Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Snowing and starting to stick here in mashpee one of my friends just moved there , left work here and now working for the Mashpees and a teacher. I was down there most of the day - was a nice steady snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wonder if Box extends advisories west to River? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 True tip, and it bends back to the NW at the coast of SC, you could most definitely be on to something. Yeah, I'll end up right but it will still not snow - watch. haha. oy vay Any, it doesn't appear the 18z NAM even initialized these details at all - almost no idea there's a low center sitting on the CP or nearby down there, with a 150kt 200mb jet entrance/exit relay over head... We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Snow has really picked up here, you can tell from the posts who is not getting a great storm Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Snowing less than 1/2 mile at mall in kingston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I like the SREF snow probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Yeah, I'll end up right but it will still not snow - watch. haha. oy vay Any, it doesn't appear the 18z NAM even initialized these details at all - almost no idea there's a low center sitting on the CP or nearby down there, with a 150kt 200mb jet entrance/exit relay over head... We'll see... No Tip, if you're right, it'll snow its arse off up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looks like BOX is staying the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 It's early, but lightning blew up in past 30 min off SCarolina coast fwiw... would have preferred to see this blossom with the piece of energy further west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 SREF plume averages...kind of scary forecasting. Members either want a big 12+ snowfall or nothing in most cases. BOS 8"...but no members from 2" to 10" (either C-2" 10-20) ORH 4"...same situation (0-2.5" or 8-12") HYA 9"...half members 0-5" and half of them 10-20" PVC 9"...same as HYA IJD 3"...all over the place PSM 5"...either 0" or 12" PWM 5"...less spread CON 3"...all over the place Terrible forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 No Tip, if you're right, it'll snow its arse off up there. Eh... This could verify west and still miss though. ...Not by much, no - I think just having the NAM still wobbling the storm track this close in, as well as the last 3 cycles of the GFS bumping 30 miles closer, atones both to the complexity of this, but that folks should be prepared for surprises. That, AND as we're seeing a low detonating along that boundary, and Satellite trends, do offer some argument for a west adjustment. How much of that is entirely unsure. The state of the art and science of weather forecasting is always improving, and eventually, "positive" busts will be a thing of the past. Negative for that matter, too. Not sure that is today. I guess a 2" to Orange Mass, and 6" for me here in Ayer, and 6+ on the coast would have to be a considered a positive bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 What WeatherMA posted in numbers... Pictorial way of showing what a nightmare forecast this is... most members are way above or below the mean for KBOS: 10 members above, 1 at the mean, 9 below: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Enjoy out east. I got my 5.5" this morning so I'm good with just a dusting from the main show lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Enjoy out east. I got my 5.5" this morning so I'm good with just a dusting from the main show lol. You got 5.5" this morning? Our wx watcher in Harwinton had 3.0". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 It's early, but lightning blew up in past 30 min off SCarolina coast fwiw... would have preferred to see this blossom with the piece of energy further west... Lightning_4pm.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Enjoy out east. I got my 5.5" this morning so I'm good with just a dusting from the main show lol. You got 5.5" this morning? Our wx watcher in Harwinton had 3.0". He meant cm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 You got 5.5" this morning? Our wx watcher in Harwinton had 3.0". I saw a pic with a ruler from CT DOT at 4" in Torrington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I stand corrected. BOX with WSW for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 You got 5.5" this morning? Our wx watcher in Harwinton had 3.0". I had 4" at 6am then it ripped for a while after that and brought us up to ...well my average would have been just over 5. I had two measurements of 5.5 but also a couple around 5 so I guess split the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Thunderstorm updrafts are going good over SC. Perhaps a taste of what's to come for CC and the Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I kind of expect the op gfs to move east a little towards gefs mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 I kind of expect the op gfs to move east a little towards gefs mean I kind of hope that this comes 100 miles west upon it's closest pass, clocking everyone east of Springfield with moderate if not major event, and not just because it would be fun to ride out a winter storm. I just love the thought of dystopian model performance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 At 12 hours GFS tick east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS ticked east as we expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 But still hits e mass pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Pedestrian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 BOX expanding the WSW for all of SE MA and RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 GFS ticked east as we expect. a couple ticks....it lines up pretty close with nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 ya a big drop off in qpf for most.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Solid consensus at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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