LocoAko Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The 00Z NAM is running. It looks to me like at 12 hours the shortwave in the Four Corners region is noticably deeper than it was during the 18Z run at 18 hours. 00Z NAM: 18Z NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I could just be missing things, but it looks pretty similar to me out to this point.... That is my extrememly untrained eye, and if I am wrong please feel free to point out why. However...at 24 I think I am starting to see some differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:00 AM, Paweatherguy1 said: I could just be missing things, but it looks pretty similar to me out to this point.... That is my extrememly untrained eye, and if I am wrong please feel free to point out why. No, I agree so far. I thought it was pronounced at the 6h frame on the 00Z NAM and I edited my post to make it the 12h but I'm not seeing as much difference as I thought I did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:01 AM, LocoAko said: No, I agree so far. I thought it was pronounced at the 6h frame on the 00Z NAM and I edited my post to make it the 12h but I'm not seeing as much difference as I thought I did. trough is a tad bit sharper. and a tad is pushing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Looks more amplified at 30HR to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 a lot more moisture showing up on 700mb at 30 hrs vs. 18z run and Yoeman, I think you've hit the key to all this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:09 AM, Paweatherguy1 said: I agree...though I don't see it as anything drastic. check the 700mb map to the 18za at 36 and maybe you may Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The PV is more west at hr 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 PV also slightly further NE. Moisture is further west in the deep south @ 30 HR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:10 AM, Ridingtime said: The PV is more west at hr 30 No, 30 0z vs 36 18z, it's further NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I know this is not the best place to post this, but what are we watching for as far as when phasing will take place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:12 AM, weathervswife said: No, 30 0z vs 36 18z, it's further NE. I'm comparing frames back and forth and I don't see how thats the case, but whatevs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Looks pretty good to me at 42HR. Further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 As of 42 hours, heights are slightly higher along the East Coast and the PV is slightly WNW of where it was on the 18Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 42hr 700mb is great vs. 18z I think it does it this run, or comes so darn close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Hmmm im out to 42, I think itll be closer than 18Z but it still doesnt look like its going to do it for 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 NAM actually forms a low in the Gulf at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The difference between the 00z 42 h7 and 18z 48 h7 maps are pretty large... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think this will be the first NAM run that blows this up. Positioning of the leading shortwave and the northern trough looks very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 NAM is trying. Looks better at 42 hours...will probably still be a miss to the east, but trending? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This NAM run will have a better ending. 500 and 700 MB are quite improved through 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Much more amplified at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Very similar to the Euro at 42 hours, but slightly flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Definitely further west at 48, a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 42hrs The northern stream 300mb jet streak looks more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Much better IMO, the development of the moisture in the gulf and south is more abundant and west, the PV looks more west too. Should be better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 @42 the trough is definitely sharper vs 18z. The PV has moved slightly WNW from its position at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:18 AM, Dr No said: This NAM run will have a better ending. 500 and 700 MB are quite improved through 42. loop it, it looks even better http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/index_ref_l_loop.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:17 AM, ohleary said: NAM actually forms a low in the Gulf at 42 gone at 48. was hoping it was a sign of a more organized, stronger system... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Better at 54, but looks like we still won't get anything. Again, it's a nice step forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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