This is an LL 5-sun spring day.  What spring is all about in the mountains.

 

 

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Going to be a rough day of "work" up this way in this beautiful spring weather... doors propped open at 9:30am, we've got the grill ready to go, picnic table dug out, deep snowpack in place, ski-in/ski-out office, bluebird skies and a white-capped ridgeline overhead.  We'll get some chairs set-up outside and be all good to go.

 

 

This is an LL 5-sun spring day.  What spring is all about in the mountains.

 

 

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You make me sick, lol . Just the very best time to ski, beers babes and burgers

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It was one of the great ones folks. As we near the end..let's all take a moment and reflect on what a special and historic winter it was ..Deep snows from Nov 7 onwards...blizzards, mulitple feet snowstorms, long lasting pack, and a March that didn't Morch.

 

And so it ends, Don S is shutting the light and closing the door on the way out

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