CT Rain Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Not boring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Not boring! The 12z GFS had a 1" of QPF with NW gales. Another reason I did not buy it, although like I said..we did it in Jan 2010, but winds were lighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 You guys are a trip, it won't be until predawn for anything noteworthy. Patience is not our strong point. I'm nervous for the 8+ here. Btw check out the radar. Returns moving south over Plymouth county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 That band in CT will develop a bit more I think. That must be reaching the ground near HVN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Patience is not our strong point. I'm nervous for the 8+ here. Btw check out the radar. Returns moving south over Plymouth county You could get that in 3 hrs if the band develops. Like Phil and I mentioned, we either get banding or we dont. This isn't a CCB deal IMO. High stakes. The radar to the south really won't light up until after 1am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 some of the meso models really hammer this area now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 You could get that in 3 hrs if the band develops. Like Phil and I mentioned, we either get banding or we dont. This isn't a CCB deal IMO. High stakes. The radar to the south really won't light up until after 1am. I believe the 4k Nam suggests we do get in on the banding. It did pretty well on the last event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 The 12z GFS had a 1" of QPF with NW gales. Another reason I did not buy it, although like I said..we did it in Jan 2010, but winds were lighter. Oh yeah... I think up your way it's not an issue. I think for the western edge it's more problematic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 I believe the 4k Nam suggests we do get in on the banding. It did pretty well on the last event I'm thinking it gets to BOS and perhaps west, but this is what I mean by high stakes. If we get it for even three hours it could be 2-3"+ per hours snows and there goes the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Oh yeah... I think up your way it's not an issue. I think for the western edge it's more problematic. Yeah will certainly be interesting to see what happens. I'm on the fence here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 light weenie flakes finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 That band in CT will develop a bit more I think. That must be reaching the ground near HVN. It is snowing all the way up to Thomaston north of waterbury. Light but snow. On route 8 in the back seat fighting off sleep lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 I'm thinking it gets to BOS and perhaps west, but this is what I mean by high stakes. If we get it for even three hours it could be 2-3"+ per hours snows and there goes the forecast. But if I had to guess...I would lean conservative here while Phil has a good chance of getting hit good. I think the wall of snow stops just to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 You think the banding gets into ORH county? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Congrats Canadian weather model people, you managed to make it even slower to come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 You think the banding gets into ORH county? What you see is a result of it, but it's getting eaten up I think by dry air. I do think it will improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 What you see is a result of it, but it's getting eaten up I think by dry air. I do think it will improve. Thank you Scott Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Congrats Canadian weather model people, you managed to make it even slower to come out. Makes sense given the resolution increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 The drier air does concern me a bit, hopefully that goes away aloft as winds try to go more NE. ORH not even reporting -SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Makes sense given the resolution increase. It's been okay aside of today/tonight. Must be a systems glitch, been slow since the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 It's out RGEM came pretty far NW. Wow what a fail for those models that were east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 Light snow 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 The drier air does concern me a bit, hopefully that goes away aloft as winds try to go more NE. ORH not even reporting -SN. PWM dropped 12 degrees off the dewpoint in the last 4 hours. Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 The drier air does concern me a bit, hopefully that goes away aloft as winds try to go more NE. ORH not even reporting -SN. There was a bit of a dew point depression present initially in the soundings, but eventually the levels as mentioned do moisten out. However, will take a bit more left the further west, and the area of lift is modeled to maybe make it to BOS, not much further west. It will really be a sharp cut off with subsidence, especially on NW flow that isn't overly weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 FWIW, RGEM drops 26mb in the next 9 hours. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 00z NAM was a solid 6-10 out here. actually was >.8" melted at CHH too. euro was like .9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 00z NAM was a solid 6-10 out here. actually was >.8" melted at CHH too. euro was like .9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 getting a closer look at that 00z NAM run...it's essentially on board now. doubled its precip output and has 60 knot winds inside the mixing layer tomorrow am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2013 Share Posted February 17, 2013 getting a closer look at that 00z NAM run...it's essentially on board now. doubled its precip output and has 60 knot winds inside the mixing layer tomorrow am Yeah you guys will get hit good...feel pretty high on that. Maybe not 2'...but a heck of a storm I think. I'm on the fence here...I'm worried (in a good way) that the band near NJ may actually hang out nearby or just south tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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