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ORH_wxman

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Euro has about 0.05" of QPF between 12z and 00z. So if you include that... there's the discrepancy.

I was talking about the real "storm" which is around 12z tomorrow.

No big deal. I'm expecting and should get a couple inches and hopefully that can get back to you and even west and good luck to folks east like Scoots and Jerry and others in Bos
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understood thx scott

 

also is this a set up where earlier deepening could push amounts a bit further NW, and later SE. or not that ez.  

 

Earlier deepening is always good. Everything matures including conveyor belts to deliver moisture.

 

This will have tricks I'm sure. I could see a very sharp cutoff from west to east.

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good point. also, the front that went through had very little push to it and that n/s weenie band has been extremely slow to move on. a track closer to the coast is not off the table imo and definitely bears watching.

Current IR displays a beaut of a baroclinic leaf and looping this image shows those cloud tops over VA are cooling/expanding ...yet, we miss?   

 

avn-l.jpg

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Is this one if those deals where you see one of those un modeled bands way Nw or not one of those deals?

 

Well this time around way NW might be BOS to PVD. However, if somehow this goes ape****, then it could even get back to you...the GFS did tickle you with that. But, the euro barely gets it to me..and that is highly questionable.

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The difference between the Euro in GFS in surface centers is a mere 25 miles at hour 24, razor thin margins. Mostly a now cast situation for the CC Bos area. 

 

Agreed. It's a really tough forecast for immediate coast in E Mass. 

 

I do agree with Scott that it's probably going to be a very tight gradient. The Euro pulling the plug on some of the better QPF here in CT at 12z (compared to the overnight 00z run) was an indication of that. 

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Agreed. It's a really tough forecast for immediate coast in E Mass. 

 

I do agree with Scott that it's probably going to be a very tight gradient. The Euro pulling the plug on some of the better QPF here in CT at 12z (compared to the overnight 00z run) was an indication of that. 

Nice weenie snow right now. boy that is close to an all out Cape Cod Cottage Calamity right there.

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6z burlington meso(BTV WRF) 12km ....blasts messenger and phil with like 1.3 to 1.7 qpf

 

and haverhill,ma to westerly (on ssw/nne) line with .5+ tonite   1.0 qpf scituate to ktan se

Dude, I hope it happens. I was down in Rollo and Bob's terriorty last weekend and it look amazing with 12"+ OTG. So picturesque...especially in Plymouth.

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