bboughton Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Tim Kelley been hinting he thinks this will be a bigger hit all day, is really upset by how diff. radar looks from model data Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan Time call it a night, Radar looks way different than models.. disturbing.. "sure will be interesting" See ya at 4:45 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Tip Kelley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Tip Kelley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esmango Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 is the board quiet before the storm or lost interest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Radar really isn't all that much different from NAM simulated radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 I just went through an Internet outage... seems to be back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 wow...much of my town is in a power outage huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Fascinating meso ... perhaps polar low? passing over BUF http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=buf&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esmango Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 I just went through an Internet outage... seems to be back hmm... Tolland down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 is the board quiet before the storm or lost interest? Naw...just 1am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 hmm... Tolland down? Nah, Kevin's in bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Euro and GFS are too far NW with measurable precip. GFS had 0.05" to Tolland almost by 6z and GFS has it in New London County. I can't even find measurable on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Dry air winning the battle big time here in CT. KBDL 170551Z 02015G22KT 10SM OVC065 M03/M13 A2969 RMK AO2 PK WND 03031/0454 SNE49 SLP056 P0000 60000 T10281133 10011 21028 56034KBDL 170451Z 02023G29KT 8SM -SN OVC038 M02/M10 A2971 RMK AO2 PK WND 02029/0449 PRESFR SLP063 P0000 T10221100 400391022 KHFD 170553Z AUTO 03016G22KT 9SM -SN OVC042 M02/M09 A2971 RMK AO2 SNB20 SLP060 P0000 60000 T10221089 10017 21022 56030KHFD 170453Z AUTO 35010G20KT 10SM OVC050 M01/M07 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP066 T10111072 400391011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Fascinating meso ... perhaps polar low? passing over BUF http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=buf&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no My guess would be meso low formed due to the nocturnal land breeze and the curved nature of the lake, then northerly flow kicked in and pulled it onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Any obs from central CT? Had about 0.2 here in Naugatuck with -SN a little while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Had a few flakes here about an hour ago.. Radar looks like we're sitting under a DF band, yet out the window, nada.... Drier than fook, as Ryan recently pointed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 My guess would be meso low formed due to the nocturnal land breeze and the curved nature of the lake, then northerly flow kicked in and pulled it onshore. What a gorgeous feature though, wow. There's some pretty impressive snow fall rates in that band, no doubt. It's probably some kind of a hybrid there. That's clearly a closed vortex and the closest initiator is the cold profile over a relative warm source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Had a few flakes here about an hour ago.. Radar looks like we're sitting under a DF band, yet out the window, nada.... Drier than fook, as Ryan recently pointed out. Yeah the radar would have us jumping for joy most of the time but we're advecting in some super dry stuff down the valley. We're done here... a coating if we're lucky. I do think New London County should start getting in the better stuff... but models were too bullish on getting the snow in there through 6Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esmango Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 What a gorgeous feature though, wow. There's some pretty impressive snow fall rates in that band, no doubt. It's probably some kind of a hybrid there. That's clearly a closed vortex and the closest initiator is the cold profile over a relative warm source. this sounds kind of erotic Tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 what does the euro show for tomm am, bueller bueller Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 is the board quiet before the storm or lost interest? Lost interest for now. Will be more interesting in the morning. Always sunny I just deleted my post by mistake. On the cell there is no confirmation of deletion was trying to edit. Anyway I was expecting about .6 to .8 storm snows here then OES etc. the euro is okay I'm guessing about .45 here? What bugs me is the time we are wasting tonight. I was banking on an inch or two of pre snows overnight. That ain't happening. It's just flurries and above freezing. Some of the better banding may be well west for several hours. 8-12 of probably trim down to 6-10 if I was so inclined losing the 1-2" by 3-4am. . Like most bombing systems I expect a heavier band displaced NW of guidance. But we are burning valuable time right now with flurries and the storm is taking too long to generate the band on the NW side. Same concerns from 5 hours ago. Cloud tops are just gradually cooling we are t seeing the eruption the gfs was hammering by about now. Banding and OES could easily push this well into the double digits but I'm not confident that's going to set up. Tbh been doing family stuff since 2pm, just haven't been that interested to look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Lost interest for now. Will be more interesting in the morning. Always sunny I just deleted my post by mistake. On the cell there is no confirmation of deletion was trying to edit. Anyway I was expecting about .6 to .8 storm snows here then OES etc. the euro is okay I'm guessing about .45 here? What bugs me is the time we are wasting tonight. I was banking on an inch or two of pre snows overnight. That ain't happening. It's just flurries and above freezing. Some of the better banding may be well west for several hours. 8-12 of probably trim down to 6-10 if I was so inclined losing the 1-2" by 3-4am. . Like most bombing systems I expect a heavier band displaced NW of guidance. But we are burning valuable time right now with flurries and the storm is taking too long to generate the band on the NW side. Same concerns from 5 hours ago. Cloud tops are just gradually cooling we are t seeing the eruption the gfs was hammering by about now. Banding and OES could easily push this well into the double digits but I'm not confident that's going to set up. Tbh been doing family stuff since 2pm, just haven't been that interested to look. i'll take the under at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Yeah the radar would have us jumping for joy most of the time but we're advecting in some super dry stuff down the valley. We're done here... a coating if we're lucky. I do think New London County should start getting in the better stuff... but models were too bullish on getting the snow in there through 6Z. Meanwhile east of that band we are sucking wind the other way with 32+ temps and just flurries. Wasting some time tonight. I sense Will pre drafting one of his we should have known better posts for the morning. Anyway hoping to at least get or get near noaa maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 i'll take the under at this point. Euro is probably about .5 here. I figure .4 to .7 is still likely and if it ever cools off it should be fluffy. Plus banding which is pretty strongly signaled in terms of OES by all models. I think we are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 It's been SN- here for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 no body on all of american to interpret the euro ? c'mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esmango Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 saying good night, hopefully wake up to some snow. Long time lurker...you guys are great and taught me a lot! Not a kid....40 something, prob older then Tip/Blizz/Rain. Enjoy whatever happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 no body on all of american to interpret the euro ? c'mon Not much to really rant about. QPF is still lower than GFS if that's what you're wondering and totals still the same for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.