snowalot Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 I will, I just know the poeple down there more from my time living in the DC area. My dates might be a bit off, but I think we have two windows to watch. The first is next week...I am not sure about this system the Euro goes nuts with. It does that by merging the system diving into the trough with the H5 low over the lakes and thus allowing the flow to back along the east coast and we get a bomb. That goes against every seasonal trend this year, and is not supported by the ensembles or any other guidance. Its possible, but I put it at low probability. Usually with these type setups we get some supression at first, then as the pattern matures we see it relax enough to allow storms to amplify, and that is when our window is. The storm day 7-9 might have a shot, but after that I definitely like our chances for something. The block is not just going to go away easy like a couple runs of the GFS had yesterday. I think we have a window from about March 7th to March 22nd or so... I think somewhere in there things might relax a bit, before one final amplification of the trough before the pattern breaks down. I just wish this was a month ago, we are getting a little late for those of us in southern PA or near the MD border. OHHHH NOOOOOO! we have now been cursed in Lancaster Cty by this statement....... is what most people in other forums might say. In my opinion this is exactly what we want to say, because when we least expect it, BAM it hits. We can hope that this pattern brings us snowfall dreams and blizzard wishes! Personally I think a white St Patty's day is the best time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 OHHHH NOOOOOO! we have now been cursed in Lancaster Cty by this statement....... is what most people in other forums might say. In my opinion this is exactly what we want to say, because when we least expect it, BAM it hits. We can hope that this pattern brings us snowfall dreams and blizzard wishes! Personally I think a white St Patty's day is the best time around. March 16, 2007 (day before St Pats) was pretty fun 9 1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 March 16, 2007 (day before St Pats) was pretty fun 9 1/2" my b-day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 my b-day Well then there would be 2 reasons to celebrate!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Well then there would be 2 reasons to celebrate!!!! Yeah, '93 set the bar kinda high, but we have had decent snowfalls during this time period in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Im in wait until its locked in on models 2 days away mode lol. Not looking 3 to 4 days in advance let alone a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Im in wait until its locked in on models 2 days away mode lol. Not looking 3 to 4 days in advance let alone a week. yes you will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Lol have to save myself the pain, now if it gets close I will go into full weenie mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Im in wait until its locked in on models 2 days away mode lol. Not looking 3 to 4 days in advance let alone a week. Yeah probably best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 27, 2013 Author Share Posted February 27, 2013 Euro had the storm in a similar fashion today, cutting it off at about the same latitude. It phased pretty far out to sea though this go around. Still delivered some lighter precip as the one shortwave moved through. GFS looked even more progessive with the features and kept them separate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 27, 2013 Author Share Posted February 27, 2013 But we're in a different pattern than we were. Patterns change. We have blocking now, something that is new. I've named some years in previous posts where March had snow after a fairly snowless winter. The first half of March 1999 is definitely a sleeper as far as great winter weather periods go. One of my favorite storms was the Mar 4th, 1999 storm that was a frontal boundary that had a low cut up from the carolinas into Eastern PA and into NY state bombing out in the process. It started out as a heavy rainstorm most of the evening and turned to snow. I went to bed thinking it was about done.. only to be woke up in the middle of the night by thunder/lightning with 50+ winds, no power, and basically a whiteout outside. Probably about 6-8 hours of legit blizzard conditions. We had a system move thru a few days later with several inches of snow and then the March 14th nor'easter that hit the southern half of PA pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Pattern looks great we just need to find an actual threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Pattern looks great we just need to find an actual threat. Build it and they will come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Build it and they will come James Earl Jones did say that model watching was America's pastime. Wasn't that movie called 384 Hour fantasy blizzard..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 O/T but it's (again) a great night to be a Nittany Lion!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Unless youre a michigan fan that was at the game like me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 O/T but it's (again) a great night to be a Nittany Lion!!! Were you at the game? I was...and I stormed the court! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Were you at the game? I was...and I stormed the court! No; but the BTN on in Findlay Commons safely distracted me from my studies. I stopped watching when UM went up 10+, then kept looking back to see it went to -9, -6, -4...and from then on was all eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Unless youre a michigan fan that was at the game like me lol GTFO no, srsly, GTFO. WE ARE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 You can leave now. LEAVE NAO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Michigan gets more snow anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 And with that, your regular programming - The This Storm Looks Good Seven Days Out But Will Eventually Go to S**t Show - now resumes. Followed by The Where The F**k is the LSV's Snow?? Program. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 And with that, your regular programming - The This Storm Looks Good Seven Days Out But Will Eventually Go to S**t Show - now resumes. Followed by The Where The F**k is the LSV's Snow?? Program. That's me near midcourt with the white shirt, white hat, and light blue jeans. Once I got to the center of the pile I unfortunately became part of a domino effect and stayed on the ground for about 30 seconds, while almost losing my shoe in the process. But it was all worth it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Lol....ill see you boys in March..oh wait?... Cant help it my dad and pap went there, been a fan since I was 3. Just to get banned Ill leave you with this memory...Touchdown Manningham! lol. My buddies who went to PSU decided to jump around the court, so had to wait an hour for them..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 HAHAA hazelton, dont forget the late night programming of, "This Pattern is To Great Not To Get a Storm, Right?...Followed by This Winter is Over, Lets Talk Baseball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Lol....ill see you boys in March..oh wait?... Cant help it my dad and pap went there, been a fan since I was 3. Just to get banned Ill leave you with this memory...Touchdown Manningham! lol. My buddies who went to PSU decided to jump around the court, so had to wait an hour for them..lol Banned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Come on Jamie, dont forget the arse whoopings you guys gave us in the RichRod era hahaha. I will give CPA this...it is way way better at football than major snowstorms. In all seriousness congrats on the win guys, they were great last night and Chambers will be a great coach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 28, 2013 Share Posted February 28, 2013 Current conditions... UNV 32/28 with snow MDT 41/28 with sun summary of this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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