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Why does coastal storm frequency appear to peak in February?


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The coldest part of winter on land is around January 20th.  I would expect that maximum temperature differences between water and land occur earlier than that.  Yet there seems to be a fairly pronounced peak in coastal storms during the month of February.  You don't often hear of a Christmas or New Years coastal storm, but many years there is a coastal storm around President's Day.  Can someone provide an explanation?

 

 

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Just a guess - water temps are near a minimum, and people don't remember big rainstorms as well.  Last weekends storm would have had more rain before Christmas when the Atlantic was warmer.

 

I'd also assume the STJ could get stronger as the Southern climes warm faster than Northern climes.

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