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ORH_wxman

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Yeah that means you better get into banding if you are on the western flank of this as that dry air will continually try to eat away at the weaker returns. Could see something where not much is happening at 20-25dbz composite, but 30dbz+ is like a switch was flipped and its steady 1/4-1/2sm SN.

 

You can actually see the 850mb RH fields on the robust GFS are pretty meh back this way. 

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winds which had been NNW all day have switched to NE

I think you get a nice surprise. I think west of you will really struggle, but if I was forecasting I'd say that current linear band of echos is in the furthest westward spot that the more serious banding from the coastal low will make it. Just a hunch.

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I think you get a nice surprise. I think west of you will really struggle, but if I was forecasting I'd say that current linear band of echos is in the furthest westward spot that the more serious banding from the coastal low will make it. Just a hunch.

Whoever is just NW of that dry slot is going to get smoked, man wish there was a block in place.

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I like 2-4. Prob 3 if gun to knee. Box map looks pretty spot on . Even 1-3 for you

 

I doubt that for my backyard. I think it's a tight gradient. I could see like 4" for Ginx and a trace for you to be honest. I don't think BOX's map accurately captures how tight it will be.

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Its a good thing you are a strong believer in detaching emotion and meteorology.

 

Wha hut ?  no dude it has nothing to do with emotion, and everything (for me) to do with wanting to have a f clue what is going on.   Yeah, if you call THAT emotion - fine! 

 

But I won't be disappointed and it won't affect my mood otherwise. 

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