Bryan Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wow! Been inside working all day, just got time to look outside and on here, liking where I stand here in Kingston. The images coming out of South Carolina are unreal, think this one is going to surprise alot of people tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 radar looks better and better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Does anyone know once and for all how this map gets populated? It is created from the storm total snowfall grid in GFE. Takes the point amount and places it in a range bin. Fractions will round to the nearest inch. i.e., 3.5" with go into 2-4" as will 4.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 radar looks better and better if you talk about radar........half ... knee jerk "hallucinations" interesting path the returns have NNE to ri then NE from pvd to bos.....then NNE to just off psm then NNE to portland East. i.e little kink right from cranston,ri to braintree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 How many times did a storm come more ideally close between ACK and the BM, ...and we see a big arcing curvi-linear deformation band smoke the Berkshires shockingly far west of the cyclone's core...? Like ...every time there is a storm that came more ideally close between ACK and the BM. Given this predicted track, could we see a powerful band arc up through ORH to S NH? Lets hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 we are all hallucinating..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 we are all hallucinating..lol The hallucinations I am watching are falling out of the sky, temp is falling 33/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The hallucinations I am watching are falling out of the sky, temp is falling 33/32 enjoy bro, I hope I can tickle 5-6" out of this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 ri dot traffic cams for ct state line and exit 1 95....have both pick'd up snowfall intensity in line with radar. so at least that stuff is legit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Jesus ... every time I look at this I imagine an epic positive bust in route. The Intellicrap radar scan (National) shows that the wall of precip that is stationary along the EC is starting to pivot/rotate cyclonically prior to leaving the lower MA coast. Meanwhile, the IR loop is showing a brilliant baroclinic leaf signature blossoming, WEST of MA/CT/RI. We have a "kink" now on the boundary, that also has already busted too far west of the guidance - which is what/where they have been using to initiate cyclogenesis. Yet, despite these evidences .... nope. the great go f yourself storm of 2013. haha... oh that's awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 It is created from the storm total snowfall grid in GFE. Takes the point amount and places it in a range bin. Fractions will round to the nearest inch. i.e., 3.5" with go into 2-4" as will 4.4". Ah okay - so it's not automated off of models, but a grid is populated, then it generates using those data inputs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 another coating - 2", can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 well its been awhile since i got to watch a mega event smoke the cape while smoking cirrus, fun times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Still high bust potential due to the mega VVs that will set up either east of 495 or Cape elbow. Also, this band of snow now may boost totals over SE MA. Yeah roads covered. I'd go about 8-12" near the canal. Ill ride the ends up NW right regards to heavier bands later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Anyone git a time frame on when this thing really gets going and when it's out of here? On my phone, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 ri dot traffic cams for ct state line and exit 1 95....have both pick'd up snowfall intensity in line with radar. so at least that stuff is legit you think I was lying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wasn't 18z GFS east of 12z? Someone just posted another noticeable shift west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Jesus ... every time I look at this I imagine an epic positive bust in route. The Intellicrap radar scan (National) shows that the wall of precip that is stationary along the EC is starting to pivot/rotate cyclonically prior to leaving the lower MA coast. Meanwhile, the IR loop is showing a brilliant baroclinic leaf signature blossoming, WEST of MA/CT/RI. We have a "kink" now on the boundary, that also has already busted too far west of the guidance - which is what/where they have been using to initiate cyclogenesis. Yet, despite these evidences .... nope. the great go f yourself storm of 2013. haha... oh that's awesome. i believe these posts of yours are going to single-handedly give every weenie heart failure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 another coating - 2", can't wait. you had two feet 7 days ago, man o man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Upton threw out the NAM and GFS based on its discussion. They threw out their gpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 come on! are u kidding - there is a clear tendency on the Mt Holly base reflectivity, to back the precip toward the coast.. .It's moving more almost due N now... This system will stop at nothing to torment - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Tip, what are your thoughts for BOS area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Quite a bit of dry air to overcome in the lowest 1 or 2kft. Notice a lot of virga over Long Island per OKX. Even the snow that is reaching the ground is having trouble. 25 dbz returns at 3kft is only yielding 3 SM -SN at KGON and KWST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Deterministic and probabilistic forecast for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Ah okay - so it's not automated off of models, but a grid is populated, then it generates using those data inputs? Correct, that is forecaster created data that is dumped into regionally agreed upon set of range bins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Quite a bit of dry air to overcome in the lowest 1 or 2kft. Notice a lot of virga over Long Island per OKX. Even the snow that is reaching the ground is having trouble. 25 dbz returns at 3kft is only yielding 3 SM -SN at KGON and KWST. Yeah that means you better get into banding if you are on the western flank of this as that dry air will continually try to eat away at the weaker returns. Could see something where not much is happening at 20-25dbz composite, but 30dbz+ is like a switch was flipped and its steady 1/4-1/2sm SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Visible Satellite is just full of awesomeness from the Great Lakes to Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 How many times did a storm come more ideally close between ACK and the BM, ...and we see a big arcing curvi-linear deformation band smoke the Berkshires shockingly far west of the cyclone's core...? Like ...every time there is a storm that came more ideally close between ACK and the BM. Given this predicted track, could we see a powerful band arc up through ORH to S NH? I like that thinking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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