2001kx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 looks perfect for c-pa...snow for 24+ hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 oh my "could be" our biggest snowfall in a couple years. Book it, i'll put all else on hold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 12z Euro brings the system in about 12 hours faster and keeps it slightly south of here... still a nice hit for MD/DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 12z Euro brings the system in about 12 hours faster and keeps it slightly south of here... still a nice hit for MD/DC Not too bad for you down there also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 12z Euro brings the system in about 12 hours faster and keeps it slightly south of here... still a nice hit for MD/DC thats good enough for me... especially contrasted with the GGEM. dont want to be in the bullseye on day 5/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 i think DT is about to have heart attack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Not too bad for you down there also. Right output still has almost a half inch QPF for MDT, but precip rates may not be heavy enough to keep temps cold enough. Like Matt said earlier the models ARE going to flip back and forth, so I am more than ok with there continuing to be a storm each run having us in and out of the core of the precip rather than have us in bullseye now then trend away into next week. I think it would be ironic if the models lock into a storm days in advance since we are approaching the 20 year anniversary of 93 blizzard that the models locked on early with almost a week out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Nice "Potential" snowmap from Horst from Millersville U. (actually he must be giddy as well since I rarely seem him do this even in fun so early) Just want to make sure it stays snow down here in the LSV - you know us that have had little to cheer about unlike our bretheren across Central PA http://snowball.millersville.edu/~wic/storm_outlooks/latest.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 the euro is not so great for us further north but we do have time on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 i think DT is about to have heart attack! I can't understand how such a calm, level-headed guy could possibly have a heart attack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 At home, I'd be right in Horst's bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 When it's 39 and raining, who will be most pissed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Nice "Potential" snowmap from Horst from Millersville U. (actually he must be giddy as well since I rarely seem him do this even in fun so early) Just want to make sure it stays snow down here in the LSV - you know us that have had little to cheer about unlike our bretheren across Central PA http://snowball.millersville.edu/~wic/storm_outlooks/latest.jpg That's way premature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I can't understand how such a calm, level-headed guy could possibly have a heart attack. i lol'd! yeah, calm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 *** HEART ATTACK ALEET *** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Nice "Potential" snowmap from Horst from Millersville U. (actually he must be giddy as well since I rarely seem him do this even in fun so early) Just want to make sure it stays snow down here in the LSV - you know us that have had little to cheer about unlike our bretheren across Central PA http://snowball.millersville.edu/~wic/storm_outlooks/latest.jpg He's a good friend of mine, and you're right, he hardly does this sort of thing. He's a big weather-lover and this winter has been an absolute dud in terms of interesting meteorological phenomenon, so that may be why you see that map out this early since this storm would be a complete contrast to how tame this winter has been. He knows it's too early for a call on amounts, but he's illustrating potential - much like what Accuweather/TWC/every other major media outlet is doing. I like his take on the storm, but as of right now I think it's too bullish. This could just as easily miss us to the south by a wide margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 TWC did a segment showing the UKMet, GFS, GGEM, and EURO earlier showing the general "consensus" that we're close to having on the placement of the low at this point. Between them and Accuweather's link of "Monster storm risk next week", the hype isn't coming from just Horst, who I have never seen that from. Even with the 2010 events, it seemed as if he was pretty calm until the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Horst knows his history and has a very good memory of past events. I know for a fact he keeps a diary of sorts on previous events and his thoughts leading up to them. When he saw the consensus building this morning and the pattern, I bet you even he got a bit excited on the inside. He was probally thinking of this event, when he saw the models this morning: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 wow, what a comparison! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Hoping the lsv pulls this out..you are def in the best spot for this atm. The tricky part is anyone who ends up on the edge of heavier precip is likely going to have def. accimulation issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I know its early but when Horst speaks I listen. He has always been conserative and not sounding hype false alarms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Hey guys come check out our newly updated site. Let me know what you think. http://www.hwpcwx.org Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 So, it has started: My father is a state worker and reported via text message to my mother that the "word going around the shed" is 1-3 feet. It certainly didn't take long for this to blow way out of proportion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Hey guys come check out our newly updated site. Let me know what you think. http://www.hwpcwx.org storm over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 So, it has started: My father is a state worker and reported via text message to my mother that the "word going around the shed" is 1-3 feet. It certainly didn't take long for this to blow way out of proportion... pennlive.com has a story titled "Heavy snow possibly middle of next week" already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 pennlive.com has a story titled "Heavy snow possibly middle of next week" already. Goes well with "Monster storm risk next week" over at Accuweather.com. I'm not saying it's not possible, but it's incredibly not likely and this kind of nonsensical bullshat is why stores do so well in french toast sales. It also contributes HEAVILY to the "crying wolf" epidemic that weather folks have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Goes well with "Monster storm risk next week" over at Accuweather.com. I'm not saying it's not possible, but it's incredibly not likely and this kind of nonsensical bullshat is why stores do so well in french toast sales. It also contributes HEAVILY to the "crying wolf" epidemic that weather folks have. I'd put $20 on MDT not receiving 1" of snow next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Yea it really hurts credibility with some news sources. Id wait untik Sunday night at the earliest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Canderson, Ill put 50 on no one getting more than 4 in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Just did a write up. I am not really into this storm yet till Sunday then if models are looking good, we can move forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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